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  • #153,561
  • Aug 4, 2022 7:05am Aug 4, 2022 7:05am
...just thinking out loud

*but of course these things take time to cook!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H4.png Size: 50 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #153,562
  • Aug 4, 2022 7:08am Aug 4, 2022 7:08am
For all you longer-term traders. Elliott Wave on the DXY is playing out quite nicely. And showing a very clear sign of weakness. Here is my expectation for DXY in the coming weeks. Next stop, ~107.9. This is where I start looking for a large SELL on DXY (or BUY on EURUSD).

Retest of ~1.00925 Likely in the short term. This is the first BUY opp

Cheers!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DXYupdate08-04-2022.png Size: 57 KB
  • #153,563
  • Aug 4, 2022 7:14am Aug 4, 2022 7:14am
I agree with ATA today, a big buy is coming, target is 1.03228.The main reason for the buy is the bullish doji on daily indicating a possible change of direction. The next 4hr candle will initiate the big buy.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #153,564
  • Aug 4, 2022 7:15am Aug 4, 2022 7:15am
Quoting fxsport
{quote} Or maybe the thing that sets it off is the BOE statement: 13% inflation AND a recession coming!!!
Maybe that, but I don't know how it is going to play out for EU: Japan Defence Minister: five ballistic missiles fired by China appear to have landed within Japan's exclusive economic zone, for the first time ever

https://www.forexfactory.com/news/11...siles-fired-by
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #153,565
  • Aug 4, 2022 7:17am Aug 4, 2022 7:17am
All of my currently growing bullish bias will diminish if bulls can not achieve a DAILY candle close above 1.0210 until end of this week... If bulls fail to do that I would join bears again!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #153,566
  • Aug 4, 2022 7:18am Aug 4, 2022 7:18am
Quoting MarvOli
For all you longer-term traders. Elliott Wave on the DXY is playing out quite nicely. And showing a very clear sign of weakness. Here is my expectation for DXY in the coming weeks. Next stop, ~107.9. This is where I start looking for a large SELL on DXY (or BUY on EURUSD). Retest of ~1.00925 Likely in the short term. This is the first BUY opp Cheers! {image}
So it either go up or down?
Wow very impressive! because I thought it would go left
  • #153,567
  • Aug 4, 2022 7:21am Aug 4, 2022 7:21am
Quoting Youfail
{quote} So it either go up or down? Wow very impressive! because I thought it would go left
I don't think you understand the chart. A short-term bottom on DXY is in. The next stop is ~107.9. I am saying DXY is set to increase, then a big fall.
  • #153,568
  • Aug 4, 2022 7:27am Aug 4, 2022 7:27am
Quoting MarvOli
{quote} I don't think you understand the chart. A short-term bottom on DXY is in. The next stop is ~107.9. I am saying DXY is set to increase, then a big fall.
Interesting, because I'm bullish DXY too.
(I don't use Elliott waves Idon't see how that work)
  • #153,569
  • Aug 4, 2022 7:27am Aug 4, 2022 7:27am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
All of my currently growing bullish bias will diminish if bulls can not achieve a DAILY candle close above 1.0210 until end of this week... If bulls fail to do that I would join bears again!
I agree. 1.021-1.022 look like very nice SELL entry points.
  • #153,570
  • Aug 4, 2022 7:29am Aug 4, 2022 7:29am
The chart is preparing for a rally. Very careful
  • #153,571
  • Aug 4, 2022 7:33am Aug 4, 2022 7:33am
Quoting Youfail
{quote} Interesting, because I'm bullish DXY too. (I don't use Elliott waves Idon't see how that work)

This is why the forum is here. We can all exchange ideas. I'm not always right. I have been wrong many times this year for example:

1. I didn't think Russia would attack Ukraine
2. I didn't think BTC would fall to sub 20k
3. I don't think China will attack Taiwan (I'm probably going to be wrong again)

My expectation for the next 2 years is DXY down to ~90 with a big run to ~120. So one could say I am ALSO bullish on DXY
  • #153,572
  • Aug 4, 2022 7:38am Aug 4, 2022 7:38am
@MarvOli


Be carefull plz. DXY < 106.5

AND :

DXY = 104.594 ( Need your time. )
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY.jpg Size: 16 KB
  • #153,573
  • Aug 4, 2022 7:56am Aug 4, 2022 7:56am
You are watching bulls against rejective daemons

*I there even a word named "rejective" but anyway you get the point...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-M30.png Size: 21 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #153,574
  • Aug 4, 2022 8:01am Aug 4, 2022 8:01am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
You are watching bulls against rejective deamons *I there even a word named "rejective" but anyway you get the point... {image}
Damn, pretty stoked rejections, I think it's the daily cycle in action
  • #153,575
  • Aug 4, 2022 8:05am Aug 4, 2022 8:05am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
You are watching bulls against rejective daemons *I there even a word named "rejective" but anyway you get the point... {image}
More like this to 1.0190:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: notpass.jpg Size: 40 KB
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #153,576
  • Aug 4, 2022 8:06am Aug 4, 2022 8:06am
Quoting Youfail
{quote} Damn, pretty stoked rejections, I think it's the daily cycle in action
Lol... really annoying... it's like Mr. Bull is begging his wife while heavily knocking at the doors: "Diana pleezzz..open the door and let me in.. I was drunk and I swear it won't happen again.. You are the one I love...".. But wife doesn't care!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #153,577
  • Aug 4, 2022 8:14am Aug 4, 2022 8:14am
my trading plan
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: resim_2022-08-04_161446930.png Size: 21 KB
Swing Trader
  • #153,578
  • Aug 4, 2022 8:17am Aug 4, 2022 8:17am
Quoting fxsport
{quote} More like this to 1.0190: {image}
True true.. the classic that never dies

Overall and based on H1, I am watching: 1.0170.... As long as H1 candles open above it, bulls will not give up trying!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #153,579
  • Aug 4, 2022 8:19am Aug 4, 2022 8:19am
Quoting mustafayucel
DXY my idea {image}
update
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: resim_2022-08-04_161910385.png Size: 21 KB
Swing Trader
  • #153,580
  • Aug 4, 2022 8:20am Aug 4, 2022 8:20am
Quoting nic9man
My humble opinion. {image}
In case the wedge breaks to the downside before completing the channel I would still expect the channel to be completed, but then in form of a retest from below the wedge.
Another day, another dollar.
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