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  • #152,241
  • Jul 19, 2022 6:54pm Jul 19, 2022 6:54pm
It looks like they will immediately break through 1.0250 (MA100) on 4H and immediately to the area of 1.0350 (MA200).
  • #152,242
  • Jul 19, 2022 7:04pm Jul 19, 2022 7:04pm
If there's a bear breakout, I'm looking at 1.0200 with the first support for possible long entry, which I believe will happen. but from here on again you may have the bull breakout. is about to start the show.
"No pain no gain"
  • #152,243
  • Jul 19, 2022 7:12pm Jul 19, 2022 7:12pm
Wow, this thing really took off from the big 1.000! I was unable to get into a longer term buy trade, but good little scalps on the way up. Looks like it will want to go all the way to about 1.0353 now.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #152,244
  • Jul 19, 2022 7:23pm Jul 19, 2022 7:23pm
Quoting JBRolim
If there's a bear breakout, I'm looking at 1.0200 with the first support for possible long entry, which I believe will happen. but from here on again you may have the bull breakout. is about to start the show.
If 1.02000 hold I will enter 1.02300 long
"No pain no gain"
  • #152,245
  • Jul 19, 2022 8:07pm Jul 19, 2022 8:07pm
Quoting JBRolim
{quote} If 1.02000 hold I will enter 1.02300 long
Sorry correction my mistake!
If 1.02000 hold I will enter 1.02100 long
"No pain no gain"
  • #152,246
  • Jul 19, 2022 8:46pm Jul 19, 2022 8:46pm
Quoting Konichiwhaat
Wow, this thing really took off from the big 1.000! I was unable to get into a longer term buy trade, but good little scalps on the way up. Looks like it will want to go all the way to about 1.0353 now. {image}

0.618 Fib level which started from 1.06149 is close enough @ 1.03617 I wanna buy but will wait to see if goes down more
  • #152,247
  • Jul 19, 2022 9:01pm Jul 19, 2022 9:01pm
Quoting Ultras
{quote} 0.618 Fib level which started from 1.06149 is close enough @ 1.03617 I wanna buy but will wait to see if goes down more
Oh really. I don't use FIBs, but that is good to know. The more confluences the better
Emotional Control. Process, not outcome.
  • #152,248
  • Edited 11:33pm Jul 19, 2022 9:29pm | Edited 11:33pm
Similiar set up as yesterday, but it seems like bull doesnt want a pull back down to 0202 before testing 0350

overall boring asian session
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #152,249
  • Jul 20, 2022 12:53am Jul 20, 2022 12:53am
Quoting fxsport
{image}(is it me or does that look like Borris Johnson?) {quote} It is amazing to me how the market just "dries up" right before these volatile moves. I jumped the gun and shorted early at 1.0220 as I believe today was the buy the rumor and Thursday will be sell the facts. My only regret was shorting today and not waiting until tommorrow but since I won't be around I took a chance.
The bear is looking more ungry to me! When price spiked to 1.0230 for first time I thought to join the trend too, but I remembered that jumping the gun is not the right decision, so I waited to get a better price though I am in from higher price, but didn't followed my rules either and now I am thinking to quit and save some pips, or make some small, I don't know yet.

1.0221 and 1.0202 is where we may see the price, but the volatility for today is looking from here at above 1.0300 if, EU goes up - 88 pips, 2 pips less than yesterday, but later (volatility) it will go up and the most of the times the price surpasses that number, so it is very dangerous to stay in with big lot size yet, except if, the price fall and give all these pips to the bear

Good luck if, you are in the trade yet!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #152,250
  • Edited 2:17am Jul 20, 2022 2:05am | Edited 2:17am
15m chart

supported by the previous trendline and 0220 area, we are going up

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #152,251
  • Jul 20, 2022 2:22am Jul 20, 2022 2:22am
Quoting johncen
15m chart supported by the previous trendline and 0220 area, we are going up {image}
I am thinking it is fake. A good 4hr close above 1.0270 might do it, else it should get down to at least 1.0200 or even 1.0180 area. I was looking to buy at 1.01800.

Now went short at 1.0263. I may hold it all day except something else happens.
  • #152,252
  • Edited 2:44am Jul 20, 2022 2:31am | Edited 2:44am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} I am thinking it is fake. A good 4hr close above 1.0270 might do it, else it should get down to at least 1.0200 or even 1.0180 area. I was looking to buy at 1.01800. Now went short at 1.0263. I may hold it all day except something else happens.
I am also waiting for 0180 for long but don’t wanna miss the boat

almost missed it yesterday.

now sl at be

and sl hit. Will be sidelined for now
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #152,253
  • Jul 20, 2022 2:48am Jul 20, 2022 2:48am
If, this is the top - 1.0274 then we should see at least 1.0186.

I added a short from 0262.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #152,254
  • Jul 20, 2022 2:54am Jul 20, 2022 2:54am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
If, this is the top - 1.0274 then we should see at least 1.0186. I added a short from 0262.
Im long now 0225 target above 0300 will add more if drop
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #152,255
  • Jul 20, 2022 2:59am Jul 20, 2022 2:59am
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} Im long now 0225 target above 0300 will add more if drop
Good luck we need it both! :-)
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #152,256
  • Jul 20, 2022 3:02am Jul 20, 2022 3:02am
Good morning, hope you're great. I think the bears are showing up, on 1H;
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  • #152,257
  • Jul 20, 2022 3:05am Jul 20, 2022 3:05am
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} Im long now 0225 target above 0300 will add more if drop
Protected
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #152,258
  • Jul 20, 2022 3:06am Jul 20, 2022 3:06am
This is the most important hour. Market move will depend on H4 closing.
  • #152,259
  • Jul 20, 2022 3:11am Jul 20, 2022 3:11am
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} Protected
editing target to 0330
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #152,260
  • Jul 20, 2022 3:16am Jul 20, 2022 3:16am
For a good move tomorrow, could probably drop to 1.0080 in order to have leg room, especially if ECB increases rate by 50bps or more

But if before announcement rate is already over 1.0300, then a big drop could be in the cards that mean it has already done 230pips before announcement, then you will hear justifications like; rate of increase is low, it is already priced in,....
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