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  • #150,821
  • Jun 30, 2022 10:31am Jun 30, 2022 10:31am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} 1.0457 done! Can bulls go higher? Well momentum says yes, possible... Time will tell.. *My nearest support on H1 is now 1.0431...
If my EWT count is correct. Then 1.105-1.1038 will be the C leg of the ABC correction.
  • #150,822
  • Edited 11:08am Jun 30, 2022 10:39am | Edited 11:08am
possible correction at or above 0568, limit down 0432 watching . take care
signal 0453 for below 0442 if
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #150,823
  • Jun 30, 2022 10:49am Jun 30, 2022 10:49am
Quoting MarvOli
{quote} If my EWT count is correct. Then 1.105-1.1038 will be the C leg of the ABC correction.
The way i see This is bear trap be awear
Tradeing is not your mate
  • #150,824
  • Jun 30, 2022 10:50am Jun 30, 2022 10:50am
Should be the end of the month move. 1.0491 to keep it under the 1.05 value
  • #150,825
  • Jun 30, 2022 10:52am Jun 30, 2022 10:52am
0454 is the decision point, price can go up, or down to a break.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #150,826
  • Jun 30, 2022 11:27am Jun 30, 2022 11:27am
Quoting marcin.kamaj
and now we have ultra important level...i'm looking for this zone carefuly, beacuse can open space to move even to 1.0500. I hope it wasn't move for fix for end of month.
I set TP for all position at 1.0491.
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #150,827
  • Jun 30, 2022 11:34am Jun 30, 2022 11:34am
I think these levels are a good start for coming weeks... 1.0480 was my limit for today... If it goes higher I would be surprised..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H1.png Size: 17 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #150,828
  • Jun 30, 2022 11:37am Jun 30, 2022 11:37am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
0454 is the decision point, price can go up, or down to a break.
New point at 0462!

Have a great day ahead.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #150,829
  • Jun 30, 2022 11:43am Jun 30, 2022 11:43am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
I think these levels are a good start for coming weeks... 1.0480 was my limit for today... If it goes higher I would be surprised.. {image}
Wow... what for a bounce. And again... almost 100 pips - but this time up.
  • #150,830
  • Jun 30, 2022 11:59am Jun 30, 2022 11:59am
Quoting Erkat
{quote} For me, it's time to add buy (1.0414) sl 1.0370
I got my golden target ⁦⁩
now let's see what the analyzes that showed the decline say.
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #150,831
  • Jun 30, 2022 12:02pm Jun 30, 2022 12:02pm
Quoting Windstrown
Should be the end of the month move. 1.0491 to keep it under the 1.05 value
Question is if they are aiming for 1.052 to close lower after or if we only get a test on this level
  • #150,832
  • Jun 30, 2022 1:41pm Jun 30, 2022 1:41pm
Quoting Erkat
Thursday, the last day of June, could be Euro Day, contrary to expectations. provided that 1.0411 resists
It can be said that it was Euro Day, but then a lot of hard work and effort but for now, tomorrow is quite vague for me, especially since the important statistics of the EU are tomorrow.
I hope tomorrow is a good day for all friends
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #150,833
  • Jun 30, 2022 2:23pm Jun 30, 2022 2:23pm
Meanwhile, on H1...

  1. 1.0462 is my current support area and buy zone..
  2. Overall, I see that the bullish H4 candle is a brutal piece of errect and it could cause some vacuum effect of a revisit to its low... BUT that said, for now it is still better to expect supportive action around 1.0462 area.. If I see enough confirmation of a bounce, I could buy this dip. Time will tell!

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H1.png Size: 17 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #150,834
  • Jun 30, 2022 2:26pm Jun 30, 2022 2:26pm
Checking pa, may at last leg up, now at 1 leg top or 3 leg up at much higher if any possible yet. At least pullback done in very strong hand and may still big ranges possible, and whatsover maturing ranges arounds. Monthly likely close low and next likely low too too, if impulse down next leg within nrxt month then much lower. Lets see. take care

Overnight price likely correct down below 0442 to decide if another up or not after Lo.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #150,835
  • Jun 30, 2022 2:33pm Jun 30, 2022 2:33pm
Quoting Erkat
{quote} It can be said that it was Euro Day, but then a lot of hard work and effort but for now, tomorrow is quite vague for me, especially since the important statistics of the EU are tomorrow. I hope tomorrow is a good day for all friends
Yup, tomorrow should be labeled PMI Friday - LOADS of reports from all over; EU & USA.

My thoughts are this: The EU PMI will probably be right on or lower due to higher energy costs and the war in Ukraine at this time. I don't think that the EU has the high inflation rates that the US has. So, if the PMI for the EU are in line with expectations or even lower it means that Ms. Legarde has more time before they have to raise rates as fast as the USA. Therefore, some volatility BUT I would wager that the price of EU will the very close to that same price before the USA readings.

IF the EU readings are higher than expected it "should" be the fuel for a EU rally into the USA data.

What will the USA data show? Frankly I don't have any idea. All I "know" is that USA interest rates will continue to rise and the EU rates...they will rise a LOT less (especially if Italy continues to have bond issues). While today was good I'm not calling a bottom at this junction.

...because you never know - until you do!
  • #150,836
  • Jun 30, 2022 3:00pm Jun 30, 2022 3:00pm
Quoting fontu
Checking pa, may at last leg up, now at 1 leg top or 3 leg up at much higher if any possible yet. At least pullback done in very strong hand and may still big ranges possible, and whatsover maturing ranges arounds. Monthly likely close low and next likely low too too, if impulse down next leg within nrxt month then much lower. Lets see. take care Overnight price likely correct down below 0442 to decide if another up or not after Lo. {image} {image}
Dear Fontu , in both images, a pa is considered upwards, but in the daily time, you considered two targets, 0540 and 0720. Which target do you think is more likely?
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #150,837
  • Jun 30, 2022 3:17pm Jun 30, 2022 3:17pm
Powell said high dollar is disinflationary at the margins. Same theory should apply to the Euro, it should then go up.
The Swiss will be unloading foreign currencies per their announcement, why would they sell their Euro reserves at cheap prices?
Lagarde and team despite being a poor communicators I believe they will avoid a recession in Europe, which i could say the same for the American team.
Bonds and yields are only part of the picture.

Big day tomorrow by looking at all the "excellent" articles and analysis that keeps coming out by the bankers, brokers, "experts" e.t.c these past few days lol (yes some got caught with their pants down today, greed will always do that).

Have a great evening.
  • #150,838
  • Jun 30, 2022 3:23pm Jun 30, 2022 3:23pm
Quoting Erkat
{quote} Dear Fontu , in both images, a pa is considered upwards, but in the daily time, you considered two targets, 0540 and 0720. Which target do you think is more likely?
In daIly tf just in correction up in a bear set up strong but all bear likely not bear again, bear set up may subject to change into bull set up, as for example if 0805 limit broken then bear may turn into bull. As 0805 intact so price action bearish. As wave b or c already stamped and d 1 or c1 also apparently stamped. If so then from d bear should have contuation running. If so then 0540 as abc up correction as of impulse wave 2 to very strong wave 3 down the previous lows to new lows in shortest time possible. And 0720 if market again go crazy at its last up instead c1 or D1 for full fledged c/d up, here it should be too unexpected and even go for 0805 big c as up wave 1 to up moves as reversal tries. So nothing fully decided yet. Step by step to go, to take signal and confirmations for each legs and even so unexpected may happen like last 2days..so now around 5420 most logical for big down, hs also present, take care, let's see
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #150,839
  • Jun 30, 2022 3:36pm Jun 30, 2022 3:36pm
Quoting fontu
{quote} In daIly tf just in correction up in a bear set up strong but all bear likely not bear again, bear set up may subject to change into bull set up, as for example if 0805 limit broken then bear may turn into bull. As 0805 intact so price action bearish. As wave b or c already stamped and d 1 or c1 also apparently stamped. If so then from d bear should have contuation running. If so then 0540 as abc up correction as of impulse wave 2 to very strong wave 3 down the previous lows to new lows in shortest time possible. And 0720 if market again...
Thank you very much, excellent and informative
In your opinion, how likely is it that a triple foam is formed daily? and this will cause more shedding to stop for now?
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #150,840
  • Jun 30, 2022 4:22pm Jun 30, 2022 4:22pm
Quick Daily S/R Levels for Friday

  1. Bulls arrived at the gates of 1.0491! Can they achieve an explosion to the upside? I would say: "maybe"!
  2. If yes: Next bullish target would be 1.0555/86 area,
  3. If no: Price could drop back to 1.0425 area. IF price arrives there, a daily candle close below it is a must for bearish continuation.

I hope it helps

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