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AUD/USD

  • #107,421
  • Mar 2, 2022 10:41pm Mar 2, 2022 10:41pm
after breaks 0.7313 /21 may target 0.7382 or more even breaks 0.7554before tanking great possible, take care
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #107,422
  • Mar 2, 2022 11:15pm Mar 2, 2022 11:15pm
Just an observation. 200 day MA currently coinciding with longer term trend line. Last time aus/usd hit 200 MA, it crashed shortly thereafter. Obviously no guarantees here, just something to keep an eye on.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #107,423
  • Mar 3, 2022 8:34am Mar 3, 2022 8:34am
Its about time...patience. Sellers sideline for now.
  • #107,424
  • Mar 3, 2022 8:36am Mar 3, 2022 8:36am
Quoting trumps
Looks like going to the next level before USD comes back again {image} {image}
Maybe..lets wait.
  • #107,425
  • Mar 4, 2022 3:34pm Mar 4, 2022 3:34pm
Quoting JackJones
{quote} assets still unwinding so long bias and now retail crowd is getting short so a spike higher is still on the cards, imo, maybe see 7450 soon {image} second down leg would be them reloading short on US rate hike news
getting there by April sometime hopefully
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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if i gets there it will probably range a bit, will have to see if they get short again there -- looks like Assets have closed shorts nearly 40% since 7000 lows, if they close completely it could kick higher to 7600-7700
grist for the mill
  • #107,426
  • Mar 4, 2022 11:20pm Mar 4, 2022 11:20pm
The pair has been bullish in the H4 chart. However, it closed its trading week around 0.73750. Thus, the level may work as a level of weekly resistance. A bullish breakout at this level may push the price towards the North further. On the other hand, if the price makes a bearish breakout at 0.73150, the price may make a long bearish correction next week.
  • #107,427
  • Mar 5, 2022 10:15am Mar 5, 2022 10:15am
AXY had just touched the resistance, and the currency will be the weakest against the all other currencies.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #107,428
  • Mar 7, 2022 12:39am Mar 7, 2022 12:39am
The pair made a breakout at Friday's high. It made a short bullish move in the intraday chart. However, the price seems to be producing a Double Top in the H1 chart. If that happens, the sellers may look to go short in the pair, which may make the price reverse and head towards the South in the H4 chart as well.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #107,429
  • Mar 7, 2022 8:02am Mar 7, 2022 8:02am
Quoting Fibonacci.bd
The pair made a breakout at Friday's high. It made a short bullish move in the intraday chart. However, the price seems to be producing a Double Top in the H1 chart. If that happens, the sellers may look to go short in the pair, which may make the price reverse and head towards the South in the H4 chart as well. {image}
AUD was very strong last week, this could be just a pullback before continuation higher.
  • #107,430
  • Mar 7, 2022 11:10am Mar 7, 2022 11:10am
Quoting GilverTrader
{quote} AUD was very strong last week, this could be just a pullback before continuation higher.

i expect a retest around 0.74261
  • #107,431
  • Mar 7, 2022 7:43pm Mar 7, 2022 7:43pm
Quoting GilverTrader
{quote} AUD was very strong last week, this could be just a pullback before continuation higher.
You are right that AUDUSD was very strong. Thus, it could make another bullish move this week. However, the H4 chart shows that the price made a bearish breakout at an up trending trendline, which may make the pair remain bearish for a while.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #107,432
  • Mar 7, 2022 9:23pm Mar 7, 2022 9:23pm
Quoting Fibonacci.bd
{quote} You are right that AUDUSD was very strong. Thus, it could make another bullish move this week. However, the H4 chart shows that the price made a bearish breakout at an up trending trendline, which may make the pair remain bearish for a while. {image}
There's a break away bullish on the monthly, if 0.73 holds, we might be gunning for 0.77 in the short term.

But yes, it seems like AUD is looking like the weakest this week.
  • #107,433
  • Mar 7, 2022 9:50pm Mar 7, 2022 9:50pm
Quoting GilverTrader
{quote} There's a break away bullish on the monthly, if 0.73 holds, we might be gunning for 0.77 in the short term. But yes, it seems like AUD is looking like the weakest this week.

Aussies are in a shit ton of household debt, a doubt the next rate increase will be significant
  • #107,434
  • Mar 7, 2022 9:55pm Mar 7, 2022 9:55pm
Always can't predict Aussie movement the only way to get profit from Aussie is luck if you are trading in high margin.

As you can see the trend always reverse in US market.
  • #107,435
  • Mar 7, 2022 9:59pm Mar 7, 2022 9:59pm
Quoting Torzone
{quote} Aussies are in a shit ton of household debt, a doubt the next rate increase will be significant
Household debt doesn't look good, but overall business confidence is still positive.

AUD can also be supported by higher commodities prices if this war continues to exert that effect. AUD was very strong last week, so this 2 days could be just a pullback before it pushes higher. It may not necessarily be a turn towards the bearish momentum.

Just food for thought.
  • #107,436
  • Mar 7, 2022 10:44pm Mar 7, 2022 10:44pm
Quoting GilverTrader
{quote} Household debt doesn't look good, but overall business confidence is still positive. AUD can also be supported by higher commodities prices if this war continues to exert that effect. AUD was very strong last week, so this 2 days could be just a pullback before it pushes higher. It may not necessarily be a turn towards the bearish momentum. Just food for thought.

Commodities prices are rising - Nickel spike to $100k. Gold also above $2k. Aussie coming soon?
  • #107,437
  • Mar 7, 2022 10:48pm Mar 7, 2022 10:48pm
Quoting k3nshinz3139
{quote} Commodities prices are rising - Nickel spike to $100k. Gold also above $2k. Aussie coming soon?
Are you expecting similar spikes for AUDUSD?
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  • #107,438
  • Mar 7, 2022 11:01pm Mar 7, 2022 11:01pm
Quoting GilverTrader
{quote} Are you expecting similar spikes for AUDUSD? {image} {image}
Not likely - Actually I am hedging Aussie and waiting for spike.
  • #107,439
  • Mar 7, 2022 11:08pm Mar 7, 2022 11:08pm
Quoting k3nshinz3139
{quote} Not likely - Actually I am hedging Aussie and waiting for spike.
Up or down?
  • #107,440
  • Mar 7, 2022 11:14pm Mar 7, 2022 11:14pm
Quoting GilverTrader
{quote} Up or down?
Down and waiting Hammer candle for closing.
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