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AUD/USD

  • #107,661
  • Jul 6, 2022 9:07am Jul 6, 2022 9:07am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} دو ساعت دیگر تا دقیقه FED... {image}
Explain more
  • #107,662
  • Jul 6, 2022 9:34am Jul 6, 2022 9:34am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} two more hours until the FED minutes... {image}
What do expect? A hawkish FED? I guess Powell needs to think how to prevent or at least reduce the probability of recession. Too much hawks and too many hikes is not good imo.
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  • #107,663
  • Jul 6, 2022 10:50am Jul 6, 2022 10:50am
duo to the price action level in weekly time frame we have very important price action level between 0.65784 and 0.66266 that market want to go there after that in monthly time frame must pullback up.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #107,664
  • Jul 7, 2022 11:22am Jul 7, 2022 11:22am
Quoting NotAtrader
{quote} BTW the DXY is at a resistance level from 1. May. 1989. If this level gets broken then the sky is the limit.
So far DXY was unable to break above that level hence AUDUSD manages to hold the support it found after the RBA meeting. It looks like the U.S. dollar needs an extra push in order to break above. Let’s see se what happens tomorrow after the report from USA.
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  • #107,665
  • Jul 8, 2022 12:43pm Jul 8, 2022 12:43pm
Quoting NotAtrader
{quote} So far DXY was unable to break above that level hence AUDUSD manages to hold the support it found after the RBA meeting. It looks like the U.S. dollar needs an extra push in order to break above. Let’s see se what happens tomorrow after the report from USA.
Still DXY unable to break above that resistance level. There will be several rate hikes which may result in another attempt to break above this area, but such high rent will begin to hurt the US economy. This tells me only one thing - the DXY will begin to decline after a short consolidation period. AUDUSD is at a stron support as well. It’s time for Australian dollar to erase some of the resent losses.
From fundamental perspective the announced possibility for tariff curs on China goods will boost the Australian dollar as well.

I am not long nor short on AUDUSD. I closed all my positions yesterday and I have currently no open positions on this asset.

This is just my view. Any other input will appreciated.
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  • #107,666
  • Jul 11, 2022 5:17am Jul 11, 2022 5:17am
Quoting NotAtrader
{quote} Still DXY unable to break above that resistance level. There will be several rate hikes which may result in another attempt to break above this area, but such high rent will begin to hurt the US economy. This tells me only one thing - the DXY will begin to decline after a short consolidation period. AUDUSD is at a stron support as well. It’s time for Australian dollar to erase some of the resent losses. From fundamental perspective the announced possibility for tariff curs on China goods will boost the Australian dollar as well. I am not...
it can even reach 50 as a multi month target due to a global recession, falling commodity prices, and a stronger dollar

i wouldn’t be buying this pair until the FED is done hiking rates and inflation peaks
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #107,667
  • Jul 11, 2022 6:29am Jul 11, 2022 6:29am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} 0.668 is the next target below 0.675 {image}
waiting for 0.668 to be reached
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #107,668
  • Jul 11, 2022 8:15am Jul 11, 2022 8:15am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} it can even reach 50 as a multi month target due to a global recession, falling commodity prices, and a stronger dollar i wouldn’t be buying this pair until the FED is done hiking rates and inflation peaks
Yes in deed. The DXY has broken above that multi year resistance and it will be difficult for the U.S. dollar sellers to stop that bullish trend.

AUDUSD is in free fall.
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  • #107,669
  • Jul 12, 2022 4:04pm Jul 12, 2022 4:04pm
My 2 cents - long term AU bullish.
Currently bounced of double top, and retracedclose to 2019 monthly support 6700, also price has reached lower descending channel. BB lower band.
Looking to the left, back in 2019 took around 5 months to range 6700 - 7000 (7500).
So perhaps retest 6670 and long from there.
I can be wrong with latest dollar strenght, but can not be strong forever.
Monthly chart with added major rounded levels.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #107,670
  • Jul 14, 2022 8:04am Jul 14, 2022 8:04am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} waiting for 0.668 to be reached {image}
0.668 reached, but I think there will be more downside soon towards 0.66
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #107,671
  • Jul 14, 2022 8:22pm Jul 14, 2022 8:22pm
tp of 67445 got hit
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #107,672
  • Edited 7:31am Jul 15, 2022 4:34am | Edited 7:31am
Wait for it to reach 0.69500
  • #107,673
  • Jul 17, 2022 12:11am Jul 17, 2022 12:11am
From a fundamental view:
This month AUD/USD will be down because USA's current GDP is down. When GDP is down then commodity currencies AUD/USD can be sold. Which is why I'm short AUD/USD on M30 timeframe for my next trade.

Short entry: at 0.67717 with
TP at 0.67570.

Wishing green pips to everyone.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #107,674
  • Jul 18, 2022 4:34am Jul 18, 2022 4:34am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD_2022-07-18_07-34-18.png Size: 39 KB
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #107,675
  • Jul 18, 2022 12:18pm Jul 18, 2022 12:18pm
Sold AU at 0.6816 Target 0.6685 & 0.6580 SL 0.6900
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Forex Learner
  • #107,676
  • Jul 19, 2022 1:09am Jul 19, 2022 1:09am
Since pre-market Frankfurt open Shanghai composite and copper are up, that's why AUD/USD is bullish on H1. Also commercials are very bullish AUD this week.
  • #107,677
  • Jul 19, 2022 5:20am Jul 19, 2022 5:20am
Quoting ForexGoose
{image}
it appears that it could reject 0.691 today after the NY open
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #107,678
  • Jul 19, 2022 9:13pm Jul 19, 2022 9:13pm
Next H1 target would be 0.69462 with my entry at 0.69185 on M1 timeframe.
  • #107,679
  • Jul 20, 2022 5:46am Jul 20, 2022 5:46am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} it appears that it could reject 0.691 today after the NY open {image}
looks like a butt plug has formed for the bulls
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #107,680
  • Jul 20, 2022 6:46am Jul 20, 2022 6:46am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} به نظر میرسد که یک دوشاخه برای گاوها شکل گرفته است {image}
Do you think it will go back to 0.67 again?
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