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  • #156,401
  • Sep 9, 2022 5:21am Sep 9, 2022 5:21am
Quoting GreenJ
{quote} Yes. It should not have any direct outcome on the EU and he can cry wolf all he wants. Part of the deal was that they would get their share of the grains. But we've all seen how this type of news have an effect on the euro, lets see if there is a good shift in the market long term for the Euro. Futures are interesting this month...
ECB just stabilizing EURUSD at these levels. If, it keeps doing it and with the help of some good news, or bad for USD it can move above 1.0250.

The next two weeks will be interesting to watch for any Dollar failure. Also the close here above 1.0089 is critical for it to survive and stay stronger.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #156,402
  • Sep 9, 2022 5:22am Sep 9, 2022 5:22am
Placed a TP at 1.013 (for the medium term) for the winning positions, but might close positions earlier.
"No trade is still a trade." - Peter Borish
  • #156,403
  • Sep 9, 2022 5:48am Sep 9, 2022 5:48am
Dear Ata
1 / what do yiu think about this 2 chart ??
2 / big wave 5 finished or not
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  • #156,404
  • Sep 9, 2022 6:12am Sep 9, 2022 6:12am
unless we think the 2022 channel is being broken in the next 2 weeks, there is really only one way this thing is going
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always shorting eu All Time Profit: $1,476
  • #156,405
  • Sep 9, 2022 6:14am Sep 9, 2022 6:14am
gm
  • #156,406
  • Edited 7:19am Sep 9, 2022 6:35am | Edited 7:19am
0058 not supporting at all, so before next limit 0029 sr goes 0050/42
Weldone but 9928 still intact and even breaks 9984 nay again come forwards having imaginary channel chance. Waiting for what appen during next high impact new by few minutes. Will not any trade though before that and half hour next.
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #156,407
  • Sep 9, 2022 7:03am Sep 9, 2022 7:03am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Good day. Right now EU is bouncing from the trendline (red arrow) and if, it gives up then the level of Daily R1 could be next. EU did this upside from ECB's decision to hike 0.75% the IR, but also the bears went off and EU squeezed at Asia. I am watching close the 1.0089 resistance for a posible bounce up to 1.0100, but we may see parity again until the end of the day, or the next as weekend is very near. {image}
Bounced, reached 1.0114 then failed to keep 1..0085 high closed below the first trendline, tried to bounce at 1.0059, but failed again and now it closed below the second trendline as US Open is here. 1.000 should be easy if, 1.0030 fail to hold any bullisness.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #156,408
  • Sep 9, 2022 7:09am Sep 9, 2022 7:09am
I opened new long at 1.0041, with SL at 1.0025. My target is minimum retest today high.

Have a nice afternoon!
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #156,409
  • Sep 9, 2022 7:10am Sep 9, 2022 7:10am
Quoting ForexGoose
waiting to sell any spikes today after the ECB {image}
sell limit at 1.01 triggered earlier, nice dump so far
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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #156,410
  • Sep 9, 2022 7:11am Sep 9, 2022 7:11am
Quoting fontu
{quote} Still possible instead bull or pullback chance failed to do there by year end as in great bear for long Time, dates back 4/2008. so just to continue further 3 months.of want a pullback to over 0786 as 1st confirmation bull and pullback areas and just break and back fakeout possible . Having ist signal 0368 at shortest time and so on. So below 0368 and 0786 bear very intact and any further down . So bear proven and any pullback or bull unproven/imaginary to prove fast and first. Lets see. {image}
Some steps to complete for EUR. watching; USD is in crisis and no problems with war as EUR. (Lack of Gas, I believe energy and so on...) Speaking of which, in the possibility of the EUR extinction, I see a direct association between Dollar... Only one currency... A USD agreement may come in the future.
"No pain no gain"
  • #156,411
  • Sep 9, 2022 7:11am Sep 9, 2022 7:11am
Quoting marcin.kamaj
I opened new long at 1.0041, with SL at 1.0025. My target is minimum retest today high. Have a nice afternoon!
same here
  • #156,412
  • Sep 9, 2022 7:15am Sep 9, 2022 7:15am
https://www.zawya.com/en/world/uk-an...omats-kdut1oon

Quote
A European Union proposal to cap the price Europe pays for Russian gas did not receive broad support from EU energy ministers in a meeting on Friday, two diplomats with knowledge of the closed-door talks told Reuters.

EUR/USD is unlikely to rally further past 1.01, I think.
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #156,413
  • Sep 9, 2022 7:20am Sep 9, 2022 7:20am
London lunchtime. Quick update before leaving for weekend.

There's another accumulation trend playing out on higher time frame.
This trend began on Jun 28 (left chart). It might differ from the one began on Aug 18 (right chart, boxed area in left chart).
Regardless of whether the "spring low" happens during phase B or C, it's bound to test the level I marked $A1 (1.03 - 1.04 level).

Now, how quickly price will move to $A0 (1.018), $A1 and $A2 (1.06), are depending on news flow.
Market will soon realise the Fed will soon running out of tools. They can't just keep raising rates without QT.
Asian market has already showed sign of frustration, especially the Japanese, who are largest holders of US Treasury securities, at $1.2 trillion.
Give or take: 75 bps in Sep. Followed by 50 bps in Nov. Subsequently, 25 bps in Dec.
That would bring the Fed rate to 4% before 2022 ends.

At 2.5% currently, 2-yr note yield is already at 3.3%. The 3-month is approaching 3%.
Imagine at 4% Fed rate, where will the Treasury yield going to be? 5%? 6%?
Who is going to pay for that? Fiscally, they can't raise taxes, politicians want more spending packages. They're trapped.
What's the end result? Probably, another debt crisis? May be.
The final straw that hold everything together, for now, is the solid US employment numbers.

ECB side, 75 bps is expected in Oct. 100 bps is not out of reach. Followed by another 75 bps in December.
That brings ECB rate to 2.75% before 2022 ends.

Plan is simple. If it goes down, I buy. If it goes down some more, I buy some more.
I'm not going to stay around on this slow Friday afternoon watching prices.

Have a nice weekend. Take care.
Cat
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  • #156,414
  • Sep 9, 2022 7:41am Sep 9, 2022 7:41am
0076 limit up for down next, correction over 0069 target. Watching below 0076 if next leg down restarts!
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #156,415
  • Sep 9, 2022 7:45am Sep 9, 2022 7:45am
Quoting ForexGoose
https://www.zawya.com/en/world/uk-an...omats-kdut1oon {quote} EUR/USD is unlikely to rally further past 1.01, I think.
It is likelly (for the bulls) but will it make it until the end of the session, or fail below the new low at 0035?
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #156,416
  • Sep 9, 2022 8:22am Sep 9, 2022 8:22am
Quoting Wavegarrick
{quote} So far so good Folks, I will be waiting for a 4hr candle close either above 1.0100 in 70 minutes, if below 1.0100 I will look to enter a buy trade at 1.0050. Have a great day, Cheers. {image}
Setting up for buy trades at 1.0050.
Cheers.
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Trade to trade another day
  • #156,417
  • Sep 9, 2022 8:38am Sep 9, 2022 8:38am
Watch for a possible attempt to bring it down for the options expiries. 20 minutes is plenty of time for them to do that.
  • #156,418
  • Sep 9, 2022 8:47am Sep 9, 2022 8:47am
Quoting GreenJ
Watch for a possible attempt to bring it down for the options expiries. 20 minutes is plenty of time for them to do that.
Yeah can do any, come below 0043 to try test 0029 again before correction target over 0069!lets see
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #156,419
  • Sep 9, 2022 9:19am Sep 9, 2022 9:19am
The market is in a downward trend in the long term due to the crisis and everyone knows that the recovery will not be like this while the war is on that limits the power of the EUR for its socio-economic development... thinking like this I will try to sell in regions above the red line . (Observing REI currency).

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"No pain no gain"
  • #156,420
  • Sep 9, 2022 9:47am Sep 9, 2022 9:47am
Quoting JBRolim
The market is in a downward trend in the long term due to the crisis and everyone knows that the recovery will not be like this while the war is on that limits the power of the EUR for its socio-economic development... thinking like this I will try to sell in regions above the red line . (Observing REI currency). {image}
Likely a last leg up still possible while a last likely down the limit 0029 to stamp top failed due to ! Little suspense still intact, so daily close compete for 0054 ok if at all pssible.
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
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