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EURUSD only

  • #147,181
  • Apr 4, 2022 5:18am Apr 4, 2022 5:18am
Stars are finally aligning for my "Unified Theory" approach . If works out, it will mean a vacation month for me. Been a while !

Only two of my last weeks setups that were not triggered had remained valid
Quoting mtako
1020 triggered, next Sell stop at 1009 for 5min ranging trade, for 9 pips . Isn't nice to see some movement !
Quoting mtako
First shy sign that there is some selling down going on {quote}I have SL now at 1060 for this one. Would reenter if stopped out, but only after return from >1085. TPs are dynamic also, but for now, nearest one is .0910 Except for this new sell stop .1012, and TP is now at .0986. BUT I highly doubt bulls will let me If all goes well, I will have 7 good shorts going on their way to check out what could happen if price gets back to the low of the year ...
. AND All my sell stops that are < .1 are CANCELLED, for reasons shared in above post. Like these :
Quoting mtako
.. Im selling here 0994, 14 pips SL. I have 2 new setups aligned, just in case the downtrend pursues soon enough. sell stop 0969 (1H candle that would hit it HAS to close below it or IM out of that one) Sell stop 0949 (same condition as above) {quote} It's my pleasure mate. I traded the 4H range also, but didn't quite get such a good TP like you. Your entries and exit for that one impressed me. And I like your energy ! Looking forward to reading more of your trading thoughts. We expect to win...

My 30th of MARCH preparation for aggressive selling :
Quoting mtako
...Because of new uptrend quality I had to wait +100pips more than previously planned to consider selling for anything more than 30m ATR. That is some adapting, and much needed! I had to wait longer than expected to start selling again. But now I can finally attack. Sold here.1153, sell stop 1140 is next. Sell stop 1125 1110 1088 1070 and 1047, to join my 3 other shared losing but happy shorts I shared lately. {quote} {quote} Closed the above...
2 last entries' SL, 1070 and 1047, their SLs are moved at BE and they are now in bed with the rest at last !
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #147,182
  • Apr 4, 2022 5:25am Apr 4, 2022 5:25am
Based on weekly and daily, 1.0991 is highly crucial this week..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #147,183
  • Apr 4, 2022 5:33am Apr 4, 2022 5:33am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Based on weekly and daily, 1.0991 is highly crucial this week..
Cool Ata Price Deja-Vu moment of last week:
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Intraday wise and based on H1 or M15, I am solely focusing on 1.0990... Highly crucial!
I hope I don't get slapped around by your crucial level for the 1000000th time !
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #147,184
  • Apr 4, 2022 5:35am Apr 4, 2022 5:35am
Quoting mtako
{quote} Cool Ata Price Deja-Vu moment of last week: {quote} I hope I don't get slapped around by your crucial level for the 1000000th time ! {image}
We shall be prepared.. Fingers crossed...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #147,185
  • Apr 4, 2022 5:37am Apr 4, 2022 5:37am
This
Quoting mtako
.. sell stop .1012, and TP is now at .0986. BUT I highly doubt bulls will let me If all goes well, I will have 7 good shorts going on their way to check out what could happen if price gets back to the low of the year I myself am done sharing for the day . Take good care everyone !
TP moved to .0970, dynamic SL now at 1024
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #147,186
  • Apr 4, 2022 5:38am Apr 4, 2022 5:38am
market makers may have a game here. be careful.
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Swing Trader
  • #147,187
  • Apr 4, 2022 5:43am Apr 4, 2022 5:43am
The price may go deeper into the demand zone. so they can quickly attract traders. (fooling) No falling in the game. we see them!
Swing Trader
  • #147,188
  • Apr 4, 2022 5:51am Apr 4, 2022 5:51am
Team!
The market knows we are watching this level. That's why they can make a bear trap. It should be looked if the usdx parity also reacted from the same region.
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Swing Trader
  • #147,189
  • Apr 4, 2022 6:05am Apr 4, 2022 6:05am
If H1 closes above this (red arrow) level, then I expect a new HIGH of the day on the EUR
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  • #147,190
  • Apr 4, 2022 6:15am Apr 4, 2022 6:15am
Quoting mustafayucel
Team! The market knows we are watching this level. That's why they can make a bear trap. It should be looked if the usdx parity also reacted from the same region. {image}
Very interesting points and chart mate ! Very very possible so let's be more careful around here as you say.

I don't know about traps, but I do understand how such perspective can be used as valuable insight and I 100% agree with you in regards to the growing possibility of a reversal.

And in the same frame of thought, perhaps the last bull move was the bigger trap and now it is time to push all them bulls off the ledge?
So, adding my 2 cents to your view : it goes both ways.

And on a funny note :
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #147,191
  • Apr 4, 2022 6:29am Apr 4, 2022 6:29am
I actually closed this guy as 1min closed points within my TP... reentered though..
Quoting mtako
1020 triggered, next Sell stop at 1009 for 5min ranging trade, for 9 pips . Isn't nice to see some movement !
TP moved down, factoring range and volatility : TP 17pips, 1.0992
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #147,192
  • Apr 4, 2022 6:36am Apr 4, 2022 6:36am
Quoting mtako
First shy sign that there is some selling down going on {quote}I have SL now at 1060 for this one. Would reenter if stopped out, but only after return from >1085. TPs are dynamic also, but for now, nearest one is .0910 Except for this new sell stop .1012, and TP is now at .0986. BUT I highly doubt bulls will let me If all goes well, I will have 7 good shorts going on their way to check out what could happen if price gets back to the low of the year ...
TP moved to .0965, factoring in 15m volatility and momentum. Dynamic SL now at 1.10184

Ata, wonder if this really happened

One last one ! Sell stop 1.10004 could be the big moment of the day this hour !
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #147,193
  • Apr 4, 2022 6:46am Apr 4, 2022 6:46am
Quoting John4y
{quote} With 1.10430 Low, EURUSD hit the mid-range of Bull's Trap formation target ... 1034 still to come. By further negative sentiment 1021 and even 0985 / 0949 are on the edge Watch-out for the NFP & ISM number later today Could be a game-changer
Friday's Bull Trap still valid, so Bears can take us to the previously said 0985 / 0949 level
  • #147,194
  • Apr 4, 2022 7:10am Apr 4, 2022 7:10am
Quoting mtako
{quote} Very interesting points and chart mate ! Very very possible so let's be more careful around here as you say. I don't know about traps, but I do understand how such perspective can be used as valuable insight and I 100% agree with you in regards to the growing possibility of a reversal. And in the same frame of thought, perhaps the last bull move was the bigger trap and now it is time to push all them bulls off the ledge? So, adding my 2 cents to your view : it goes both ways. And on a funny note : {image}
In supply and demand zones (order block - OB), many traps are set for hasty traders. After all, these levels are evident on the charts and are seen by many traders. The market maker may want to lure traders in that area without triggering the actual orders. (liquidity). It is very difficult to describe them in writing, after all, every trade has its own character and parameter. If I encounter such a situation in EU parity, I will share it here.
Swing Trader
  • #147,195
  • Apr 4, 2022 7:37am Apr 4, 2022 7:37am
Quoting mtako
Moment of truth for my longer-term shorts is starting now. Let's see if, again, we get a new low from here! As we see, there can be a real struggle in these levels before though, so I am abstaining from selling more for a while, except tiny scalps of course... {image}
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #147,196
  • Apr 4, 2022 7:44am Apr 4, 2022 7:44am
Watching for limit 1018. Breaks likely a failure for further bear at least now, then watch 1027 and 1st confirmation 1053 breaks if possible. May range down still before first confirmation, breaks and hold type. Take care
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #147,197
  • Apr 4, 2022 7:49am Apr 4, 2022 7:49am
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #147,198
  • Apr 4, 2022 8:25am Apr 4, 2022 8:25am
Entering my 2nd and surely last crucial moment of the day. Also, I think it is worth noting that price is entering the most battled zone of last month, see chart.

Next important steps for me :
1 ->
Quoting mtako
Wishing to all a good week folks ! Now down momentum is ripe on the 1H for me. Need to attack low of last Tuesday ASAP. Sold again here1032, 25pips SL. Cheers!!
2 ->A proper attack on 11th March low would be my next one, and is necessary to shift DOWN that slowly ascending ranging zone a bit, and for the first time since the beginning of March's Bull's steal. A lot can happen till then though !
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #147,199
  • Edited 8:48am Apr 4, 2022 8:30am | Edited 8:48am
late posting perhaps , next target goes to 0975 , anyway below this level and above 0944 may look for bounce again or daily close below 0981 as first confirmation . take care
below/breaks 0944 , is perfectly bear territory , yes a bounce can be expected at 0885, just nominal !
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #147,200
  • Apr 4, 2022 8:34am Apr 4, 2022 8:34am
Quoting John4y
{quote} Friday's Bull Trap still valid, so Bears can take us to the previously said 0985 / 0949 level
With EURUSD 1.09809 Low, first hurdle (0985) has been taken
BB's took in most SL clusters around today's Low
One more to go !
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