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  • #152,921
  • Jul 28, 2022 4:40am Jul 28, 2022 4:40am
With my approximative English I'm testing a typical new expression
Touched, but not yet sunk. (the red oblic line)

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  • #152,922
  • Jul 28, 2022 4:57am Jul 28, 2022 4:57am
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #152,923
  • Jul 28, 2022 5:02am Jul 28, 2022 5:02am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} The correction migh be over, or just started. So... 0217 is holdind down the momentum above might threat the high of the day and below 0180 we migh see 0160.
EU did it once again! 76 pips as predicted, I am very good at this

0180 now is resistance. Also 0220, but that is not yet in the eye of the tiger, or is it?! Time will tell!

Edit: next low will be if, not the same around 1.0151, the 0.236 weekly fibo at 1.0135.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #152,924
  • Edited 7:40am Jul 28, 2022 5:03am | Edited 7:40am
Quoting blueRocket
But not sunk. {image}
Ohohoh Where is the captain?

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Update
Red arrow, Targeted but not reached.
Look at the descending chanel

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Update... Bottom of CCURV at 1.0100

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Alerted
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Powerful
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  • #152,925
  • Jul 28, 2022 5:23am Jul 28, 2022 5:23am
Comparing both images that show the Wyckoff pattern, there is a possibility that the trend will continue based on the results of the Wyckoff pattern.
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Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #152,926
  • Jul 28, 2022 5:36am Jul 28, 2022 5:36am
Quoting Erkat
Comparing both images that show the Wyckoff pattern, there is a possibility that the trend will continue based on the results of the Wyckoff pattern. {image} {image}
Good example. I don't do Wyckoff analysis, because I didn't liked mt4/5 volume and that is why I look at options for volume, Open Interest and volatility. Although I may have in mind some of the principals.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #152,927
  • Jul 28, 2022 5:57am Jul 28, 2022 5:57am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} EU did it once again! 76 pips as predicted, I am very good at this 0180 now is resistance. Also 0220, but that is not yet in the eye of the tiger, or is it?! Time will tell! Edit: next low will be if, not the same around 1.0151, the 0.236 weekly fibo at 1.0135.
What a dump! Its going to be a big day! 1.0166 is now resistance, EU need to stay below, or make it above it. S/R is at 1.0109 and 1.0181.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #152,928
  • Jul 28, 2022 6:03am Jul 28, 2022 6:03am
Quoting Erkat
{quote} The bearish movement that started after this prediction can end temporarily in the range between 1.0110 and 1.0100.(in the range of 10 pips)
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This level of temporaryness could have been to the extent that it completed Wyckoff's model
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #152,929
  • Jul 28, 2022 6:18am Jul 28, 2022 6:18am
From here on forward, I am waiting for a revisit to 1.0150/65 area... After that we shall see how it goes!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #152,930
  • Jul 28, 2022 6:24am Jul 28, 2022 6:24am
How was FOMC yesterday?

Pending scalp long 1.0107.
  • #152,931
  • Jul 28, 2022 6:28am Jul 28, 2022 6:28am
I don't know if anyone needs my advice, but don't buy today. It looks to me like a serious falling knife.
Risk Management is of utmost importance!
  • #152,932
  • Jul 28, 2022 6:30am Jul 28, 2022 6:30am
Quoting RCtrader
I don't know if anyone needs my advice, but don't buy today. It looks to me like a serious falling knife.
It reached the lower limit of the Bollinger Bands on H1, so it could rebound, but to me it's risky.
Risk Management is of utmost importance!
  • #152,933
  • Jul 28, 2022 6:30am Jul 28, 2022 6:30am
Quoting RCtrader
I don't know if anyone needs my advice, but don't buy today. It looks to me like a serious falling knife.
The same story after FOMC theee days. They deceive people into buying by taking out sellers stop loss first then dump everything.
  • #152,934
  • Jul 28, 2022 6:30am Jul 28, 2022 6:30am
Quoting RCtrader
I don't know if anyone needs my advice, but don't buy today. It looks to me like a serious falling knife.
I quite agree ⁦⁩
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #152,935
  • Jul 28, 2022 6:32am Jul 28, 2022 6:32am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
From here on forward, I am waiting for a revisit to 1.0150/65 area... After that we shall see how it goes!
Agree, that's what I'm also selling for this move, a pullback to about these areas so 1.00400 / 1.00300 will be expected.
"No pain no gain"
  • #152,936
  • Jul 28, 2022 6:45am Jul 28, 2022 6:45am
Quoting JBRolim
{quote} Agree, that's what I'm also selling for this move, a pullback to about these areas so 1.00400 / 1.00300 will be expected.
I go step by step since I am not so sure that we will have bearish continuation after the pullback... So for now I only want to see a pullback to 1.0150/65 area first... Once/if price arrives there, I will watch behavior!

Best wishes
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #152,937
  • Jul 28, 2022 6:46am Jul 28, 2022 6:46am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} I go step by step since I am not so sure that we will have bearish continuation after the pullback... So for now I only want to see a pullback to 1.0150/65 area first... Then I will watch to see behavior! Best wishes
Chic "
"No pain no gain"
  • #152,938
  • Jul 28, 2022 6:52am Jul 28, 2022 6:52am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} I go step by step since I am not so sure that we will have bearish continuation after the pullback... So for now I only want to see a pullback to 1.0150/65 area first... Once/if price arrives there, I will watch behavior! Best wishes
So what will be the cause for the move? GDP and unemployement in 45 minutes.

In my reasoning the jump yesterday was due to the language that Powell used - data dependent. Most people interpreted this as a "slow down" in raising interest rates; no increase in August and 0.5% in September and possible 0.25% in October as well then pause. This ASSUMES that the FED cares - sorry but they don't.

While it takes time for the increases to take effect the FED wants to be taken seriously. If the GDP comes in hotter than forecast I would expect DXY to jump up and EUR/USD to fall to the 1.0050 but short of pairity - today. If the numbers come in softer I would expect EU to rise to the 1.02 level. JMO

...because you never know - until you do!
  • #152,939
  • Jul 28, 2022 6:56am Jul 28, 2022 6:56am
Quoting blueRocket
After FED Conf effect, Alert on the high oblique {image} ... / Upward 8H33 .(2H33 NYork) first, only impact .... I also monitor the top of the CCurv for a reverse Update 8H46 (NY 2H46) {image} {image} Update {image} Down {image} {image} Update {image} Down... {image} Top of last ribbon bottom of the CCurv {image} {image}
And

Quoting blueRocket
{quote} Ohohoh Where is the captain? {image} Update Red arrow, Targeted but not reached. Look at the descending chanel {image} Update... Bottom of CCURV at 1.0100 {image} {image}
Debrief Updated

Alert triggered, oblique contact.
  • #152,940
  • Jul 28, 2022 7:03am Jul 28, 2022 7:03am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} What a dump! Its going to be a big day! 1.0166 is now resistance, EU need to stay below, or make it above it. S/R is at 1.0109 and 1.0181.
0137 is the new decision point now! S/R is at 1.0109 - 1.0097/1.0166.
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