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  • #151,601
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:04am Jul 13, 2022 7:04am
Up targets 1.0094/1.0119 down look at the chart, blue lines are decision points. I advice new traders to stay out, or experiment with demo.

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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #151,602
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:10am Jul 13, 2022 7:10am
Quoting Erkat
After PCE which was declared weak some time ago, now any weakness in CPI can be the best reason for dollar weakening. (albeit temporary)
These are my thoughts on the CPI

1. The WH floated a balloon about the rate being higher than expected - therefore it "should" be a shocker to the upside right? Not so fast
2. If the CPI comes in higher than expected it will be ok because all the analysts will point to the fall in the price of crude oil and say "the July numbers don't reflect the fall in crude earlier in the month - therefore peak inflation has passed. The spin will be in full force.
3. If the number comes in lower everyone will sigh and say the worst is behind us

Either way I don't think the actual CPI number really means anything. I think it will be the catalyst for a market moving event. Mitibloch has made a great case for EU rising to 1.0150. Others have made a good case for a visit below parity. I can't choose one or the other as I believe the probability is pretty much 50:50.

As for my I and waiting and hoping for a pop so I can short it as I am a chronic Euro bear until further notice.
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #151,603
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:11am Jul 13, 2022 7:11am
Come on bulls... you can't give up so early... here have some red bull..
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #151,604
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:12am Jul 13, 2022 7:12am
Letting sell limit 1.01200
I believe to fetch 1.00050
"No pain no gain"
  • #151,605
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:13am Jul 13, 2022 7:13am
Quoting fxsport
{quote} @Green what supply issues do you see Europe working out? Not energy and that is the #1 cause of concern right now. If Europe doesn't get their stockpiles to at least 90% before September prepare for a deep recession in Europe as they begin to ration energy. Between Russia cutting the cord and the EU instituting ESG values Europe has basically committed themselves to the same fate as Ghana and Shi Lanka. Frankly I think this marks the beginning of the end of the EU unless they get more energy sources. My long term outlook for Eur/Usd on December...
Working on filling stockpiles. Europe started moving away from Russia for almost 2 years now, US and others are shipping a lot of LNG over, Gas from North Africa through Italy and Spain, allowed coal for electricity generation, rationing as started by Germans and announced today is one of the measures. Ukraine will be providing electricity (working on grid now), Norway is stepping up increasing its deliveries to EU, other countries in EU area are doing fine, prices started to drop. No major recession in Europe, and if any will be short lived. Europeans can handle it just fine, it is the Americans I am worried about lol. ESG is a money maker at the same time.
  • #151,606
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:20am Jul 13, 2022 7:20am
Quoting mustafayucel
MY İDEA {image} {image}
daily update
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Swing Trader
  • #151,607
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:26am Jul 13, 2022 7:26am
Quoting Austyno
{quote} You are ignoring the bearish doji candle that formed yesterday. In my experience, during a trend, if a doji forms after an extended move in a particular direction and the doji is in accordance to the direction of the trend or the extended move(bullish or bearish) the next candle that follows is usually brutal or extended in the same direction of the doji. In this case bearish.
Bears cannot get lower than 0.9970. That price may not even happen.
  • #151,608
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:32am Jul 13, 2022 7:32am
Quoting JBRolim
{image}
AND TAKE
Purchase limit 1.00050
"No pain no gain"
  • #151,609
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:33am Jul 13, 2022 7:33am
Let the sub-parity bloodbath begins. Just short and hold for free money.
  • #151,610
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:34am Jul 13, 2022 7:34am
Quoting sixth sense
Let the sub-parity bloodbath begins. Just short and hold for free money.
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Here we come!!!
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #151,611
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:36am Jul 13, 2022 7:36am
All happy :-)

Now lets see if, a bounce here, or more drop! I have a gap in my chart
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #151,612
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:36am Jul 13, 2022 7:36am
Good luck to Powel and team lol. They are going to need it.
  • #151,613
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:37am Jul 13, 2022 7:37am
I was by the screen yet I missed that trade
  • #151,614
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:38am Jul 13, 2022 7:38am
Going shopping again lol...
  • #151,615
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:39am Jul 13, 2022 7:39am
Really a news effect or sentiment of traders due to news?

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-milkeyway
  • #151,616
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:44am Jul 13, 2022 7:44am
the bears insist on touching the smooth 1.0000000000.. again
  • #151,617
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:45am Jul 13, 2022 7:45am
Well done to all the Parity Partyers ! I will wait a bit to add more long-term shorts at last. Letting the dust settle. Volatility war like this, in the midst of a long struggle in the lows, too often brings about a bit of both worlds before taking the main direction of the day. If in the next +- 30min, price curls right back up >.0026, I buy!
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #151,618
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:45am Jul 13, 2022 7:45am
If we can get a close below 1.000 this hour watch out below as many stops will be blown!
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #151,619
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:47am Jul 13, 2022 7:47am
Quoting JBRolim
{quote} AND TAKE Purchase limit 1.00050
TP 1.01200
"No pain no gain"
  • #151,620
  • Jul 13, 2022 7:47am Jul 13, 2022 7:47am
Buy stop .0026 SL&TP35
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
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