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  • #155,941
  • Sep 4, 2022 8:54pm Sep 4, 2022 8:54pm
Quoting investing101
{quote} Hugely disagree, this was not predicted, and it's not priced in. There's a reason several European countries are reacting to this on a SUNDAY! I guess to you seeing European markets being down over 3% on a Sunday is "priced in" Just in China extends lockdown.
Nord stream 1 will continue to be turned on and off "unexpectedly" for the foreseeable future - expect it

I wouldn't be surprised to see e/u trade back above parity after european open.
  • #155,942
  • Sep 4, 2022 9:45pm Sep 4, 2022 9:45pm
Quoting Konichiwhaat
{quote} A bounce here off of last weeks low Lets try to fill the gap

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Im still bearish on EU. Eur looks weak and gap down seems like a sign to the downside. Lets see how this plays out though.
  • #155,943
  • Sep 4, 2022 9:50pm Sep 4, 2022 9:50pm
I adjusted Sl a little + below, waiting for the possible formation of an inverted OCO pattern.
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"No pain no gain"
  • #155,944
  • Sep 4, 2022 10:07pm Sep 4, 2022 10:07pm
Just targetting 9944 limit and above 9969. Anyway gap down and extension done so far, so a pullback likely fill and above last leg down, smaller now ( or may little bigger next. Over 0033/89 after better bottoming, supports ). Take care
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #155,945
  • Sep 4, 2022 10:10pm Sep 4, 2022 10:10pm
Leaving a buy limit at 0.99080 I hope the price will take the order and the OCO pattern will materialize.
"No pain no gain"
  • #155,946
  • Sep 4, 2022 11:56pm Sep 4, 2022 11:56pm
Looks like a decsending triangle on 1m, 0.99 remain holding for now.
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #155,947
  • Sep 5, 2022 12:05am Sep 5, 2022 12:05am
Witnessing history
  • #155,948
  • Sep 5, 2022 12:05am Sep 5, 2022 12:05am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Hi guys this is my plan up/down for the next week. In the red shadows is the range without the any extreme moves and inside the rectangle and with blue shadows is the range with the extreme range waited. Price can move plus the ranges, so watch when you are making an entry always follow the trend rules and go against the trend only when you are sure that there is not a threat in the air. Monthly chart is the king and you can follow the weekly chart too especially this time around. {image} Have a great rest of the weekend!
EU is down on energy crisis news from Friday, S1 Weekly support (see quotation with 4H chart) may hold it for a while, but its very risky for longs.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #155,949
  • Sep 5, 2022 12:15am Sep 5, 2022 12:15am
Volatility 76 pips, but the risk is that there is a US Bank Holiday today on the calendar.

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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #155,950
  • Sep 5, 2022 12:24am Sep 5, 2022 12:24am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Volatility 76 pips, but the risk is that there is a US Bank Holiday today on the calendar. {image}
I agree. End of US session will tell us where this is going but I think that this may push down to even monthly S1 or weekly S2. Sellers seem relentless. this is alot of seller momentum because as the price dropped down it brought in more activity(value)
  • #155,951
  • Sep 5, 2022 12:26am Sep 5, 2022 12:26am
Quoting hans91
{quote} Hi Bro, i'm amazed with your calmness, i'm thinking that this pair is very hard to reach 1.04 but you're still holding long till now. what if , just if , the price will never reach above parity for long term let say between 1.01 - 1.02? will you still hold even if it's carry on its crazy drop to 0.95 - 0.96?
It's sis. It will go back to 1.03 to 1.04 level. I'll buy more.

------

US Labor Day Monday.

Trading volume is likely to be thin. Therefore, I'll not trade too aggressively.
There is a drop on EURUSD over the weekend. It's nothing out of ordinary.

On the trend side, it looks like we might have entered the "spring" phase (C) of this accumulation cycle that began on 18 Aug.
I was looking at this 0.98888 level last Friday. We needed that. It came to fruition so quickly this morning. I did not catch that dip, but manage to long at 0.98904.
The game is simple. Feed politics. Turn retail sentiment into short, then stage a liquidation cascade event, reverse and rise up.

Best,
Cat
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  • #155,952
  • Sep 5, 2022 12:40am Sep 5, 2022 12:40am
Quoting sharingan9
{quote} I agree. End of US session will tell us where this is going but I think that this may push down to even monthly S1 or weekly S2. Sellers seem relentless. this is alot of seller momentum because as the price dropped down it brought in more activity(value)
Yes, that break was good. 0.98 might be around the corner If, ECB can't brink 1.0089 this week then good buy bulls for well.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #155,953
  • Sep 5, 2022 12:44am Sep 5, 2022 12:44am
Quoting johncen
Looks like a decsending triangle on 1m, 0.99 remain holding for now.
Just while we talk~ New low!
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #155,954
  • Sep 5, 2022 1:16am Sep 5, 2022 1:16am
When you started to read article after article this Sunday about European countries readying billions in dollars to support energy companies, that's when you knew .99 would break as soon as Sunday markets opened into early Monday.
  • #155,955
  • Sep 5, 2022 1:41am Sep 5, 2022 1:41am
Quoting investing101
When you started to read article after article this Sunday about European countries readying billions in dollars to support energy companies, that's when you knew .99 would break as soon as Sunday markets opened into early Monday.
I should admit, I was wrong and you were right, time to shift and follow the trend,, going against the trend won't end well for me.
  • #155,956
  • Sep 5, 2022 1:42am Sep 5, 2022 1:42am
The support level at USD 0.9879 now acts as the “last glimmer of hope”. If this falls, the currency pair is literally threatened with free fall due to the lack of support, since the next support would only be found at USD 0.9725. However, if there is at least an attempt at stabilization and USD 0.9917 could be recaptured, there would be an opportunity for a recovery to the USD 0.9952 – USD 0.9971 resistance area. However, due to the high downward momentum and the lack of prospects, variant 1 is considered more likely. On the futures side, the focus in today's trading is primarily on economic data from Europe.
carpe noctem
  • #155,957
  • Sep 5, 2022 2:03am Sep 5, 2022 2:03am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Volatility 76 pips, but the risk is that there is a US Bank Holiday today on the calendar. {image}
The 9910 point (blue shaded area) is holding the price below S1 daily level a posible target for bulls on 15 min. 9892 is the place I look for some support, but if, it break a visit to the lows again looks sure.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #155,958
  • Sep 5, 2022 2:04am Sep 5, 2022 2:04am
Until NY session (i.e. until bank holiday laziness starts), I only care for 0.9888.... Will it support or not? Time will tell...

Happy new trading week to all
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #155,959
  • Sep 5, 2022 2:11am Sep 5, 2022 2:11am
Quoting Merlz
{quote} I should admit, I was wrong and you were right, time to shift and follow the trend,, going against the trend won't end well for me.
I have lost so much money trying to find reversals. At this point in time, it's dangerous to be long and extremely dangerous to be short. The slightest political change in Ukraine will catapult the Euro potentially hundreds of pips in a single day. Frankly, in a few days I'm going to leave currencies alone until the political stance changes in Europe, then I'll look for longs. We also have to take into consideration that Europe could intervene the Euro, they started hinting at that.
  • #155,960
  • Sep 5, 2022 2:32am Sep 5, 2022 2:32am
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