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EURUSD only

  • #156,661
  • Sep 13, 2022 9:57am Sep 13, 2022 9:57am
Risking a retest purchase here 1.00108
"No pain no gain"
  • #156,662
  • Sep 13, 2022 10:00am Sep 13, 2022 10:00am
Quoting Alkhin
{quote} Does anyone know the answer to this question?
This is from Forex factory's calendar. Clck where the arrows show and you will find out more info
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #156,663
  • Sep 13, 2022 10:10am Sep 13, 2022 10:10am
Quoting Alkhin
{quote} Does anyone know the answer to this question?
PPI is the Producer's Price Index which measures the overall cost of producing products

CPI is the Consumer Price Index which measures the cost to the consumers.

y/y= year to year
m/m= month to month
  • #156,664
  • Sep 13, 2022 10:10am Sep 13, 2022 10:10am
Bulls lets hope the price stays above the base and 0.9865 low. Better use the pivots like, a map not blind entries!

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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #156,665
  • Sep 13, 2022 10:20am Sep 13, 2022 10:20am
It is obvious that CPI and Core CPI did overpass the expectations but the PA shows crystal clear investors' feelings- the euro lost investors' confidence............
  • #156,666
  • Sep 13, 2022 10:24am Sep 13, 2022 10:24am
After today's CPI, the possibility of interest rate increase by 1 unit has become more possible.
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #156,667
  • Sep 13, 2022 10:29am Sep 13, 2022 10:29am
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  • #156,668
  • Sep 13, 2022 10:31am Sep 13, 2022 10:31am
Alert at 1.0060 on M30...SL 1.0070 with TP targets at 1.0020. High RR as bearish trends may continue. Opinions on this thought process and trade?
  • #156,669
  • Sep 13, 2022 10:38am Sep 13, 2022 10:38am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Bulls lets hope the price stays above the base and 0.9865 low. Better use the pivots like, a map not blind entries! {image}
Thanks for the observation, activated Sl... may be a new pivot formation here.
"No pain no gain"
  • #156,670
  • Sep 13, 2022 10:43am Sep 13, 2022 10:43am
Quoting Vorenzd
It is the same story as always. Expectations vs reality. One thing we can conclude from the last few days of EUR/USD is that, no matter what, you need to be careful with leverage and your risk management. Probably the most important thing. Many people here were shorting, but were likely stopped out. If you'd use less leverage, you'd still be with us. Both people who were long and short got stopped out over the last few days. Where is your money? Margin credit ate it. It's easy to bait traders (especially new ones) into believing something, same...
Agree with your observation. Low leverage, 3:1 or 5:1 is usually suffice.
I can't help but to say, the leverage offered by brokers are ... incredible.
When I looked around, I see many 1.00 lot and sometimes 5.00 lots. I can only assume they're trading on a $1MM and $5MM accounts.

Quoting Alkhin
{quote} Does anyone know the answer to this question?
Core CPI refers to inflation excluding volatile elements such as food and energy. CPI is generally the "headline inflation".

---

Post-CPI update.

There was a 180 points dip on the EURUSD pair. It provided me good opportunity to buy into this pair.
Currently, price is supported by the 50-SMA ($1) and the 23% Fib retracement level.
The accumulation trend is not broken, since I was expecting a minor pullback on the SOS (sign of strength) segment. CPI did just that.
The weekend gap had been closed.

On Fed 75 bps hike next week, it's fully priced in, at 84%. Another 16% for 100 bps hike.
The last time I checked, Fed uses PCE, not CPI. Not sure about the fun fare.

Cheers,
Cat
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  • #156,671
  • Sep 13, 2022 10:49am Sep 13, 2022 10:49am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
In the weekly chart the price closed inside the smaller channel and is looking up below the upper side of it (watch the blue shaded area). If, it break by closing with a strong bullish bar formation it can move at the upper area of supply. A drop should see the price supported at the low area of demand above 0.9865 low. {image} In the Daily chart with more details the price closed below the monthly pivot at 1.0107, 50 daily ma, and 1.0089 and currently is ranging inside 0.9931 and 1.0114. {image} We should see less volatility next week (around 150...
Sharing this post again. ^^^^


Some comments

Price finally reached the top of the weekly channel and then failed after Mondays gap up.

Monthly pivot holded for some time until US CPI today.

0.9931/1.0114 previous daily range need some caution of how will act later.

150 pips expected range exceeded the expectations, but price may turn back inside again to test the high.

The week isn't over! I have 1.0043 as a decision point at 15 min. chart.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #156,672
  • Sep 13, 2022 10:54am Sep 13, 2022 10:54am
Quoting JBRolim
{quote} Thanks for the observation, activated Sl... may be a new pivot formation here.
Glad my charts help, you are welcome!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #156,673
  • Sep 13, 2022 10:54am Sep 13, 2022 10:54am
Quoting skassacomput
{quote} I think the BAT will respond on 0.9999 (market profile POC 3 days ago + H4 SMA55)
here we go, come on now.... up!
If you do not know who you are, the Forex is the worst place to find you
  • #156,674
  • Sep 13, 2022 10:55am Sep 13, 2022 10:55am
Quoting Erkat
After today's CPI, the possibility of interest rate increase by 1 unit has become more possible.
Show me the money!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #156,675
  • Sep 13, 2022 11:13am Sep 13, 2022 11:13am
Quoting marcin.kamaj
{quote} Ok, as i said i suppose that UA's news will be more important for market, beacuse for CPI data market is little "used to", so i.m now playing long from 1.0031, with stop at 0.9995. It's very risk trade, but can give super RR, firstly im looking zone 1.055-65, if we pass it ( close 15m candle ) then i'll add long and move SL to BE+2. Have a nice afternoon!
I moderated my SL to 0.9980, and now add long at. 1.0000.

I'm still convince for playing for good news from Ukraine.

Have a nice evening!
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #156,676
  • Sep 13, 2022 11:16am Sep 13, 2022 11:16am
Quoting skassacomput
{quote} here we go, come on now.... up!
This is my actual long setup: (SL at 0.99867)

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If you do not know who you are, the Forex is the worst place to find you
  • #156,677
  • Sep 13, 2022 11:18am Sep 13, 2022 11:18am
Strange down fall , seems no end to down move.
JustTradeNoWorries Return Today: na
  • #156,678
  • Sep 13, 2022 11:56am Sep 13, 2022 11:56am
Trying to hold on 127, apparently won't make it...
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"No pain no gain"
  • #156,679
  • Sep 13, 2022 12:08pm Sep 13, 2022 12:08pm
Based on DAILY, 1.0010 is most crucial... Today's closing price matters! 4 more hours to see...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #156,680
  • Sep 13, 2022 12:13pm Sep 13, 2022 12:13pm
Safe for now, so one more buy entry triggered. apparently double bottom let's see if the 127 BULLS hold up, Sl set to 0.99800
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"No pain no gain"
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