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  • #146,421
  • Mar 13, 2022 1:20pm Mar 13, 2022 1:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} no gap atm.. Maybe a retest of 0963/74. my second choice 1021. It settled below 0921, that's bearish to me. 0835 bears need to close. Later if can close below 0721, it can make a new LL. Need the month to close below 0921 0835 and 0721. To help stop the range. Friday's close below 0921 favors a drop to 0835 or 0721 {image}
Yeah at this moment no gap maybe one pip or a few, I think from a close expecting drop 100 pips, the more we go with correction thats more drop further l, trade safe
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #146,422
  • Mar 13, 2022 1:40pm Mar 13, 2022 1:40pm
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} Yeah at this moment no gap maybe one pip or a few, I think from a close expecting drop 100 pips, the more we go with correction thats more drop further l, trade safe
It all depends on Ukrainian war news. If odds turn against Russia or there is a peaceful agreement that they allegedly express a desire to agree with then we are going to see bulls take lead on eurusd. Otherwise, the ball is in the bears' court.
Risk Management is of utmost importance!
  • #146,423
  • Mar 13, 2022 1:44pm Mar 13, 2022 1:44pm
Hello Guys, looking forward to a exciting week ahead. Wish you lots of pips !
Drawdown is more important than Account Size !
  • #146,424
  • Mar 13, 2022 1:46pm Mar 13, 2022 1:46pm
Quoting RCtrader
{quote} It all depends on Ukrainian war news. If odds turn against Russia or there is a peaceful agreement that they allegedly express a desire to agree with then we are going to see bulls take lead on eurusd. Otherwise, the ball is in the bears' court.
Yeah my look is only technical but fundaments can change all, but I dont think that will be at this moment positive talks or end of war, becouse why? Putin sey sorry? Or Zelensky now say you can take some Ukraine? Eu will be slippin down some time, every pulback is promotion for sellers to get more money, wish all lucrative week and trade safe!
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #146,425
  • Mar 13, 2022 2:40pm Mar 13, 2022 2:40pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} no gap atm.. Maybe a retest of 0963/74. my second choice 1021. It settled below 0921, that's bearish to me. 0835 bears need to close. Later if can close below 0721, it can make a new LL. Need the month to close below 0921 0835 and 0721. To help stop the range. Friday's close below 0921 favors a drop to 0835 or 0721 {image}
Ok I see now, standard pa running, so 0959 limit may be respected for next leg down towards bottom and if breaks that level then likely previous high 11206 retest to break for more up and still in good bear set up for further down.
As of war strategy, eu still not involved directly or more indirectly too or spread beyond ukrain land so market craziness likely vanish fast and if fall ukraine it be over all games and price likely to pre war ok levels again. Us likely try continue boost with rate hikes to maintain high but tanking fear and fobia likely remain intact. So if war over or no spread eu ultimately bounce for great reversal even. Lets see.
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #146,426
  • Mar 13, 2022 2:53pm Mar 13, 2022 2:53pm
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The current position(1.09100) when looking at the 1 Hour chart is an area of support, its been an area of resistance before,, while the market has been bearish for quiet some time,, I am led to believe that things are about to change to Bullishness.

There has been positive talk likely to bring cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war, markets use sentiment more and we're likely to see a surge upwards. The missile attacks in Iraq on US installations is likely to lower the Dollar slightly and briefly cause the EURUSD to surge upwards.
  • #146,427
  • Mar 13, 2022 5:18pm Mar 13, 2022 5:18pm
Wishing all a happy new trading week.. Please mind the potential "Morning Star" pattern on H4, that I mentioned on Saturday.. It means: Bulls can kick in so sudden that you might not even find the time to fasten your seatbelts..

That said, for our Asian session traders: Good luck!

I hopefully will continue around London opening! Peace.. Out...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #146,428
  • Mar 13, 2022 5:48pm Mar 13, 2022 5:48pm
Hi Folks,

trade for last week.

Date 11.3.22
OP = 1.09930 , SL 1.11.362, TP 1.07966

Date 14.3.22
Closed my position @ 1.09200

Total pips = 73 pips
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  • #146,429
  • Mar 13, 2022 5:56pm Mar 13, 2022 5:56pm
Good evening, folks. Happy start to the trading week. I foresee continued movement to the downside this week, with a brief pop up to fill imbalance and supply zones before continuation south.

Top of Daily imbalance is about 0976 (I have short pending at 0973 so I don't miss it). Also I see a 1H supply zone from 0986 to 1011. Basically the range from 0976-1011 is good for sells. Price needs to get there first, of course.

Cheers.
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  • #146,430
  • Mar 13, 2022 6:06pm Mar 13, 2022 6:06pm
Hey guys, thanks for all the ideas. I also wanted to share mine.

-Blue numbers are my targets.
-Usually I always follow technicals, looking at weekly and daily distances to the 20MA we should be going up.
-Trade safe since war is is changing the pair to a more fundamental view.
-4hr ended up looking like a dojo morning star signaling Bulls, plus distance of 20MA
-If 4hr breaks 1.0930 bulls can try to reach 1.0980.
-Great session for y’all that also trade Asian.
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  • #146,431
  • Mar 13, 2022 6:42pm Mar 13, 2022 6:42pm
Quoting fxpipper
Good evening, folks. Happy start to the trading week. I foresee continued movement to the downside this week, with a brief pop up to fill imbalance and supply zones before continuation south. Top of Daily imbalance is about 0976 (I have short pending at 0973 so I don't miss it). Also I see a 1H supply zone from 0986 to 1011. Basically the range from 0976-1011 is good for sells. Price needs to get there first, of course. Cheers. {image} {image}
I have not forgotten of all this bearishness of course, I forgot to post but this is my view after the bulls give up. Btw I agree with your vision.
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  • #146,432
  • Mar 13, 2022 6:47pm Mar 13, 2022 6:47pm
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} Yeah my look is only technical but fundaments can change all, but I dont think that will be at this moment positive talks or end of war, becouse why? Putin sey sorry? Or Zelensky now say you can take some Ukraine? Eu will be slippin down some time, every pulback is promotion for sellers to get more money, wish all lucrative week and trade safe!
Honestly if thing keep going the way they are an FED raises rates I see EUR/USD at 1.05, it already happened in history.
  • #146,433
  • Mar 13, 2022 6:47pm Mar 13, 2022 6:47pm
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Seek knowledge and adorn it with patience and respect; moreover, be humble
  • #146,434
  • Mar 13, 2022 11:28pm Mar 13, 2022 11:28pm
I just want to wish, in the midst of such hard times for so many, much kind thoughts and a good trading week to all
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #146,435
  • Mar 13, 2022 11:48pm Mar 13, 2022 11:48pm
I just attacked the possible double bottom, I bought... 0910 should be interesting, unless it is still micro ranging.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #146,436
  • Mar 14, 2022 12:04am Mar 14, 2022 12:04am
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Swing Trader
  • #146,437
  • Mar 14, 2022 12:16am Mar 14, 2022 12:16am
Quoting mtako
I just attacked the possible double bottom, I bought... 0910 should be interesting, unless it is still micro ranging.
That clean break of 0910 was exactly what I was talking about, and what I needed to put some flesh on my long's bone. But still need a clean enough break of 0928-0935 (present week high levels)for me to take it seriously, or I will be content with 15pips or less. We'll see. SL is now already at .0901 for -7 loss, but will be moved at BE if it gets to 0922 before.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #146,438
  • Mar 14, 2022 12:59am Mar 14, 2022 12:59am
Good morning folks!
Im starting selling now 1.0912, will add, happy week to all
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #146,439
  • Mar 14, 2022 1:30am Mar 14, 2022 1:30am
Quoting mustafayucel
{image}{image}
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Swing Trader
  • #146,440
  • Mar 14, 2022 1:39am Mar 14, 2022 1:39am
ok there a new low then 0945 limit can ignore , next to go 0959 once again or range down below previous high 0938. so watching for 0938 , respected or not . so far broken 0919 , means no option left than range down if to do bear here, .!take care
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
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