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  • #150,701
  • Jun 29, 2022 8:02am Jun 29, 2022 8:02am
Quoting Ant697
{quote} Very nice observation sir, thank you. That's good awareness right there
Oh yes thanks.. I always keep my eyes open.. 24/7...
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #150,702
  • Jun 29, 2022 8:32am Jun 29, 2022 8:32am
Thanks Christine, you give me a deep green day. I always like the greener pastures

DXY took the hurdle... now the next one is to come -> 105.00
Will I get my 3 black EUR craws? (or 3 red ones in Ata's chart )

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  • #150,703
  • Jun 29, 2022 8:38am Jun 29, 2022 8:38am
Well after lagarde slip which is not commented on the news i dunno why lmao, i have opened a long position at 1.0489.
Expecting a move upwards after the meeting os over to the monthly close around 1.06
  • #150,704
  • Jun 29, 2022 8:53am Jun 29, 2022 8:53am
ohh Christine... what did you just say? ... you will wait for Friday Inflation Numbers? German CPI came in today with only 0.1% -> imagination on that will keep the EUR going

My 3 black craws here you come
  • #150,705
  • Jun 29, 2022 9:01am Jun 29, 2022 9:01am
Quoting zippo22
ohh Christine... what did you just say? ... you will wait for Friday Inflation Numbers? German CPI came in today with only 0.1% -> imagination on that will keep the EUR going My 3 black craws here you come
Well spain had a 10% today and they surelly have been quickly forgotten it seems they will have to revise cpi up for the eu no doubt on that one
  • #150,706
  • Jun 29, 2022 9:07am Jun 29, 2022 9:07am
Quoting Windstrown
{quote} Well spain had a 10% today and they surelly have been quickly forgotten it seems they will have to revise cpi up for the eu no doubt on that one
The market will keep the German numbers in mind until the EU numbers on Friday come in. But Friday is July already... so that might keep the EUR on a down note for the rest of the month. I feel the Banksters will use that chance to play their game.
  • #150,707
  • Jun 29, 2022 9:28am Jun 29, 2022 9:28am
Friends, how do you see the status of the chart after these statements?
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #150,708
  • Jun 29, 2022 9:34am Jun 29, 2022 9:34am
Quoting Xoraster
{quote} ok. -1.6% Good call. Wish I had your confidence.
Thanks but being right and making $ - two different things. I am really shocked that the response on EU was as small as it was.

Looking at DXY (as I use this as a "leading indicator") I would expect that we are about to enter the Wave 5 on EU and you can see I believe that DXY has started it's Wave 5.
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...because you never know - until you do!
  • #150,709
  • Jun 29, 2022 9:36am Jun 29, 2022 9:36am
Quoting Erkat
Friends, how do you see the status of the chart after these statements?
Erkat,

I won't speak for others but for myself the speeches mean this: NOTHING!

Nothing has changed and politican's words mean even less.

Price Action (PA) is all that matters and for ME PERSONALLY I believe that EU still needs to fall further to complete wave 5 - but hay what do I know?
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #150,710
  • Jun 29, 2022 9:40am Jun 29, 2022 9:40am
Quoting Erkat
Friends, how do you see the status of the chart after these statements?
I agree with fxsport... the hard facts change the trend... that today was soft blablabla...
Asking the chart he tells me that now -> clearly down for the time being strongly supported by the daily trend.

Thinking loud... I guess the market expected a more energetic position from Christine to raise rates. But by that show... that means ECB stands by +0.25% while FED has +0.75% on the table. Which effectively means the yield gap between USD and EUR will grow -> so the EUR goes down.

Sometimes I am thinking the ECB's strategy might be controlled but strong depreciation of the EUR against the USD to help the EU economy that is battered by the effects of the war.

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  • #150,711
  • Jun 29, 2022 9:52am Jun 29, 2022 9:52am
Quoting marcin.kamaj
{quote} Unfortunatelly my sell limit didn't acitvated on night ( missed by 7 pips), but now after monrning rush i sold at 1.0516 with SL at 1.0538, and open SL ( i'm loooking for new daily low). Best for All!
My SL was close, but lucky 200SMA on H1 was good border.

Now i protected short at 1.0595 and wtaching how will react on zone 1.0448-55. There i will decide what what next.

Have a nice afternoon!
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #150,712
  • Jun 29, 2022 10:01am Jun 29, 2022 10:01am
Couldn't believe it when I saw it, but EU is lower again. 0469/45 are posible targets. If, it stay above 0493 then, it can rise above 0536 to 42.
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  • #150,713
  • Edited 10:21am Jun 29, 2022 10:08am | Edited 10:21am
just checking what happened so far , without a correction up it simply tanked but still not enough , exaggerated legs down for whatever reason. . but still will not play bear this time . want up to tank real .

usdx did same , overshoot as extension . so at a resistance now if it can stop or next . watching
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #150,714
  • Jun 29, 2022 10:11am Jun 29, 2022 10:11am
w8 euro pump again germany inflation down
  • #150,715
  • Jun 29, 2022 10:19am Jun 29, 2022 10:19am
Forex factory should love that guy!

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https://www.forexfactory.com/news
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  • #150,716
  • Edited 10:34am Jun 29, 2022 10:24am | Edited 10:34am
Quoting fontu
just checking what happened so far , without a correction up it simply tanked but still not enough , exaggerated legs down for whatever reason. . but still will not play bear this time . want up to tank real . {image}
Be careful fontu -> US 10 Year Bond Yield vs Germany 10 Year Bond Yield Spread is sharply up because what I mentioned before ->

"...I guess the market expected a more energetic position from Christine to raise rates. But by that show... that means ECB stands by +0.25% while FED has +0.75% on the table. Which effectively means the yield gap between USD and EUR will grow -> so the EUR goes down..."

The rate differential will trigger massive capital flow of the heavy funds into the USD. I feel more and more that we will see the EUR lows again and probably even lower. So be careful... don't get caught by this fright train.

And... fasten your seat belts - Trialballoon Bullard will speak later
  • #150,717
  • Jun 29, 2022 10:28am Jun 29, 2022 10:28am
Meanwhile, on H1...

After the little bull drama, bear journey continues... 1.04958 is my nearest resistance..
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #150,718
  • Jun 29, 2022 10:33am Jun 29, 2022 10:33am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
Forex factory should love that guy! {image} https://www.forexfactory.com/news
Meanwhile, some day in the "not so" near future: Powell still trying to find price stability!
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  • #150,719
  • Jun 29, 2022 10:37am Jun 29, 2022 10:37am
Quoting zippo22
{quote} Be careful fontu -> US 10 Year Bond Yield vs Germany 10 Year Bond Yield Spread is sharply up because what I mentioned before -> "...I guess the market expected a more energetic position from Christine to raise rates. But by that show... that means ECB stands by +0.25% while FED has +0.75% on the table. Which effectively means the yield gap between USD and EUR will grow -> so the EUR goes down..." The rate differential will trigger massive capital flow of the heavy funds into the USD. I feel more and more that we will see the EUR lows again...
thanks , I do , as extreme risky already known correction bias for this pair for bear , just failed take lots of pips by avoiding conventional style , better have some days fighting with extremes ! , anyway any extreme is bad as my viws to equal and opposite reaction expecting here to , no fight but just to manage probable loss only into profit day too. take care
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #150,720
  • Jun 29, 2022 10:54am Jun 29, 2022 10:54am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Meanwhile, some day in the "not so" near future: Powell still trying to find price stability! {image}
Lol!
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