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EURUSD only

  • #153,381
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:16am Aug 3, 2022 4:16am
1.0176 is support now on 15 min, but a break below will open for the lows again to 1.0155/51.
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  • #153,382
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:19am Aug 3, 2022 4:19am
another perspective
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Swing Trader
  • #153,383
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:20am Aug 3, 2022 4:20am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Normally this should have been gone back to bearish but something fishy is on the play.. I will stay on sidelines for a while..
I think everything is normal until 0215 or finally 0220⁦⁩
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #153,384
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:22am Aug 3, 2022 4:22am
an unsuccessful swing motion. if the red line is broken EU will gain more strength.
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Swing Trader
  • #153,385
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:29am Aug 3, 2022 4:29am
Took 10 pips. We didn't get the big bullish breakout I expected.
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
  • #153,386
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:31am Aug 3, 2022 4:31am
Quoting Erkat
{quote} I think everything is normal until 0215 or finally 0220⁦⁩
I know exactly what you mean brother no worries... It is just that last fake spike that felt so annoying, because I know so good that price must go back to retest 1.0179 or even 1.0165 area... Anyway.. not a big deal..

Best wishes
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #153,387
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:31am Aug 3, 2022 4:31am
It is possible that we are now at a point in the Wyckoff pattern that I have marked with a blue arrow in the image.
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Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #153,388
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:34am Aug 3, 2022 4:34am
ELWAVE
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  • #153,389
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:35am Aug 3, 2022 4:35am
Quoting Erkat
It is possible that we are now at a point in the Wyckoff pattern that I have marked with a blue arrow in the image. {image}
...music to my ears
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #153,390
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:37am Aug 3, 2022 4:37am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} I know exactly what you mean brother no worries... It is just that last fake spike that felt so annoying, because I know so good that price must go back to retest 1.0179 or even 1.0165 area... Anyway.. not a big deal.. Best wishes {image}
Yeah... the initial momentum is not following through. Further, classical bearish divergence is showing up on 15min. If that stays, it feels that in around 1 h it might drop and continue yesterday's move.
  • #153,391
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:37am Aug 3, 2022 4:37am
I'm not expecting a strong bearish daily candle for the day.

I think the market needs to test a little higher before deciding what to do next.

Anyway, we've been trading in a 196 pips for the past 11/12 sessions. That's a very thight range, considering it's been over 2 weeks.
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  • #153,392
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:37am Aug 3, 2022 4:37am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} ...music to my ears
⁦⁩⁦⁩
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #153,393
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:47am Aug 3, 2022 4:47am
Meanwhile, on H4...

While price sticks to 1.0195 like houseflies stick to odorous excrement, soon I expect a retest of lows of the previous doji candle... Not a 100% must but "often", let's say 8 out of 10 it happens! Time will tell...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #153,394
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:47am Aug 3, 2022 4:47am
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I hope
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #153,395
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:52am Aug 3, 2022 4:52am
Quoting Erkat
{image}I hope
..music to my ears and a decent movie for the weekend
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #153,396
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:52am Aug 3, 2022 4:52am
USD ISM Services PMI forecast 53.5 previous 55.3 later today to save the EU bulls, but will they bite! As for me I am biting already and its good to get the release first, before any entry.

EU doesn't move after the break of the Asian session yet, and this is boring.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #153,397
  • Aug 3, 2022 4:52am Aug 3, 2022 4:52am
Quoting Erkat
It is possible that we are now at a point in the Wyckoff pattern that I have marked with a blue arrow in the image. {image}
Good that you post that pattern chart. It looks not exactly but a bit close to the EUR daily. But more important, if today the down move continues then a double top pattern will emerges that could take us back below parity.

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  • #153,398
  • Aug 3, 2022 5:02am Aug 3, 2022 5:02am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
USD ISM Services PMI forecast 53.5 previous 55.3 later today to save the EU bulls, but will they bite! As for me I am biting already and its good to get the release first, before any entry. EU doesn't move after the break of the Asian session yet, and this is boring.

Might be boring till Friday. Big option expiries starting today. Will be surprised if it gets above 1.02
  • #153,399
  • Aug 3, 2022 5:06am Aug 3, 2022 5:06am
Keep in mind the full blown bearish engulfing candle with a supply yesterday that clearly says, bears are in charge. All these are minor retracement to allow people to sell. We should not have 3 4hr bull candles in a row if we are going down. Besides we already took out the lows of yesterday automatically giving bears upper hand.
My target for today is 1.00324.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #153,400
  • Aug 3, 2022 5:07am Aug 3, 2022 5:07am
Quoting GreenJ
{quote} Might be boring till Friday. Big option expiries starting today. Will be surprised if it gets above 1.02
I hope not so much!


These are from FXStreet:

1.0100 695m
1.0150 589m
1.0200 928m
1.0250 459m
1.0285 318m
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