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  • #159,521
  • Oct 21, 2022 4:24am Oct 21, 2022 4:24am
For today, we could also be in the support area now, therefore, the bulls can show up anytime.
  • #159,522
  • Edited 4:45am Oct 21, 2022 4:25am | Edited 4:45am
Now pa, target breaks 9705 as 9680 areas. And So likely 9840 areas be tested repeatedly with likely or not able break now . Lets see
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #159,523
  • Oct 21, 2022 4:36am Oct 21, 2022 4:36am
the rubber band broke but i can't say its a very convincing "end of the line"
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always shorting eu All Time Profit: $1,476
  • #159,524
  • Oct 21, 2022 4:36am Oct 21, 2022 4:36am
why so shy bears, lets go
  • #159,525
  • Edited 4:54am Oct 21, 2022 4:41am | Edited 4:54am
Meanwhile, on H4...

Potential train stations for falling knife: 0.9714 and then 0.9685 and if that breaks then some pit inside hell (just kidding)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #159,526
  • Oct 21, 2022 4:44am Oct 21, 2022 4:44am
It needs to touch 0.9822 (weekly pivot) to complete 81 pips range today, but I am also watching the price action to see if it can take out the 0.9764 level (hard for now). It will not be good for the bears if the bulls get a close above it.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #159,527
  • Oct 21, 2022 4:51am Oct 21, 2022 4:51am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
It needs to touch 0.9822 (weekly pivot) to complete 81 pips range today, but I am also watching the price action to see if it can take out the 0.9764 level (hard for now). It will not be good for the bears if the bulls get a close above it.
I see some support around this area 9740 but kinda minor one. Bear wants 9680-9700. If we bounce here to 9760ish may give good chance to load shorts
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #159,528
  • Oct 21, 2022 5:00am Oct 21, 2022 5:00am
M30 Status Update

I am marking 0.9755 as nearest resistance... Go bears go!
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #159,529
  • Oct 21, 2022 5:01am Oct 21, 2022 5:01am
Quoting johncen
{quote} I see some support around this area 9740 but kinda minor one. Bear wants 9680-9700. If we bounce here to 9760ish may give good chance to load shorts
I agree, it has more downside. 0.9860 is the teritorry where bulls left out of fuel Also after the opening of the 9:00 GMT candle.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #159,530
  • Oct 21, 2022 5:07am Oct 21, 2022 5:07am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
M30 Status Update I am marking 0.9755 as nearest resistance... Go bears go! {image}
Thanks Ata, will try to on board the southern express when it gets there.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #159,531
  • Oct 21, 2022 5:09am Oct 21, 2022 5:09am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I agree, it has more downside. 0.9860 is the teritorry where bulls left out of fuel Also after the opening of the 9:00 GMT candle.
What can stop the bear? Only thing i can think of will be jp intervention (i doubt it) or China opening up or no third term for Xi.
not going to happen so yea overall trend remain bearish
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #159,532
  • Oct 21, 2022 5:16am Oct 21, 2022 5:16am
Quoting johncen
{quote} What can stop the bear? Only thing i can think of will be jp intervention (i doubt it) or China opening up or no third term for Xi. not going to happen so yea overall trend remain bearish
There are so much going on against the EU.

Global financial crisis, the coronavirus pandemic, energy crisis, the war in Ukraine, record inflation, and
Interest Rates differential with US.

Bulls can only overeact on a positive new and nothing else.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #159,533
  • Oct 21, 2022 5:20am Oct 21, 2022 5:20am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} There are so much going on against the EU. Global financial crisis, the coronavirus pandemic, energy crisis, the war in Ukraine, record inflation, and Interest Rates differential with US. Bulls can only overeact on a positive new and nothing else.
to be fair apart from the energy crisis and interest rates the others also affect the US and everyone else.
  • #159,534
  • Oct 21, 2022 5:26am Oct 21, 2022 5:26am
Happy Friday everyone ! Sooo hope all you are well. Will today be moving day or another confirmation that it is still ranging? Sell stop 9731 SL25, since 9755 is probable back into ranging mode for my intraday analysis.
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Thanks.. well it is always risky to go against H1 trend... but bulls need a close above 0.98665 for continuation.. So I suggest you stay alert! Bears are interfering a lot at these levels and I can understand why you are trying to sell but bull waters are still boiling! Careful! Best wishes {image}
Excellent point Mate The risk is very real and I would add very very sweet. For I love to fail often against the 1H uptrend to get into the long-term trend. Let's do this folks !

Little updates for my surviving positions:
Quoting mtako
> 8960 and it will officially be a treacherous attack of the very significant high, and the sky would be the limit if that is broken clean(not really, but you all know what I mean ) ! Now 8960 not even reached, I can add early : sold here 98544, sleeping with Ata who has warm feet
SL9754, securing +100.
Quoting mtako
..Sell stop 9776 Wishing to all the very best! Sell stop 9776, where all of days shorts would definitely be at BE.
Was closed way backkkk, sorry for late update, at 9746+30
Quoting mtako
{quote} I hope not. You were so patient and precision, as always. Sometimes it's just a bull's day. 9860! My next significant level is reached, fun! Sell stop 9860
At BE, obviously. In case long-term bears come back this early

Wishing the very best to everyone !
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #159,535
  • Oct 21, 2022 5:27am Oct 21, 2022 5:27am
Quoting Polimini
{quote} to be fair apart from the energy crisis and interest rates the others also affect the US and everyone else.
Don't forget that we leave in a world that everyone looks for the strongest to put money. The US Dollar is a safe heaven currency and the money flows into it when bad things happen around. Only the FED can stop it from advancing by opening the tap (borrow money) and by cutting rates.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #159,536
  • Oct 21, 2022 5:33am Oct 21, 2022 5:33am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Don't forget that we leave in a world that everyone looks for the strongest to put money. The US Dollar is a safe heaven currency and the money flows into it when bad things happen around. Only the FED can stop it from advancing by opening the tap (borrow money) and by cutting rates.
I disagree, the USD just suck all the money from Europe and Japan because it's free money with zero risk with those interest rates, that's the only thing at play here.
In bad times money doesn't necessarily migrate to the US
  • #159,537
  • Oct 21, 2022 5:37am Oct 21, 2022 5:37am
Buy stop at 9749, SL9731, bottom of probable range(look at this level last Friday!).

But if bulls make it back up there, the second you see me selling or having a sell stop get triggered, ALL longs are closed. Thats what I do with long-term trend, when I do rarely go against it.

Common Big Bears make us little bears happy !
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #159,538
  • Oct 21, 2022 5:37am Oct 21, 2022 5:37am
Still waiting to see 9755-60 area but if bear is too strong we will see 9720 9700 9680 first
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #159,539
  • Oct 21, 2022 5:41am Oct 21, 2022 5:41am
it's too low to be shorting unless we see that the bears are really in control. We are at a major support, if it breaks down then it doesn't stop until 0.963. I think
  • #159,540
  • Oct 21, 2022 5:42am Oct 21, 2022 5:42am
Quoting Polimini
{quote} I disagree, the USD just suck all the money from Europe and Japan because it's free money with zero risk with those interest rates, that's the only thing at play here. In bad times money doesn't necessarily migrate to the US
It does when there is a war in Europe. I understand what you mean. I wait for the next year to see better upside moves from the EU and I hope it does good, so I will be very carefull to where I will put my money into.

Thanks!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
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