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  • #146,521
  • Mar 15, 2022 9:59am Mar 15, 2022 9:59am
Quoting schaos21
Once again, horrible US data and we go down... go figure!
You missed the time to sell EUR since the invasion.

Short term bottom was march 7th

trade ahead of the news my friend. It’s not easy. Use lower position to manage fear and greed easier.

could see another move up before rate hike. And then USD could weaken after the rate hike. Looking to fade an exaggerated moves
  • #146,522
  • Mar 15, 2022 10:21am Mar 15, 2022 10:21am
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} All active
Locking all shorts @980 when hit Taking profit when fall more taking more
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #146,523
  • Edited 12:48pm Mar 15, 2022 10:38am | Edited 12:48pm
price approaching 0965 /60 , looks not hold before 0921/0895 , but careful , a bounce likely as last try up , take care with be of scalping per level /leg if
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 27 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #146,524
  • Mar 15, 2022 11:08am Mar 15, 2022 11:08am
What do you see as strong long-term resistance to the EUR/USD?
  • #146,525
  • Mar 15, 2022 11:13am Mar 15, 2022 11:13am
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} Locking all shorts @980 when hit Taking profit when fall more taking more
Putin help with more profit Watching clously with trailing SL
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #146,526
  • Mar 15, 2022 11:52am Mar 15, 2022 11:52am
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} Putin help with more profit Watching clously with trailing SL
Locking all 960
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #146,527
  • Mar 15, 2022 12:13pm Mar 15, 2022 12:13pm
Quoting ForBatman
What do you see as strong long-term resistance to the EUR/USD?
You're joking right?

1. WAR

2. WAR

3. Energy prices

4. WAR

5. European recession

6. WAR with 2 million refugee's

7. FED about to raise rates

Would you like me to continue?
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #146,528
  • Mar 15, 2022 12:18pm Mar 15, 2022 12:18pm
Quoting fxsport
7. FED about to raise rates
Last time FED started to raise rates EU went from 1.06 to 1.25. Now it may be fully priced in, too. Just sayin...
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #146,529
  • Mar 15, 2022 12:21pm Mar 15, 2022 12:21pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Last time FED started to raise rates EU went from 1.06 to 1.25. Now it may be fully priced in, too. Just sayin...
Last time Russia invaded Ukraine (Crimea 3-2014) EU went from 1.36 to 1.15.

Just sayin...

STILL short from yesterday @1.095
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #146,530
  • Mar 15, 2022 12:42pm Mar 15, 2022 12:42pm
Quoting fxsport
{quote} Last time Russia invaded Ukraine (Crimea 3-2014) EU went from 1.36 to 1.15. Just sayin... STILL short from yesterday @1.095
Are you sure about this? Looking at Feb-Mar 2014 (or the whole of that year) it doesn't go anywhere near 1.15?
A wise man changes his mind, a fool never will
  • #146,531
  • Mar 15, 2022 12:52pm Mar 15, 2022 12:52pm
Quoting fxsport
{quote} Last time Russia invaded Ukraine (Crimea 3-2014) EU went from 1.36 to 1.15. Just sayin... STILL short from yesterday @1.095
Crimea had literally no impact on euro. That move was started by ECB, I remember it like it was yesterday. Started between 1.39-40 during a meeting.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #146,532
  • Mar 15, 2022 1:11pm Mar 15, 2022 1:11pm
Approaching 0929/19/00 , may not hold though!
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: sketch-1647367529060.png Size: 261 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: sketch-1647367743265.png Size: 228 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #146,533
  • Mar 15, 2022 1:30pm Mar 15, 2022 1:30pm
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} Locking all 960
Closing all now @933 patience is the key cheers all!
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #146,534
  • Mar 15, 2022 1:34pm Mar 15, 2022 1:34pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Crimea had literally no impact on euro. That move was started by ECB, I remember it like it was yesterday. Started between 1.39-40 during a meeting.
Same lol master wave funded my real estate business
  • #146,535
  • Mar 15, 2022 1:50pm Mar 15, 2022 1:50pm
Quoting MrGuy
{quote} Are you sure about this? Looking at Feb-Mar 2014 (or the whole of that year) it doesn't go anywhere near 1.15?
Looking at a MONTHLY chart from May 2014 - March 2015

High May 2014 was 1.399XX - By this time Russia was in Crimea and the grind started...EU lost 233 pips that month (Open to Close)

It was really in July - August - September where the EU dropped from 1.3691 to 1.2629 over 1,000 pips.

"Those who forget history are condemned to repeat it" - George Santayana
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #146,536
  • Mar 15, 2022 1:57pm Mar 15, 2022 1:57pm
Quoting fxsport
{quote} Looking at a MONTHLY chart from May 2014 - March 2015 High May 2014 was 1.399XX - By this time Russia was in Crimea and the grind started...EU lost 233 pips that month (Open to Close) It was really in July - August - September where the EU dropped from 1.3691 to 1.2629 over 1,000 pips. "Those who forget history are condemned to repeat it" - George Santayana
Right, I think I was confused because it sounded like you were saying EUR went from 1.37 > 1.15 in March 2014 due to the Crimea situation.
A wise man changes his mind, a fool never will
  • #146,537
  • Mar 15, 2022 1:57pm Mar 15, 2022 1:57pm
After listening to a few conversations on here throughout the day, I went ahead and did some digging. 2006-2008 when rates were higher than today. with news coming out and sanctions all over the place. Things might get a little volatile tomorrow. Could this unnecessary force down be for the forced up ahead? Trade safe team
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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"Your Habits Will Determine Your Future"
  • #146,538
  • Mar 15, 2022 2:13pm Mar 15, 2022 2:13pm
Quoting MrGuy
{quote} Right, I think I was confused because it sounded like you were saying EUR went from 1.37 > 1.15 in March 2014 due to the Crimea situation.
Sorry for that confusion I do NOT believe that the Crimea situation directly caused that fall.

My point was this - sometimes when we "think" a situation is resolved it really isn't. As far as the Ukraine war is concerned the first and foremost biggest loss is human lives - that is unforgivable and un-necessary. MY personal opinion is that since this incursion into a soverign country by Russia is a war crimes event, but that is just me.

What worries me is this - how is this energy situation going to effect the economy of the EU? Today I read about a manufacturing factor in Italy shutting due to lack of fuel. Now I know that is temporary but fuel prices are threw the roof. Who's going to pay for it? Higher energy for heating/cooling/manufacturing, etc., Companies can only pass costs along so much before consumers stop buying.

What about food? Who will harvest the crops in the Ukraine this year? Heck who is gong to plant the crops? Are there bombs in the fields? What does that do to the price of wheat based products? Bread, cereal but OMG BEER PRICES!!! (trying to lighten the otherwise morose reading)

Atta is a master technician and he looks to the past for pivots, S&R. I do the same using fundamentals and lots of reading.
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #146,539
  • Mar 15, 2022 2:14pm Mar 15, 2022 2:14pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Crimea had literally no impact on euro. That move was started by ECB, I remember it like it was yesterday. Started between 1.39-40 during a meeting.
Hey OnlineAddict what did the EU do that caused that drop?
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #146,540
  • Mar 15, 2022 2:18pm Mar 15, 2022 2:18pm
Quoting fxsport
{quote} Hey OnlineAddict what did the EU do that caused that drop?
ECB policy. I remember the day...EU was appearing to be very strong...it looked like it will target 1.40 and above...but somewhere around 3980 during the speech the drop started...it was falling until 3820 or so and completed the topping pattern. It was a straight drop from then on...but like I said, strong topping before, so more of a technical pattern along with fundamentals coming from Draghi.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
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