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  • #159,901
  • Oct 26, 2022 11:29am Oct 26, 2022 11:29am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
While 1.0018 is offering support in 15 min chart R2 daily level should slow down any advance or 1.0100 could bee seen.
1.0062 is the new decision point, price can travel up, down or stay in a range after it touches or closes above/below it.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #159,902
  • Oct 26, 2022 11:31am Oct 26, 2022 11:31am
Sold EU at 1.0177

SL 50 Pips
Target Open
PaRaM
  • #159,903
  • Oct 26, 2022 11:50am Oct 26, 2022 11:50am
Quoting mustafayucel
{quote} maybe This is a paper tradingso I train like a professional athlete. I fear not the man who has practiced 10,000 kicks once, but I fear the man who has practiced one kick 10,000 times. Bruce Lee {image}
I took my share out of the market today and closed the charts. Done for the day, don't want to chase and force shit, let's see what tomorrow brings.
"The only true wisdom is in knowing you know nothing."
  • #159,904
  • Oct 26, 2022 1:02pm Oct 26, 2022 1:02pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} There is another one scenario besides that. at 1.0000/20 EU will bounce after the 0.75% raise anouncement tomorrow and then drop from 1.0100/50. 0.9810 is posible afer that. Now the volume is dropping and the Asian session is near.
Agree and finger on the trigger.
  • #159,905
  • Oct 26, 2022 1:19pm Oct 26, 2022 1:19pm
QUESTION: What is the general consensus about the low on September 28th 2022? Was that Wave 5 or Wave 3????

Thoughts???

Originally I thought it was the bottom of wave 3. Since that time and given the current chart I am inclined to declare that it WAS WAVE 5 (see graph)

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR_USD_20221026_14.18.png Size: 28 KB
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #159,906
  • Oct 26, 2022 1:37pm Oct 26, 2022 1:37pm
So tomorrow SHOULD prove to be a very PROFITABLE day; assuming things go as planned; what is the plan you ask?

Look at how far DXY has dropped over the past 3 days:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY_2022-10-26_14-31-03.png Size: 31 KB
From the peak of 113.94 to 109.71 in just 4 days!

WHY? What changed?

Well tomorrow we get GDP, Core durable goods and unemployement. That will be followed by the ECB Press conference. The following day we get advance GDP from several EU countries of 0.2 to 0.6 vs. an expect 2.6% in the USA!

So tell me, does ANYONE really expect the FED to STOP? Does ANYONE expect the FED be dovish? Of course not. The FED is going to raise rates by 0.75% like they have said. The ECB will be lucky to raise rates at all.

Happy trading...
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #159,907
  • Oct 26, 2022 2:07pm Oct 26, 2022 2:07pm
Quoting fxsport
So tomorrow SHOULD prove to be a very PROFITABLE day; assuming things go as planned; what is the plan you ask? Look at how far DXY has dropped over the past 3 days: {image}From the peak of 113.94 to 109.71 in just 4 days! WHY? What changed? Well tomorrow we get GDP, Core durable goods and unemployement. That will be followed by the ECB Press conference. The following day we get advance GDP from several EU countries of 0.2 to 0.6 vs. an expect 2.6% in the USA! So tell me, does ANYONE really expect the FED to STOP? Does ANYONE expect the FED be dovish?...

It was not too long ago when the DXY was trading at 104.2. Rate hikes are baked in. Market rebalancing ( look at weekly and monthly MA's for each country and their major trading partners besides the US ). Pullbacks yes but a new cycle is underway.... Confirmation is the end of next week.
  • #159,908
  • Oct 26, 2022 2:12pm Oct 26, 2022 2:12pm
Quoting fxsport
QUESTION: What is the general consensus about the low on September 28th 2022? Was that Wave 5 or Wave 3???? Thoughts??? Originally I thought it was the bottom of wave 3. Since that time and given the current chart I am inclined to declare that it WAS WAVE 5 (see graph) {image}
Dear
QUESTION
point ....... A ....... where ?
  • #159,909
  • Oct 26, 2022 2:34pm Oct 26, 2022 2:34pm
Quoting GreenJ
{quote} It was not too long ago when the DXY was trading at 104.2. Rate hikes are baked in. Market rebalancing ( look at weekly and monthly MA's for each country and their major trading partners besides the US ). Pullbacks yes but a new cycle is underway.... Confirmation is the end of next week.
@GreenJ - Please do not take this personally but you sound like the talking heads on TV.

HOW can all the rate hikes be "baked in" when no one even knows how many are still necessary? There are so many unanswered questions:

1. How long will the war continue
2. What will the price of oil be in the winter...natural gas...
3. Housing prices...
4. Unemployment rates...

These are all USA questions (except #1 unless you consider the election in 2 weeks )

Other issues are: How is the strong USD affecting EM?

China - Real Estate Market Status? Covid policy; lockdowns still? If not then OIL will be back in demand

EU - are they serious about no more Russian oil in December? What about Nordstream 1 & 2; repairable or not?

Remember in times of uncertainity what happens? YEN, USD and CHF all benefit but all the talking heads have concluded that USD is now a rock and it will drop????

Pardon me but I will take this one day at a time.

PERSONALLY I think that Euro is overbought and Dollar is oversold ie buy the rumor so tomorrow should be sell the fact...

At least thats MY game plan and I'm sticking to it; unless something better comes along.
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #159,910
  • Oct 26, 2022 3:55pm Oct 26, 2022 3:55pm
Quoting fxcontest
Buy from 0.9969 - 0.9972, TP some and SL at BE More Buy 1.0017 - 1.0021
TP All
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #159,911
  • Oct 26, 2022 4:28pm Oct 26, 2022 4:28pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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REDA_EL_HARAOUI
ELITE MOROCCO SNIPER All Time Return: 27.5%
  • #159,912
  • Oct 26, 2022 4:30pm Oct 26, 2022 4:30pm
Eurusd buy trade setup done ready to go
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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FUNDEDNEXT STEP-1 (MODEL-1&3) Return Today: na
  • #159,913
  • Oct 26, 2022 5:49pm Oct 26, 2022 5:49pm
I am expecting a retrace now but not sure how deep it will be. Probably1.0030 or 9980ish

let see
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #159,914
  • Oct 26, 2022 6:15pm Oct 26, 2022 6:15pm
The end of an amazing run! Now to work out whats next. This is usually where I end up "spending money" to figure it out! All main S/R lines carried over. Lets see, steady steady
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #159,915
  • Oct 26, 2022 7:01pm Oct 26, 2022 7:01pm
Quoting johncen
I am expecting a retrace now but not sure how deep it will be. Probably1.0030 or 9980ish let see
Lets see if Asia session can push it down now
  • #159,916
  • Oct 26, 2022 7:24pm Oct 26, 2022 7:24pm
Quoting Ultras
{quote} Lets see if Asia session can push it down now
Yup only time will tell. We might do the same thing as yesterday, another leg up without retrace.

my chart for now
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #159,917
  • Oct 26, 2022 8:17pm Oct 26, 2022 8:17pm
Sell 1.0082 - 1.0080. SL 20 pips TP 60 pips
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #159,918
  • Oct 26, 2022 8:28pm Oct 26, 2022 8:28pm
Quoting fxcontest
Sell 1.0082 - 1.0080. SL 20 pips TP 60 pips
Am with you on this one sell 1.0081. First target daily pivot around 0030ish
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #159,919
  • Oct 26, 2022 8:48pm Oct 26, 2022 8:48pm
i got berish sentiment on eurusd sell target would be 0.998 ish area , cheers !
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  • #159,920
  • Oct 26, 2022 9:11pm Oct 26, 2022 9:11pm
Quoting buffedmage
i got berish sentiment on eurusd sell target would be 0.998 ish area , cheers !
and also there is even more posibble till 0.994 , trade safe !
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