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EURUSD only

  • #156,521
  • Sep 12, 2022 3:45am Sep 12, 2022 3:45am
Happy trading everyone
A few pips a day keeps the debt collector away
100k All Time Profit: £32,782
  • #156,522
  • Sep 12, 2022 3:47am Sep 12, 2022 3:47am
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  • #156,523
  • Sep 12, 2022 3:50am Sep 12, 2022 3:50am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Yes I am waiting to see it reaching 1.0203 this week for more shorts, but its fine if, it doesn't. I think its going to reach a new low again on weekly tmf, so I will follow price action if, I see it drop below todays low and head lower.
Spike up above 0203 remain possible in the next few days. As long as tl holds, strategy turns to selling every bounce. Waiting to see pa if we get to 1.0106-10 and reaction there.

just checked the chart again, today’s low is indeed crucial for the next few days
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #156,524
  • Sep 12, 2022 3:55am Sep 12, 2022 3:55am
Quoting johncen
{quote} Spike up above 0203 remain possible in the next few days. As long as tl holds, strategy turns to selling every bounce. Waiting to see pa if we get to 1.0106-10 and reaction there. just checked the chart again, today’s low is indeed crucial for the next few days
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #156,525
  • Sep 12, 2022 3:58am Sep 12, 2022 3:58am
Quoting andvk74
{image}
It should overcome 1.0152 so it can rise again, but will you buy on a close above 50% if all other charts agree? Trying to understand your strategy.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #156,526
  • Sep 12, 2022 4:00am Sep 12, 2022 4:00am
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always shorting eu All Time Profit: $1,476
  • #156,527
  • Sep 12, 2022 4:25am Sep 12, 2022 4:25am
Quoting moondoggie
{quote} Hi Cat, which geopolitical developments are you referring to in the Europe eastern front? Just curious, so I know what to research going forward.
Kalle had answered that

Quoting Kalle1
{quote} several thousand square kilometers of land gain in Ukraine
Thank you Kalle.

Now, a quick London lunch time update. Then, I'll take the afternoon off.

Euro strength this morning was attributed to three main things:

  1. The positive situation in Ukraine
  2. ECB "sources" discussed about QT (finally!) and interest rate topping out at 2% (this year)
  3. Increasing spread between German and Italian 10Y yield, already at 240 bps this morning

Now, Italian election is coming in two weeks. I don't care who wins or loses. Doesn't matter.
What it matters is how large this DE-IT yield spread will widen.
If it widens further, Euro will strengthen more.

Rationale is simple. Nobody cares about third, forth, fifth child in a family. If the eldest is doing well, that whole family is doing well.

Price wise, for this accumulation trend (started mid-Aug) to complete, price will have to test the 1.035 level (100% Fib).
Phase E should begin after price goes above 61.8% Fib.
I'll continue to add buy trades. Added two longs this morning at 1.0172 and 1.0134.

Best,
Cat

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  • #156,528
  • Sep 12, 2022 5:00am Sep 12, 2022 5:00am
I have 2 resistance areas based on M30....

1: 1.0162.... If that doesn't hold bulls, then 2: 1.0178...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #156,529
  • Sep 12, 2022 6:14am Sep 12, 2022 6:14am
Critical region...
"No pain no gain"
  • #156,530
  • Edited 7:53am Sep 12, 2022 6:56am | Edited 7:53am
watching 0094 limit as looks another bounce up try before good tanking , otherwise 0032 can do though next but in failure mode ! take care

anyway perfect channel top reacted , 0193 + target got and my try daily close for 0177/ 0158 if possible
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #156,531
  • Sep 12, 2022 7:33am Sep 12, 2022 7:33am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} A EU failure to sustain higher prices. 1.0107/0100 & 1.0096 are posible targets for the day. Weekly may see a drop below 1.0060 and lower!
Went down to 1.0105, took out 1.0107, but left untouched 1.0100 & 1.0096 - not bad for Monday if, you think that it went up to 1.0200 almost by 2 pips from 1.0060 low today only. Thats 138 pips up and 93 pips down and the day isn't over yet. Volatility was only 71 pips.

Resistance is at 1.0163 and a break could lead to higher prices again - below 1.0200, but I still think it is going lower.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #156,532
  • Sep 12, 2022 7:41am Sep 12, 2022 7:41am
Hi All,

i just opened new long at 1.0121, with SL at 1.0100, if comes about TP, i,m targeting to today high, but will observe how go over 1.0150.

Have a nice afternoon!
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #156,533
  • Sep 12, 2022 7:54am Sep 12, 2022 7:54am
Quoting Wavegarrick
{quote} Setting up for buy trades at 1.0050. Cheers. {image}
Retest of my monthly pivot at 1.01062. I am setting up for a buy trade Folks, from a 4hr perspective.
Take care,
Cheers
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Trade to trade another day
  • #156,534
  • Sep 12, 2022 7:55am Sep 12, 2022 7:55am
Held at 50% fibo this might be going up again...
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"No pain no gain"
  • #156,535
  • Sep 12, 2022 8:24am Sep 12, 2022 8:24am
Looks like the falling have temporarily stopped at 1.01045 and is bouncing back.
I put a short at 1.036, sl at 1.05 Lets see whats gonna happen
  • #156,536
  • Sep 12, 2022 8:53am Sep 12, 2022 8:53am
Any ideas why they put "greater" instead of "better"?

Greater means that inflation will be higher, which is BAD for currency. I can understand if they write "better", because its better than expected. But greater means you can get 0.2% which is worse than -0.1% (forecast) and thus its bad for currency.

Any ideas? Is this some kind of error or typo? Strange.

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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
  • #156,537
  • Sep 12, 2022 9:04am Sep 12, 2022 9:04am
Not trading just getting ready for tomorrow.

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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #156,538
  • Sep 12, 2022 9:04am Sep 12, 2022 9:04am
Decision point ..."
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"No pain no gain"
  • #156,539
  • Sep 12, 2022 9:04am Sep 12, 2022 9:04am
Quoting MapleLeaf
Any ideas why they put "greater" instead of "better"? Greater means that inflation will be higher, which is BAD for currency. I can understand if they write "better", because its better than expected. But greater means you can get 0.2% which is worse than -0.1% (forecast) and thus its bad for currency. Any ideas? Is this some kind of error or typo? Strange. {image}
The world rushes to the dollar for safety, simple.
  • #156,540
  • Sep 12, 2022 9:16am Sep 12, 2022 9:16am
Quoting JBRolim
Decision point ..." {image}
Choosing up!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
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