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  • #149,121
  • May 17, 2022 8:15am May 17, 2022 8:15am
Cheers all ! Boy do I love how FF gets on these occasion. I am happy to know some of you got really good trades out of this, warm congrats ! Bulls won the biggest prize I had prepared for so they nall got dressed up!!!! :
Quoting mtako
Took 5+hours for a 1H low to be broken. I wonder if bears are happy with just touching it once . I am sure warrior bulls are! From my last post, I reposted my 0440. Here is why, more or less(charts => 6H-brokenCandle and 8HlowChannel). If bulls can break that, probable 0480 attack in my book also, but bulls big prize would be to get back into last week's ranging heaven >0510. But under that, 2H-to-D previous down dancing moves, if continues, have all it takes to take it all back, and much much more. For now now, while...
I myself just lost 14 more shorts at BE on my longer-term adventure, but all is not lost, as my higher shorts like
Quoting mtako
...Sold here.1153, sell stop 1140 is next. Sell stop 1125 1110 1088 1070 and 1047, to join my 3 other shared losing but happy shorts I shared lately. {quote} {quote} Closed the above for -13...
are very supportive still.

And now I start selling again, if we can get <0532 again! Sell stop 05312, and then at every 15min open-2ticks, as long as its <0532, and till volatility drop enough.
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #149,122
  • May 17, 2022 8:55am May 17, 2022 8:55am
Morning everyone. Had a short on the EU. Made some pips... Now with the new coming up, was this last hour a pull back? Will it go up or continue down? Got more U.S. news coming up too... Let's see what happens!!!
My Future is so Bright I gotta wear Shades! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v
  • #149,123
  • May 17, 2022 9:18am May 17, 2022 9:18am
Something's gotta happen to break this sideways movement now going on the 5 minute time frame...
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My Future is so Bright I gotta wear Shades! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v
  • #149,124
  • May 17, 2022 10:04am May 17, 2022 10:04am
This month folks, although it has absolutely no meaning whatsoever, I like to point out that, this month will be the 1 year anniversary of this drop!!!

Quoting stjoeforex
Morning everyone. Had a short on the EU. Made some pips... Now with the new coming up, was this last hour a pull back? Will it go up or continue down? Got more U.S. news coming up too... Let's see what happens!!!
For me this is determinant longer-term(6H-D) action. And a natural retracement in trend, a bit like the 21st of last month or the 4 of this one.

This month's high, for me, is crucial. As it is also a major, repeatedly battered support from 27nd of march till last thursday and, for me, I would consider the possibility of it being more than a retracement if price plays enough in the highs of all of that again >0570, and at least attacks this months high. AND weve just touched the significant 0340s !

Exciting at last ! Every time we've had similar retracements in this drop, ensued +-400pips trend continuation. And the beauty of it is that the size of the retracement does not determine the size of the drop and vice-versa ! There is simply a lot more to it than that of course and we are more or less completely clueless Well, at least I am

Maybe this will not happen again here though, of course the drop that is....but have to prepare for it just in case, just as to prepare for the so many other possibilities

My 2cents ! Cheers all. Big news again, hold on to our hats !!

P.S sell limit 0575
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #149,125
  • May 17, 2022 10:28am May 17, 2022 10:28am
It has to drop below 1.05250 before any significant selling happens... That is what I see with the technicals...
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My Future is so Bright I gotta wear Shades! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v
  • #149,126
  • Edited 11:37am May 17, 2022 10:49am | Edited 11:37am
more than expected bounce today , initial signals broken , next confirmation 1 likely be targeted 0577 while reaching it may now extension continue or correction towards limit 0474, if correct then signal 0506 breaks .
anyway even with good bounce still more to do for reversal / more correction signal by breaking up 0642.below it bear may send next leg down again. lets see. take care
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #149,127
  • May 17, 2022 11:02am May 17, 2022 11:02am
Lets see what happens after 2:00PM. I think this thing will go back down. Sellers will come back in the game. Just my opinion.
Drawdown is more important than Account Size !
  • #149,128
  • May 17, 2022 11:29am May 17, 2022 11:29am
Most of financial experts forecast parity of eur/usd, so I guess this is very temporary
  • #149,129
  • May 17, 2022 11:48am May 17, 2022 11:48am
Quoting Intru
Most of financial experts forecast parity of eur/usd, so I guess this is very temporary
likely , this little move not invalidate any further bear to there . even breaks 0642 , then 0760 comes up as limit and so on . just increases ranges and adds little turmoils necessary to next movements for sure . take care
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #149,130
  • May 17, 2022 12:02pm May 17, 2022 12:02pm
Quoting Intru
Most of financial experts forecast parity of eur/usd, so I guess this is very temporary
Maybe. I am shorting still for my own reasons and I have followed many experts for many years in my beginnings. And I've learned to not factor in their views into my own trading, especially in times of greater uncertainty like these.

I have shared my thoughts about why extra volatility both ways could kick in once it breached The Great Covid's Lows with the given volatility so I wont bore you guys with any of that, but this could be the start of that at last. So I would not be surprised to see 500+ pips ranging for a while. I sure hope not, as that would mean the end of my "holding on shorts rock&roll tour" !

But for now, everyday this rest of quarter that there is no proper bull attack(in comparison to the whole of this drop starting last summer), I also lean towards the continuation of this trend. And sure, parity is close, but I dont like mentioning it because for me, a quality trend never cares, at least not on the longer term. It could continue for years to lows most don't even want to believe possible, or it could end right now and be back >.16 in 2022, as crazy as that sounds. Wouldnt be the first time !

All in all, price could and will do, from time to time, what most don't expect. And our job is to adapt.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #149,131
  • Edited 2:13pm May 17, 2022 1:16pm | Edited 2:13pm
Looks news time, so far previous high intact, next signal down 0505, limit 1 0491.lets see
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #149,132
  • May 17, 2022 8:35pm May 17, 2022 8:35pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Sure.. in my "opinion", it would look like this on the DAILY time frame.. I hope it answers {image}
I think it will go straight down from here. We might break the December 2016 low this week or next.
When you see it, BET big.
  • #149,133
  • May 17, 2022 8:59pm May 17, 2022 8:59pm
My take for today, let's see:-

A sell till price 1.05230 from a price of 1.05490 or even now, a safety net of a price entry for a buy at price 1.05785 TP @ 1.05865.

The BEAR is rather strong, I guess it should be a south point, but we will see, I am logging on to both sides, hopefully it will give me some good PIPS.
  • #149,134
  • May 17, 2022 9:44pm May 17, 2022 9:44pm
Once we have that bearish engulfing candle on 4hrs, the journey to 1.00000 has begun.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #149,135
  • May 17, 2022 11:00pm May 17, 2022 11:00pm
Quoting martin1977
My take for today, let's see:- A sell till price 1.05230 from a price of 1.05490 or even now, a safety net of a price entry for a buy at price 1.05785 TP @ 1.05865. The BEAR is rather strong, I guess it should be a south point, but we will see, I am logging on to both sides, hopefully it will give me some good PIPS.
what?? entre at 0578 , then TP 0586 ????? 8 pips??? you scalping ?
omg.....
  • #149,136
  • May 17, 2022 11:11pm May 17, 2022 11:11pm
Quoting imnicetoyou
{quote} what?? entre at 0578 , then TP 0586 ????? 8 pips??? you scalping ? omg.....
Not scalping, there's a way to handle it, as long as I make money it's fine. I am fully based on analysis of the chart. We will see how it goes, scalping of 8 PIPS (80 Points) is no joke unless scalping for 0.8 PIPS.
  • #149,137
  • Edited 1:14am May 18, 2022 1:03am | Edited 1:14am
breaks 0542 to bull try or at least standard mode to follow , pa with signal 0524 to below 0506/0491 , bounce at or over 0474, take care . this 0474 may be visited twice , now if or at the end pf next up ! so can works pivot of the swings ! take care whatever may happen in reality !
anyway we may assume bull target as 0577 and 0642, wile bear target 0474 , limit and tl test , breaks then 0438 at last limit conforming a bull failure !! so considering RR we can trades both ways if properly plan to!
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #149,138
  • May 18, 2022 1:30am May 18, 2022 1:30am
Quoting Austyno
Once we have that bearish engulfing candle on 4hrs, the journey to 1.00000 has begun.
Yes you are right, im switching to selling right now, target is one 1.00 medium term
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #149,139
  • May 18, 2022 1:36am May 18, 2022 1:36am
Quoting martin1977
{quote} Not scalping, there's a way to handle it, as long as I make money it's fine. I am fully based on analysis of the chart. We will see how it goes, scalping of 8 PIPS (80 Points) is no joke unless scalping for 0.8 PIPS.
Closed with HAPPY PIPS!
  • #149,140
  • May 18, 2022 1:37am May 18, 2022 1:37am
Daily S/R Levels for Wednesday

Awwww... look at these cute pioneer bulls.. with a smirk on their faces for finally having achieved a climb above my dashed median line.. Bravo bulls bravo!

Now the question is: can they stay above 1.05 area? (To be precise, above a zone between 1.0488 to 1.0505)

As always.. time will tell
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Focus only on what truly matters!
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