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  • #144,601
  • Feb 1, 2022 1:54am Feb 1, 2022 1:54am
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} good morning, buy limit activated and SL holds, We may see next run by bulls or not, SL to BE Free run
Locking some profit
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #144,602
  • Feb 1, 2022 2:04am Feb 1, 2022 2:04am
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} Locking some profit
Its a good morning
  • #144,603
  • Feb 1, 2022 2:08am Feb 1, 2022 2:08am
Quoting shev72
{quote} Ata : I am quite interested in this statistic. Can you expand a bit on "38% chances of a 2:1 winner". What is meant by a 2:1 winner?
You can check the claims of this website that I referred to: https://patternswizard.com/morning-s...8.4%20candles.

Best wishes
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #144,604
  • Feb 1, 2022 2:12am Feb 1, 2022 2:12am
Price entered 1250 levels I talked about, my "too deep into daily range signifying probable daily ranging mode never ceased, just expanded by increased volatility. First to 1480 then to .112.

Next very important step for me to watch 1277s and stay above, as a possible back into monthly range, confirmation at>1310 still needed. Too far to tell.

All other thought on what is happening and plans to tackle it in my previous posts.

Closed one my closest surviving aggressive set of longs from
Quoting mtako
..buying 2ticks above every 15min candle OPEN..
at 1st tp of hidden divergence setup :
Quoting mtako
... hidden divergence in momentum on the 30m.. TP is about when rsi>75 on 30min cdl close. ..
+33.

Watching carefully, bears lurking surely !
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,605
  • Feb 1, 2022 2:33am Feb 1, 2022 2:33am
Strength of last move opened new doors, Bought here 12576 SL 8 pips!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,606
  • Feb 1, 2022 2:51am Feb 1, 2022 2:51am
Im wrong probably ! Bears probable marching in time ! Closed 2 of yesterdays long and sold here 1252!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,607
  • Feb 1, 2022 3:08am Feb 1, 2022 3:08am
Quoting mtako
Im wrong probably ! Bears probable marching in time ! Closed 2 of yesterdays long and sold here 1252!
Closed -7. Canceled by a new long 1H setup. buy stop 1270, beware bears if we get there...

Quoting mtako
Strength of last move opened new doors, Bought here 12576 SL 8 pips!
Also had to close this one at BE... wicks time waiting time!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,608
  • Feb 1, 2022 3:10am Feb 1, 2022 3:10am
Im buying more at 1.1255 SL where all 1.1248 when comes to 1,1250 another buy the last, and then for all SL will be 1.1220 aiming 1.1295 or 1.1305 lets see..

I think bears sitting on hands and waiting to 1.130x
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #144,609
  • Feb 1, 2022 3:20am Feb 1, 2022 3:20am
Quoting ScalaFX
Im buying more at 1.1255 SL where all 1.1248
Wishing you the best with your new entry mate. I hope to join you as I like the way you have been riding and, who knows, this might just be the start of a longer than anticipated voyage I have to wait till I have less conflicting setups a bit longer. Ok, now ranging around a 3 pips core ohh boy, for how long?
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,610
  • Feb 1, 2022 3:34am Feb 1, 2022 3:34am
15min volatility double top, sell stop 12566, and closing 2 more longs from my 1227 and 1229 for +29 +27.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,611
  • Feb 1, 2022 3:37am Feb 1, 2022 3:37am
Good morning, I hope you're great. I think 1.1270 could be the resistance for today, would like to see bears lol;
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  • #144,612
  • Feb 1, 2022 3:53am Feb 1, 2022 3:53am
Quoting mtako
15min volatility double top, sell stop 12566, and closing 2 more longs from my 1227 and 1229 for +29 +27.
For me bears must close under 1.1230 for more down but I can be wrong
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #144,613
  • Feb 1, 2022 3:57am Feb 1, 2022 3:57am
Mike & Mechanics
  • #144,614
  • Feb 1, 2022 4:04am Feb 1, 2022 4:04am
Quoting bpola
EurUsd at a critical point. About 38.2% retracement of the drop from 1.1480. good level to short for me. Am in at 1.1240 with stop just about the 50% retracement level at 1.1313 Targets - around previous low at 1.1137, then 1.1050 & 1.0970 All bets off if the morning star formation on the daily chart takes over. Happy trading everyone {image}
Closing out this EU short. EU seems intent on going up. Will stay on the sidelines for the meantime.
Stay Green.
  • #144,615
  • Feb 1, 2022 4:13am Feb 1, 2022 4:13am
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} For me bears must close under 1.1230 for more down but I can be wrong
Yes mate ! Definitely 1230, more chance for more bear movement if that is broken in my book also.
But for more down, how much were you thinking? My setup here is from 15min countertrend, no big tp, unless a new setup comes in reinforcing it before it is closed. 1230 was also the main barrier to break for me going up, so we will be watching that one like a hawk indeed if we get back there.
Also, this is my 30min barrier levels(+-1245-1265) where a bit more of struggle usually happens(seeing a bit of that already), so also more chances that trend pursues, or at least a decent level to sell with the right setup. Also one of the reasons why Ive been scaling down my longs, so every time I get an equal or greater short setup than the long I am closing.

But I believe anything can happen starting from here, really anything, both ways. So prefer to just a few tiny setups just in case it is time for continuation, but mainly wait and see if my longs at BE survive, which I still have too much of anyhow before big news Ill have to scale down a bit more.

Wish I could see the future sometimes !

Nice exchanging with you mate! P.S Scala as in the programming language?
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,616
  • Feb 1, 2022 4:14am Feb 1, 2022 4:14am
Quoting mtako
Wow, bulls are keeping us busy much longer than anticipated Going for 1250. Will the day close back inside the old range ? That possibility is what if affecting my trading a great deal. Many longs could survive at BE a long time till it plays in other end and decides if it continues or not from at least >1320. I am now physically and mentally split in two. {image} {image}
Currently sharing the same feeling, my original plan was to short it aggressively but that changed quickly into buying and still holding. closed partially at 1.1200 then at 1.1240 and 1.1265 with still 1/4 position open for if we see 1.13. If I see the chart, one touch retest of 1.1185 and then 1.1222 and continue to the upside. Now first small reaction from the structure above at 1.1265 while volume is increasing and still trading comfortably above 1.1250. I was hoping to see a stronger dip below 1.1250 and push back up to know that the bears are serious about pushing it back down. Now I am not completely sure anymore, eurusd is making me work to hard...
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  • #144,617
  • Feb 1, 2022 4:25am Feb 1, 2022 4:25am
Quoting mtako
{quote} Yes mate ! Definitely 1230, more chance for more bear movement if that is broken in my book also. But for more down, how much were you thinking? My setup here is from 15min countertrend, no big tp, unless a new setup comes in reinforcing it before it is closed. 1230 was also the main barrier to break for me going up, so we will be watching that one like a hawk indeed if we get back there. Also, this is my 30min barrier levels(+-1245-1265) where a bit more of struggle usually happens(seeing a bit of that already), so also more chances that...
Im thinking 1.1185 is crutial, but 1.1230 for me is better option for long with tight stop

Scala is my trend following system for scalping
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #144,618
  • Feb 1, 2022 4:43am Feb 1, 2022 4:43am
Quoting Endoephemera
{quote} You might want to start scaling in long 1.1246 and increasing down to 1.1225 If it makes a new low, the up scenario is compromised but don't panic. Double around 1.121 and exit at BE. No way in hell it breaks down without retaking 1.1225
Yes, it can be, later we have impulsing data, till this we are in range, see you later
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #144,619
  • Feb 1, 2022 4:43am Feb 1, 2022 4:43am
Quoting marcin.kamaj
i wouldn't be suprise if we'll play scenario which i marked in chart below: Triangle on H4 ( my crucial area is in 1.1260-75 where some wicks can arrive, little belowe Ata level), which i'm trading now. That is on higher timeframe, so i trade it like triangle of bias continuation after break in south direction. {image} Best regards for All!
Ok, as i thought yesterday we had wicks over triangle on H4, but now time to turn in South direction.

I now short with small SL at 1.1285.

Have a nice day ( I'm today on journey, so not visit a lot of FF:/ )
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #144,620
  • Feb 1, 2022 4:44am Feb 1, 2022 4:44am
Quoting marcin.kamaj
{quote} Ok, as i thought yesterday we had wicks over triangle on H4, but now time to turn in South direction. I now short with small SL at 1.285. Have a nice day ( I'm today on journey, so not visit a lot of FF:/ )
Marcin SL 1.285 is not small
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
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