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  • #153,121
  • Jul 30, 2022 4:19am Jul 30, 2022 4:19am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
My Quick H4 Opinions for Monday I know, many of you are tired from this choppy price action and of course now you are expecting (almost brain forcing) a quick break above main resistance so that we finally can complete wave C.. I hear you! That said, I am not that sure that market will hand you this dream just so easily! I have my suspicions! To me, the current wave B doesn't feel deep enough! Most stops of early bulls are most likely waiting below 1.0070 and have not been touched yet! If banks just give up on those and push price higher, then so...
Interesting setup. I`ll watch close.
  • #153,122
  • Jul 30, 2022 4:41am Jul 30, 2022 4:41am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
I would be one of the most aggressive buyers this thread has ever seen..

Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #153,123
  • Jul 30, 2022 5:14am Jul 30, 2022 5:14am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
My Quick H4 Opinions for Monday I know, many of you are tired from this choppy price action and of course now you are expecting (almost brain forcing) a quick break above main resistance so that we finally can complete wave C.. I hear you! That said, I am not that sure that market will hand you this dream just so easily! I have my suspicions! To me, the current wave B doesn't feel deep enough! Most stops of early bulls are most likely waiting below 1.0070 and have not been touched yet! If banks just give up on those and push price higher, then so...
Spot on post!
Too much light on it, i had to put my shades on
Face 'ur fears & tame 'ur greed
  • #153,124
  • Jul 30, 2022 8:24am Jul 30, 2022 8:24am
Hello!!

EUR/USD Levels

R - 1.0242
S - 1.0166

Important News:

ISM Manufacturing PMI (Monday) (Importance: High)
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  • #153,125
  • Jul 30, 2022 9:07am Jul 30, 2022 9:07am
Quoting JayfrmLa83
For your consideration. Note: SMC traders may observe range over past 2 weeks as Wyckoff accumulation/ distribution. With this in mind, maybe around LPS levels. Good weekend to reflect... {image} {image}
Nice chart and analysis!
A break of a 2 weeks range to the downside is capable of sending us below parity again!

This is a warning to early potential bulls.

Quoting Whale
possible scenarios for next week {image}
My words in a picture.

Thanks, Whale.
Face 'ur fears & tame 'ur greed
  • #153,126
  • Jul 30, 2022 10:01am Jul 30, 2022 10:01am
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  • #153,127
  • Jul 30, 2022 11:10am Jul 30, 2022 11:10am
Eu sell.

Tp = 1.01188
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  • #153,128
  • Jul 30, 2022 3:33pm Jul 30, 2022 3:33pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I try my best Alexander, thanks you are welcome!
Thank U,I am not a Newbie,I tradied since 1995 ,I was ownner Hedge found and Brokerage house,but on this" Way",since 2014,this is the hard way,very.Sincerly.Alex
  • #153,129
  • Jul 30, 2022 4:00pm Jul 30, 2022 4:00pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
and if this goes really below 1.0070, I would be one of the most aggressive buyers this thread has ever seen.. I hope it helps {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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But MY question is this - will you sell B4 1.0070?

All joking aside I am with you in that I expected a retest of the July 14th lows in order to feel good about a sustained EU rally.

Let me see pairty and then:

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...because you never know - until you do!
  • #153,130
  • Jul 30, 2022 5:10pm Jul 30, 2022 5:10pm
Quoting JBRolim
{quote} I still see it possible to buy at 1.01200 to start the month, however, for next Monday, reach 1.02800/1.03000 ... I hope I'm right.
Here is my strategy for my post above.

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I believe the price will hit the 61% Fibo retracement before falling. pullback rebound will be at 1.01200 where my sales Tp is already. I will be buying from 1.01200 Tp 1.03800.
Let's see how the market will behave day, day...
"No pain no gain"
  • #153,131
  • Edited 2:11am Jul 31, 2022 12:32am | Edited 2:11am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
I wouldn't mind at all and happily jump on the "C" train wagon... But NOPE! I think robber banks will eventually create a new dump down to 1.0070 area before pumping up! Maybe it is just me, but this is the gut feeling I have, so I will be looking for sell opportunities as long as H1 candles open below main resistance on chart (1.0255 area)... and if this goes really below 1.0070, I would be one of the most aggressive buyers this thread has ever seen.. I hope it helps {image}
Quite a bit busy the last days with project works... but it’s weekend so time for reviewing the week’s actions.
Anyhow, I am full on Ata’s side for a number of reasons:

1) The formation is incomplete for a full-fledged bull breakup. That shall not mean that it cannot happen, but there are odds that it won’t. As Ata indicates, the current formation looks a bit messy… but with the dip to 1.0070± it will turn into a bullish megaphone (or call it trumpet). That could, imho, be a proper jump board to 1.0380 and 1.05/06.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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2) Also if the drop and the jump back of the EUR to 1.0270/80 happens within the next 5 days it will form a perfect weekly 38% pinbar with a long wicket – something that cries after a bull run.
3) Further, it would also correlate with the DXY, who has still some unfinished business (around 106.70 – 107.00) before continuing his next leg down to 104. That would also correlate well with an (sorry for mention) overdue temporary correction in the equity market that got a bit too much ahead of itself the last 3 days (perhaps Pelosi stumbles on some stairs in Taipei – maybe that helps).
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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4) And... the DXY just finished the month with a beautiful 23.6% pinbar. Something we should not ignore.
  • #153,132
  • Jul 31, 2022 2:37am Jul 31, 2022 2:37am
Quoting Alex1056
{quote} Thank U,I am not a Newbie,I tradied since 1995 ,I was ownner Hedge found and Brokerage house,but on this" Way",since 2014,this is the hard way,very.Sincerly.Alex
Sorry I didn't knew, FF is protecting our indentity. What happened?

I am just a retail trader Can't understand many of this.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #153,133
  • Jul 31, 2022 3:18am Jul 31, 2022 3:18am
though mirroring yet 1-2 days delays ok at times as they play almost perfect . so while usdx confirmed an immediate top failure eu still no able tried yet correspondingly , so maximum pressure may intact finish the job , breaks limit 0349! while h4 and daily closes likely impact , may not break directly and hold h4 tf closewise rather a correction possible as the benefit of doubt! so ranges possible 0280 to 0146 may monday while pressure mounts for 0349 + next days ! lets see take care
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #153,134
  • Jul 31, 2022 8:41am Jul 31, 2022 8:41am
Hidden Divergence suggests a lower price in 1Hr. timeframe in my opinion, any ideas?
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  • #153,135
  • Jul 31, 2022 8:48am Jul 31, 2022 8:48am
This week we are entering will be a serious determining factor to know if the down trend has ended or not.

Last week's candle closed as an inside bar indicating possible weakness on the bull side.

First scenario: We have a strong bull that hits 1.04000 area then bears can try to sell it off and turn it bearish.

Second scenario : We test 1.02400 resistance and drop from there taking out the lows of last month and the bear trend continues (not advisable to buy again if this happens).

Third scenario : We take out the highs of Friday and test 1.02700 and then drop from there thereby rewarding bears for their patience since last two weeks.

Honestly I can't tell which one will play out but for now I am favouring the bulls because we have started making higher highs and higher lows. So I will be going with the first scenario and possibly adapt if I see the need to.

Have a nice trading week ahead.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #153,136
  • Jul 31, 2022 10:43am Jul 31, 2022 10:43am
M30 chart TF...

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Since Frank Sinatra sings in his own way, my chart sing... I did it, my way
  • #153,137
  • Jul 31, 2022 12:39pm Jul 31, 2022 12:39pm
Quoting Austyno
This week we are entering will be a serious determining factor to know if the down trend has ended or not. Last week's candle closed as an inside bar indicating possible weakness on the bull side. First scenario: We have a strong bull that hits 1.04000 area then bears can try to sell it off and turn it bearish. Second scenario : We test 1.02400 resistance and drop from there taking out the lows of last month and the bear trend continues (not advisable to buy again if this happens). Third scenario : We take out the highs of Friday and test 1.02700...
Great,, I'll pick the third scenario out of these and go with it
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #153,138
  • Jul 31, 2022 3:53pm Jul 31, 2022 3:53pm
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} Sorry I didn't knew, FF is protecting our indentity. What happened? I am just a retail trader Can't understand many of this.
No mater at all,but are U profitable trader at least 1 year or you somebody U to Know,because I dont know something like that,except if U have U are brokerage house and very well doing in EA"s ....with normal resume positive results?Because,all manually trading are unpossible,if I am wrong,just tell me.Best wishes not onlly for for all fihters at forex exchance.Alexander
  • #153,139
  • Jul 31, 2022 4:34pm Jul 31, 2022 4:34pm
Quoting Alex1056
{quote} No mater at all,but are U profitable trader at least 1 year or you somebody U to Know,because I dont know something like that,except if U have U are brokerage house and very well doing in EA"s ....with normal resume positive results?Because,all manually trading are unpossible,if I am wrong,just tell me.Best wishes not onlly for for all fihters at forex exchance.Alexander
I just want to know,who is profitable trader,manually,at least 1 year,and I am sure 100% nobody,maybe a fue,but....with detailment statement and that here will no Demo account and that will be a professional trader,no other bussines thant he can made docapitalisations,just pure,balance,for beggining to last dateThanks,soorry,Alexnder
  • #153,140
  • Jul 31, 2022 4:50pm Jul 31, 2022 4:50pm
Wishing all our members a happy and successful trading week..

Keep quality content around EURUSD coming... Thanks!

Best wishes
Focus only on what truly matters!
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