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EURUSD only

  • #152,701
  • Jul 26, 2022 5:51am Jul 26, 2022 5:51am
We can see a bounce here
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  • #152,702
  • Jul 26, 2022 5:59am Jul 26, 2022 5:59am
Meanwhile, on M30...

New sell opportunities could be lurking around 1.0164/71...
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #152,703
  • Jul 26, 2022 6:00am Jul 26, 2022 6:00am
.01376 / .02332 support/resist lines work as intended.
I hope this time we`ll get .03288 and go for retesting +/-.0011
  • #152,704
  • Jul 26, 2022 6:18am Jul 26, 2022 6:18am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Meanwhile, on M30... New sell opportunities could be lurking around 1.0164/71... {image}
Given all the pipeline drama and the Fed rate decision coming tomorrow, there is NO way (Unless Russia claims peace with Ukraine) I am buying this pair today. Only looking for short setups. Creating a perfect storm for ~.985.
  • #152,705
  • Jul 26, 2022 6:27am Jul 26, 2022 6:27am
Quoting MarvOli
{quote} Given all the pipeline drama and the Fed rate decision coming tomorrow, there is NO way (Unless Russia claims peace with Ukraine) I am buying this pair today. Only looking for short setups. Creating a perfect storm for ~.985.
IMO, your loss since we are about to move 150 pips upwards.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #152,706
  • Jul 26, 2022 6:28am Jul 26, 2022 6:28am
I posted this on weekend:

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Broke the low of the channel took out the 50 ma and now is looking for the 1.0128/1.0123 level, or at S1 at 1.0103.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #152,707
  • Jul 26, 2022 6:29am Jul 26, 2022 6:29am
Thinking the Fed will go with 50 bps if housing figures detiriorated and keep 50 or 75 for September. Dollar has to come down for global economy to kick start again.
  • #152,708
  • Jul 26, 2022 6:45am Jul 26, 2022 6:45am
Quoting MarvOli
{quote} Given all the pipeline drama and the Fed rate decision coming tomorrow, there is NO way (Unless Russia claims peace with Ukraine) I am buying this pair today. Only looking for short setups. Creating a perfect storm for ~.985.
Quoting Austyno
{quote} IMO, your loss since we are about to move 150 pips upwards.
Both of you: don't be strict... relax boys and flow along... Always care to know how to quickly adapt to the constantly changing dynamics of the market...

Best wishes
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #152,709
  • Jul 26, 2022 6:46am Jul 26, 2022 6:46am
At 15 min. graph 1.0153 is holding the trend down and above there 1.0185 is what may look for. I am bear in this case!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #152,710
  • Jul 26, 2022 6:48am Jul 26, 2022 6:48am
Quoting Austyno
{quote} IMO, your loss since we are about to move 150 pips upwards.
You could be right. I have too many other pairs to trade are at significantly more pivotal areas. I'd rather play it safe and watch and see I wish you BIG PIPS!

To further strengthen your thesis. Tomorrow, before the Feds decision, there are some large (I have been watching Options Expiry Contracts now for about 1.5 years, and I have NEVER seen this much money expire in one day (Over 5.5 Billion Euro at one time) Options expiring at the following levels:

Strike = 1.01 1.5 Billion EURO
Strike = 1.02 1.2 Billion EURO
Strike = 1.025 2.0 Billion EURO
Strike = 1.03 1.1 Billion EURO

These could be there to act as Support or Resistance. But in any case, this pair will be extremely volatile. Good Luck!
  • #152,711
  • Jul 26, 2022 6:50am Jul 26, 2022 6:50am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} {quote} Both of you: don't be strict... relax boys and flow along... Always care to know how to quickly adapt to the constantly changing dynamics of the market... Best wishes
I thought the purpose was to throw out ideas as a team here. I am not trying to be right and I will never say "I told ya so." Just giving my perspective

Cheers!
  • #152,712
  • Jul 26, 2022 6:59am Jul 26, 2022 6:59am
Quoting GreenJ
Thinking the Fed will go with 50 bps if housing figures detiriorated and keep 50 or 75 for September. Dollar has to come down for global economy to kick start again.
This is also my thought. I couldn't agree more. If we get only 50BP, we will see the markets go MUCH higher. This will be the Pivot many are watching for.
  • #152,713
  • Jul 26, 2022 7:03am Jul 26, 2022 7:03am
Quoting Erkat
This boring market condition is probably ready to trigger a bull trap and then collapse
The bearish movement that started after this prediction can end temporarily in the range between 1.0110 and 1.0100.(in the range of 10 pips)
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #152,714
  • Jul 26, 2022 7:13am Jul 26, 2022 7:13am
Quoting Erkat
{quote} The bearish movement that started after this prediction can end temporarily in the range between 1.0110 and 1.0100.(in the range of 10 pips)
Good eye! EU failed as you predicted.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #152,715
  • Jul 26, 2022 7:13am Jul 26, 2022 7:13am
Quoting MarvOli
{quote} You could be right. I have too many other pairs to trade are at significantly more pivotal areas. I'd rather play it safe and watch and see I wish you BIG PIPS! To further strengthen your thesis. Tomorrow, before the Feds decision, there are some large (I have been watching Options Expiry Contracts now for about 1.5 years, and I have NEVER seen this much money expire in one day (Over 5.5 Billion Euro at one time) Options expiring at the following levels: Strike = 1.01 1.5 Billion EURO Strike = 1.02 1.2 Billion EURO Strike = 1.025...

and what are those PUTS OR CALLS
Thats how I know options work
  • #152,716
  • Jul 26, 2022 7:18am Jul 26, 2022 7:18am
Quoting MarvOli
{quote} I thought the purpose was to throw out ideas as a team here. I am not trying to be right and I will never say "I told ya so." Just giving my perspective Cheers!
I know buddy.. my friendly critic was solely for "strictness" and had nothing to do with an "I told ya so" attitude... Austyno was strict of not letting go of his longs.. And yours was that "no way I am buying" part! In other words, my point was: A trader should keep buying or selling whenever situation changes... Cheers...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #152,717
  • Jul 26, 2022 7:19am Jul 26, 2022 7:19am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
At 15 min. graph 1.0153 is holding the trend down and above there 1.0185 is what may look for. I am bear in this case!
EU is moving like, water. New decision point at 0138.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #152,718
  • Jul 26, 2022 7:27am Jul 26, 2022 7:27am
Meanwhile, on H1...

Elliptical breakouts are almost always brutal! So far I can see that maybe after a brief pullback to 1.0161, this drop will continue towards 1.0071 area... As long as price stays inside the big ellipse, all this is probably part of the wave B...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #152,719
  • Jul 26, 2022 7:29am Jul 26, 2022 7:29am
Quoting stormtrader
{quote} and what are those PUTS OR CALLS Thats how I know options work

That is the problem when tracking the Options. They are NOT required to notate if they are puts, calls, or a DNT ( A DNT = Do Not Touch is an option that gives the trader an agreed-upon payout if the price does not reach or surpass the specified level.)

This is why I do not put a lot of faith in it. But, it is useful in many other ways. My opinion is that :
1st: there will be a lot more volatility and a lot more manipulation than normal. I tend to stay away from pairs that have this type of possible manipulation.
2nd: when I have much conviction that the price will either go higher or lower, and there are a lot of options expiring, I usually wait until they expire (most of the time you will see price gravitate TOWARDS the expiring large contract size), then I enter my trade once expired.
  • #152,720
  • Jul 26, 2022 7:31am Jul 26, 2022 7:31am
Congrats to bears!

Just got into the desk, trying to reverse this market.
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Be hopeful in a winning position, and fearful in a losing position.
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