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EURUSD only

  • #158,421
  • Oct 6, 2022 12:07am Oct 6, 2022 12:07am
Good morning, hope you're great. The bears are trying;
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  • #158,422
  • Oct 6, 2022 12:09am Oct 6, 2022 12:09am
Daily targets are 0.9952 – 0.9971 plus Tuesday high 0.9999, down to 0.9839 underneath new sell signals. The price targets would be at the support at 0.9807 and in the area at 0.9734 - 0.9750.
carpe noctem
  • #158,423
  • Oct 6, 2022 12:20am Oct 6, 2022 12:20am
Dont have much idea today as we are stuck in the middle. Will sideline until things are more clear
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #158,424
  • Oct 6, 2022 12:27am Oct 6, 2022 12:27am
Smaller tf pa now, likely over 9914 to correct down or not enough next bull action . Let it play any but will continue only oneway as always, now only waiting bull targets! Take care
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #158,425
  • Oct 6, 2022 12:32am Oct 6, 2022 12:32am
As I look out to the sea, short covering in the dollar and euro is all I see.....
  • #158,426
  • Oct 6, 2022 12:41am Oct 6, 2022 12:41am
  •  Evt
  • | Joined Sep 2011 | Status: Professional Trader | 86 Posts
I'm looking for 0.9862 to start
Audentes fortuna iuvat
  • #158,427
  • Edited 1:02am Oct 6, 2022 12:43am | Edited 1:02am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
I went long at 0.9860 as soon as I saw that H4 candle closed above dotted channel line which I mentioned earlier.... My 1st target is 0.9916 area, but it is also a decision level: My next move depends on a break-above or a bounce-down! *0.9844 is current nearest support... {image}
Good to see that price arrived at mentioned target... It is decision time... I do nothing but waiting on side lines.. Let's see...

If bears win, which I anticipate, my nearest target would be a touch to the same dotted line: 0.9873 area!

0.9932/42 area is nearest resistance...
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #158,428
  • Oct 6, 2022 1:00am Oct 6, 2022 1:00am
Maybe...maybe not...liquidity pool
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Do not get emotional when you gain or lose
  • #158,429
  • Oct 6, 2022 1:01am Oct 6, 2022 1:01am
The close and nature of the current 4hr candle will decide the direction of today. If it closes bullish, we should be expecting higher levels. If bearish, we should start aiming for the lows of 0.96551
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #158,430
  • Oct 6, 2022 1:10am Oct 6, 2022 1:10am
I'll stay on the sidelines for now until EU retail comes out
carpe noctem
  • #158,431
  • Oct 6, 2022 1:12am Oct 6, 2022 1:12am
A drop could be lethal for EURUSD from here. The daily volatility is 103 pips 5 pips more from yesterday and if, the bears don't give up we'll see these pips getting more
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #158,432
  • Oct 6, 2022 1:15am Oct 6, 2022 1:15am
  •  Evt
  • | Joined Sep 2011 | Status: Professional Trader | 86 Posts
I think this will hit 0.9866, IMO
Audentes fortuna iuvat
  • #158,433
  • Oct 6, 2022 1:20am Oct 6, 2022 1:20am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
A drop could be lethal for EURUSD from here. The daily volatility is 103 pips 5 pips more from yesterday and if, the bears don't give up we'll see these pips getting more
daily volatility = daily range
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #158,434
  • Oct 6, 2022 1:29am Oct 6, 2022 1:29am
Support 0.9880 - Buy a few
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #158,435
  • Oct 6, 2022 1:33am Oct 6, 2022 1:33am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} daily volatility = daily range
Volatility = pips as I take this from the CME options market. Its the expected daily change in pips derived from the monthly volatility option.

Volatility * Future Price / (Trading Days)1/2

It can be used like daily range also.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #158,436
  • Oct 6, 2022 1:45am Oct 6, 2022 1:45am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Volatility = pips as I take this from the CME options market. Its the expected daily change in pips derived from the monthly volatility option. Volatility * Future Price / (Trading Days)1/2 It can be used like daily range also.
Fair enough... so how did you calculate 103 pips with that formula? Can you post all the numbers you used to get 103? Thanks...

*I am trying to understand why 5 pips more volatility between yesterday and today means so much to you...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #158,437
  • Oct 6, 2022 1:47am Oct 6, 2022 1:47am
Quoting pgidia
{quote} Sell Triggered now SL i will keep at 1.0010 Target Falling Knife

SL now safe at BE
PaRaM
  • #158,438
  • Oct 6, 2022 1:49am Oct 6, 2022 1:49am
Quoting Kalle1
I'll stay on the sidelines for now until EU retail comes out
low impact news
  • #158,439
  • Oct 6, 2022 1:50am Oct 6, 2022 1:50am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Volatility = pips as I take this from the CME options market. Its the expected daily change in pips derived from the monthly volatility option. Volatility * Future Price / (Trading Days)1/2 It can be used like daily range also.
can you post a link I am interested where you see this?
  • #158,440
  • Oct 6, 2022 1:58am Oct 6, 2022 1:58am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Fair enough... so how did you calculate 103 pips with that formula? Can you post all the numbers you used to get 103? Thanks... *I am trying to understand why 5 pips more volatility between yesterday and today means so much to you...
Watching for a drop and the volatility is getting bigger when EURUSD drops

This is how it is: 16,34 was the volatility in this months expiry at CME website when the price closed yesterday > you should add a zero at the front > 0,1634 * 0,9935 / 15,8430 = 0,0102.

0,9935 was the settlement price and 15,8430 is the square root of the 251 trading days. Now just watch, the option traders use the monthly volatility in EURUSD like Yearly and that is why they use 251 days.

Its 102 now, but I take the first count in the morning which it was 103 and have good accuracy.

You can also take it from here it is called rent

Sorry for the train link

https://cmegroup-tools.quikstrike.ne...b-19890e817c42
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