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  • #148,001
  • Apr 20, 2022 9:14am Apr 20, 2022 9:14am
8h supply zone between 0882-0922 appears to be where price is headed. I have a pending short at dead center of that zone around 0900.
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  • #148,002
  • Apr 20, 2022 9:21am Apr 20, 2022 9:21am
I want to believe (in the E/U rocket), but anything at all happens in Ukraine, and I mean just someone sneezes, and this thing will drop another 300 pips.

I apologise for the lack of usual technical analysis in this post.
  • #148,003
  • Apr 20, 2022 9:24am Apr 20, 2022 9:24am
Quoting Starcraftmaz
I want to believe (in the E/U rocket), but anything at all happens in Ukraine, and I mean just someone sneezes, and this thing will drop another 300 pips. I apologise for the lack of usual technical analysis in this post.
After riching 300 or more, maybe Yes
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #148,004
  • Apr 20, 2022 9:43am Apr 20, 2022 9:43am
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  • #148,005
  • Apr 20, 2022 10:24am Apr 20, 2022 10:24am
Quoting Austyno
{quote} My sentiments exactly, I think you meant to say 1.08000 wasn't broken
I wanted to say was broken. The daily candlestick closed and opened below 1.0800. And this means that the level has been broken and now there is a temporary correction to the nearest resistance.
  • #148,006
  • Apr 20, 2022 11:20am Apr 20, 2022 11:20am
Quoting Starcraftmaz
I want to believe (in the E/U rocket), but anything at all happens in Ukraine, and I mean just someone sneezes, and this thing will drop another 300 pips. I apologise for the lack of usual technical analysis in this post.
Until something changes in the fundamentals, (which drives the daily), we're still going down. The only fundamentals that I look at are US and European monetary policy. The war in Ukraine is not as impactful as you would think. The trend has been bearish ever since June 16/21, and I haven't seen anything to change that bias at the macro/fundamental level.

So I say just keep selling, (within your risk tolerance, of course). Don't trust any up moves, unless it's for short-term swing trades or if you're scalping.

Will a reversal eventually come? I'm sure it will one day. 0600-0630 is the ultimate downside target I'm looking at. It's the only untapped daily demand zone remaining that's visible, established in April of 2017. That might be a place to start discussing reversals, but it'll depend on some other factors as well.
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  • #148,007
  • Edited 1:24pm Apr 20, 2022 11:31am | Edited 1:24pm
market seems dead again . anyway watching the pa , price retest 0823 areas to decide next , if so then 0814 can be at risk again ! 0840 may crazily bounce to 0877 possible .take care
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #148,008
  • Apr 20, 2022 11:53am Apr 20, 2022 11:53am
Quoting Traderview
{quote} update {image}
Update:
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  • #148,009
  • Apr 20, 2022 11:55am Apr 20, 2022 11:55am
Quoting Traderview
1.0825 - 1.0865. Scalpers heaven. It's going to range here for this 4hr. 1.0814 - 1.080 is support.
I hope scalpers enjoying this range.
  • #148,010
  • Apr 20, 2022 12:49pm Apr 20, 2022 12:49pm
I've mentioned 2 trades for bulls. It could easily get you 100 pips.
Watch out the highlighted prices in the chart. These prices are highly reactionary.
Important: You need to wait for the proper sessions to run these trades. I'd wait for the London open of tomorrow or better wait for the NY session.
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  • #148,011
  • Apr 20, 2022 1:02pm Apr 20, 2022 1:02pm
EUR/USD has regained its traction and advanced above 1.0850 after retreating toward 1.0820 in the early American session. With the benchmark 10-year US T-bond yield falling more than 2% on the day, the greenback continues to weaken against its rivals and helps the pair edge higher.
The EUR/USD pair is up for a second consecutive day but far from turning bullish. It has briefly surpassed the 23.6% retracement of its latest daily decline measured between 1.1184 and 1.0756 at 1.0856, an immediate resistance level. The next Fibonacci retracement comes at 1.0920, and recovery beyond it could put the pair on a near-term bullish path.
Technical readings in the daily chart suggest that the risk is skewed to the downside. The 20 SMA heads are firmly lower, converging with the 38.2% retracement of the aforementioned decline, as technical indicators recover from near oversold readings, still well below their midlines.
The 4-hour chart shows favors another leg north, particularly if the pair moves above the aforementioned Fibonacci resistance. The pair is developing above a now flat 20 SMA, while the longer ones maintain their bearish slopes well above the current level. Technical indicators, in the meantime, are neutral-to-bullish within positive levels, reflecting absent selling interest at the time being.
Support levels: 1.0795 1.0760 1.0720
Resistance levels:1.0865 1.0920 1.0970
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade
REDA_EL_HARAOUI
ELITE MOROCCO SNIPER All Time Return: 27.5%
  • #148,012
  • Apr 20, 2022 1:11pm Apr 20, 2022 1:11pm
Quoting Reda.el
EUR/USD has regained its traction and advanced above 1.0850 after retreating toward 1.0820 in the early American session. With the benchmark 10-year US T-bond yield falling more than 2% on the day, the greenback continues to weaken against its rivals and helps the pair edge higher. The EUR/USD pair is up for a second consecutive day but far from turning bullish. It has briefly surpassed the 23.6% retracement of its latest daily decline measured between 1.1184 and 1.0756 at 1.0856, an immediate resistance level. The next Fibonacci retracement comes...
Please also include the source next time.. in your case it is probably coming from fxstreet: https://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/eu...g-202204201345..

Thanks for the collage
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #148,013
  • Apr 20, 2022 2:52pm Apr 20, 2022 2:52pm
Daily S/R Levels for Thursday

Okay folks, we have a big descending wedge in front of us with a range between 1.0748 and 1.1044... Here are my quick thoughts for the upcoming day:

  1. If bulls can break above intraday resistance : 1.0855 they can clear the path towards 1.0945..
  2. Bears on the other hand must push price back below 1.0802 to keep bearish momentum in tact... This can happen because bulls are clearly still hesitant in my opinion! If they waste too much time below or around 1.0855, bears will surely take back the control.
  3. Inside these minutes we must see how well 1.0855 resists. I would trade carefully near the red zone on chart. Either wait for the breakout if you believe so, or wait for a bounce down if you have a contra bias. Whoever wins this round will drag price at least 100 pips to the regarding direction. +100 or -100? Time will tell..

I hope it helps

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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #148,014
  • Apr 20, 2022 3:11pm Apr 20, 2022 3:11pm
hi
======
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  • #148,015
  • Apr 20, 2022 4:53pm Apr 20, 2022 4:53pm
For now we can say that bulls have slightly upper hand and as such I have switched bias for now. We broke out of the trend line below, a good opportunity to buy will be a retest to the trend line.
All in all, my buy limit sits at 1.08025
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Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #148,016
  • Apr 20, 2022 6:01pm Apr 20, 2022 6:01pm
15M
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"No pain no gain"
  • #148,017
  • Apr 20, 2022 7:53pm Apr 20, 2022 7:53pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Daily S/R Levels for Thursday Okay folks, we have a big descending wedge in front of us with a range between 1.0748 and 1.1044... Here are my quick thoughts for the upcoming day: If bulls can break above intraday resistance : 1.0855 they can clear the path towards 1.0945.. Bears on the other hand must push price back below 1.0802 to keep bearish momentum in tact... This can happen because bulls are clearly still hesitant in my opinion! If they waste too much time below or around 1.0855, bears will surely take back the control. Inside these minutes...
Seems to me like Europe is ahead of schedule in stopping bond buying and increasing rates.
  • #148,018
  • Apr 20, 2022 10:59pm Apr 20, 2022 10:59pm
Quoting investing101
{quote} Seems to me like Europe is ahead of schedule in stopping bond buying and increasing rates.
How do you know that ECB is stopping buying bonds earlier than FED and how do you know that ECB will or will not increase rates in the upcoming meetings? Are you speculating or have you received this kind of info from a trustworthy source? Just curious...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #148,019
  • Apr 20, 2022 11:31pm Apr 20, 2022 11:31pm
Quoting investing101
{quote} Seems to me like Europe is ahead of schedule in stopping bond buying and increasing rates.

Since Germany etc. is doubling it's defense spending from here on out. Don't you think that money will be borrowed? Also since Germany pays more than double electric cost over usa, and NG as much as 7X. You dont think that will have an affect? Did you know the most expensive cost in building a heavy industrial product. Such as a BMW, is energy. I know inflation issues will cause the ECB to raise at some point. ATM talking about doing it, without doing it serves a purpose.

A BMW is a discretionary item. So is a European vacation for most. The high food inflation will leave less money for these. The ECB raising rates just makes those purchases less likely. Adding to this. When the interest is raised, and the euro rises. The cost of a BMW is raised (anything EZ exports). With already low discretionary money being spent (food inflation). Raising the cost of vacations and BMW's. Means less workers will be needed. This is not as black or white as many seem to believe. Raising rates will have an affect on EZ employment. Agricultural economies may do better. France may do better than Germany. The ECB is caught between a rock and a hard place. Inflation verses employment. That's the reality.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #148,020
  • Apr 21, 2022 12:23am Apr 21, 2022 12:23am
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