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The Swamp

  • #105,261
  • Oct 27, 2022 2:22pm Oct 27, 2022 2:22pm
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I am who I am
  • #105,262
  • Oct 27, 2022 3:44pm Oct 27, 2022 3:44pm
I did want to hold a long EU. but the day candles are rails tracks, Plus it closed below .9966. .9899/.9860 looks like a better long. But its below .9966. that's still a bear side. A possible sweet spot at .9862/63. slightly above .9860.. Small stop.. Then if Friday could close above .9967/7x. next week early may be bullish.

Friday hasn't closed yet.. So I dont have that. I guess I will wait in the tall grass,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,263
  • Oct 28, 2022 2:47am Oct 28, 2022 2:47am
Gold is looking bearish, it may bounce sometime soon after 1646 to 1656...(1646.02/1643.5) see chart. Possible short 1656.68
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,264
  • Oct 28, 2022 3:13am Oct 28, 2022 3:13am
Inflation news.

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,265
  • Oct 28, 2022 3:21am Oct 28, 2022 3:21am
Quoting gatorinla
Inflation news. {image}
If this data remain strong then it will help usd bullish

here is my chart now Gator.

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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #105,266
  • Oct 28, 2022 3:58am Oct 28, 2022 3:58am
Quoting johncen
{quote} If this data remain strong then it will help usd bullish here is my chart now Gator. {image}
About 15 months. PAis above that red tl. It has tested a mimic tl in yellow, Where it goes? But since hitting .9595 it has broken the upper red tl. It has crossed the ma. That was the algo posted before pa reached .9595. The last algo of equal size, it bounced 1250 pips. So far this one has done almost 1/2 of that. 1.0349 or 1.0805 is not out of normal.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,267
  • Oct 28, 2022 4:12am Oct 28, 2022 4:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} About 15 months. PAis above that red tl. It has tested a mimic tl in yellow, Where it goes? But since hitting .9595 it has broken the upper red tl. It has crossed the ma. That was the algo posted before pa reached .9595. The last algo of equal size, it bounced 1250 pips. So far this one has done almost 1/2 of that. 1.0349 or 1.0805 is not out of normal. {image} {image} {image}
Gator, thanks for sharing your charts!
i am with you on that outlook, to me q4 might be a up trend but would expect to long from 9900 or 9850
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #105,268
  • Oct 28, 2022 4:16am Oct 28, 2022 4:16am
Quoting johncen
{quote} Gator, thanks for sharing your charts! i am with you on that outlook, to me q4 might be a up trend but would expect to long from 9900 or 9850
Its a sneaky bastard.. Stealing money from people as it has risen, with drops.
Quoting gatorinla
Lets not kid ourselves. Anything concerning fundis, trend, rates etc. look EU bearish. They are bearish. All I see here is a tech reason. I once thought that pa had to return to the inception mid, at 1.0835. The pool at 1.0805.5. 1250 pips off .9575/50 is damn close to 1.0835. I dont have any reasons to post this tin hat theory. This just happens to fit a puzzle. {image}
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1250 pips is not likely. I did not see it then. I do not see it now. Especially with the spread. When Covid hit. The spread didnt mean shit. I know because I thought it would. The eu went up. Don't get caught. Lots of time to short to 0.77 later. I have a 1200 pip pool at 1.0855. This dont mean anything unless it happens. Just keep it in the possibilities. Last time it took about 3 months to make the 1200 pips. That's about year end. {image}
If today closes above .9967. That is positive for a rise. The last time 1250 pips took 3 months. Atm is 1 month
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,269
  • Oct 28, 2022 5:28am Oct 28, 2022 5:28am
Time to short bounces.. H4 per system II has reversed to downtrend... sys I next ...
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  • #105,270
  • Oct 28, 2022 5:44am Oct 28, 2022 5:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Its a sneaky bastard.. Stealing money from people as it has risen, with drops. {quote} {quote} If today closes above .9967. That is positive for a rise. The last time 1250 pips took 3 months. Atm is 1 month
That .9967.x close side matters. If it does fall and bounces about .9862.. Then later closes today above .9968. That will probably be bullish for early next week.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,271
  • Oct 28, 2022 5:51am Oct 28, 2022 5:51am
Quoting gatorinla
Gold is looking bearish, it may bounce sometime soon after 1646 to 1656...(1646.02/1643.5) see chart. Possible short 1656.68 {image}
Gold didnt bounce.. The short R is still valid, in case it does. 1657.x too
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,272
  • Oct 28, 2022 5:59am Oct 28, 2022 5:59am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Gold didnt bounce.. The short R is still valid, in case it does. 1657.x too
Closer 1652.84 has a close bear/bull bias.. But it may wick to 1653.53. A possible short there.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,273
  • Oct 28, 2022 6:02am Oct 28, 2022 6:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} That .9967.x close side matters. If it does fall and bounces about .9862.. Then later closes today above .9968. That will probably be bullish for early next week. {image}
PA has jumped above .9967 now. This is likely large traders.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,274
  • Oct 28, 2022 12:25pm Oct 28, 2022 12:25pm
next Monday.. resistance at $1 again
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  • #105,275
  • Oct 28, 2022 12:48pm Oct 28, 2022 12:48pm
Hedge funds continued to add Eur longs and closed Eur shorts this week per Oct 25th COT report
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  • #105,276
  • Oct 28, 2022 2:45pm Oct 28, 2022 2:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} That .9967.x close side matters. If it does fall and bounces about .9862.. Then later closes today above .9968. That will probably be bullish for early next week. {image}
My broker doesn't show the last 3 minutes. (I miss before Oanada stopped doing it) I suspect it will gap open above .9968.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,277
  • Edited 12:20pm Oct 30, 2022 4:13am | Edited 12:20pm
Kakaya Russia...
Inserted Video
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  • #105,278
  • Oct 30, 2022 3:24pm Oct 30, 2022 3:24pm
Low Mississippi river = more Asian food inflation = less Asian gold demand=lower gold prices. https://www.cnn.com/videos/us/2022/1...ndwknd-vpx.cnn
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #105,279
  • Oct 30, 2022 4:42pm Oct 30, 2022 4:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
Low Mississippi river = more Asian food inflation = less Asian gold demand=lower gold prices. https://www.cnn.com/videos/us/2022/1...ndwknd-vpx.cnn
Yep.. am hoping for some bounce to short this... not sure if will happen or not
Cheers!!
  • #105,280
  • Oct 30, 2022 5:02pm Oct 30, 2022 5:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
Low Mississippi river = more Asian food inflation = less Asian gold demand=lower gold prices. https://www.cnn.com/videos/us/2022/1...ndwknd-vpx.cnn
possible gold short.. 1656.49/.56.. I put a pending 1656.40
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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