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  • #144,501
  • Jan 31, 2022 2:04am Jan 31, 2022 2:04am
Added short from 1.1170, SL: 1.1245, TP: 1.0870
Position Trader
  • #144,502
  • Edited 9:59am Jan 31, 2022 2:13am | Edited 9:59am
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} hey, partial 1175 total 1208
im not closing partial, waiting to close higher all

closed All at TP, now small scalp sell targeting 1,1175 where placed another buy limit to 1,1300,
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #144,503
  • Jan 31, 2022 2:35am Jan 31, 2022 2:35am
Good morning, hope you're well. I think 1.1180 can be a resistance, would like to see bears entering from here lol;
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  • #144,504
  • Jan 31, 2022 2:37am Jan 31, 2022 2:37am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} Maybe you're right. I want to show another view of Weekly TF. As a swing trader, I see: AB: First extension, Strong, suggests continuation BC: Correction of AB: Weak, suggests next long extension CD: Second extension, Shorter than AB, Suggests weakness in long DE: Correction of CD, Strong, Suggests end of up trend, Then sideways or even reversal. So I really will be wondered if EF (F is not formed yet) would be longer than DE. {image}
I just found it accidentally.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #144,505
  • Jan 31, 2022 2:53am Jan 31, 2022 2:53am
Quoting Windstrown
{quote} I on the other hand have a bunch of pending sells, starting 1.1173, 1.1181 1.1206. Not looking for a reversal, just dont want to risk a buy when the low hasnt been printed yet, from where we are atm assuming the further targets for next monday monthly close, for the trend to keep representing the current situation, it cant reverse here. Therefore im looking for pullbacks to load shorts but not reversals and buying against the trend is how i lost money in the past there is no way im going to do the defenition of insanity again ...
2nd short triggered
  • #144,506
  • Jan 31, 2022 3:15am Jan 31, 2022 3:15am
Currently I am expecting a move between 1.1185 to 1.1222 area, once reached I will start to place short trades again depending on market reaction. My original plan was to start to build with smaller positions until I get a clear confirmation that we are going down again. On the other hand I have a feeling that I cannot clearly based with facts, but have the feeling that just maybe we will get this week a spring reaction and get back in the previous precious range. Until it becomes clear, trade safe everyone

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  • #144,507
  • Jan 31, 2022 3:16am Jan 31, 2022 3:16am
Quoting momo3HC
{quote} Astrological factors in trading? Can`t be serious...
Look at the last two or three weeks I left
  • #144,508
  • Jan 31, 2022 3:44am Jan 31, 2022 3:44am
Quoting marcin.kamaj
Hi All Traders in new week, hope you are rested and fresh with open mind after weekend. If comes about tradaes, im still with my longs from last Friday and now wait for London open ( exactly for 3th 15min candle after open, beacuse first two 15min candles after open is always for me noise ) to catch diection for first half of trading day. We have two edge leveles, if price will go down and pass 1.1140 then we go for new low, or if will go to pass 1.1170 then i looking to check 1.12 level ( and that is my favor scenario) Have a nice day!
Yes, I expect 1.12 is to be seen in course of the day.
  • #144,509
  • Jan 31, 2022 4:46am Jan 31, 2022 4:46am
Quoting Forensic
Happy New year everyone. Trust you had a relaxing holiday. So where are we with this naughty pair? Price boldy broke out of yellow box, is now at the 61.8% fib level which coincides with the descending trendline and a key resistance area 1.1485/1500 area. I feel this will attract losts of buyers into the market and may result in a slaughter as price may go back to retest last low (1) and perhaps lower(2) (see chart below). before continuing upwards. Let's see how this goes. {image}
Hi everyone, trust you are all having fun trading and living the life of your dreams .

So where are we? As discussed in my last post https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...3#post13856303
price did resist 1484/1500 area and proceeded down (see last post link above.) So where are we now?

The chart below shows price broke 1.1235 support area and is currently retesting it. I have placed a trendline to guage retrace (bearish flag/pennant)and entry point for brearish continuation trade. Watch 50 -61% fib levels for resistance. (see first chart below)

The second chart shows an ascending trendline on the monthly/weekly. price seems to be heading back to retest this. it also coincides with the -0.61% 1.0867 tp area. So something to keep in mind. Price may do a deeper retrace after testing trendline. we'll see.

just my 2 cents. Happy trading.
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  • #144,510
  • Edited 5:24am Jan 31, 2022 5:10am | Edited 5:24am
Based on M15... Let's see if 1.1155/60 will support... If it does, bulls must watch 1.1177 resistance next!

Last day of month! Trade safe! Wishing everyone a happy new trading week
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #144,511
  • Jan 31, 2022 5:13am Jan 31, 2022 5:13am
Its my setup. Im on improvement daily range strategy, i use EMA 200 for filter, and my setup using High Low (sometime i use rsi for cutting profit). Last time my strategy for GU with Both setup (buy and sell), and the risk i got SL twice, now i use EMA for filter and trying to all pair (i got this strategy from my friend).
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  • #144,512
  • Jan 31, 2022 5:21am Jan 31, 2022 5:21am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Based on M15... Let's see if 1.1155/60 will support... Last day of month! Trade safe! Wishing everyone a happy new trading week
hello sir, what did you think 1.1155/ 60 touch and again bunch.
  • #144,513
  • Jan 31, 2022 5:34am Jan 31, 2022 5:34am
Was waiting for some action to come back with my 2 cents.

Important : resistance set by last 4H close below 1180, now low of it being tested ! Second significant chance of the day for bears to pursue, for me.

Also noting how no 1H ever closed above any wicks? Sometimes this happens before a big breakout up, but when in ranging mode, for me set from Friday, usually it is just the range stretching naturally and preparing its descend back to the lows, which I believe we are seeing happen at the moment.
This double top in top of range is also important.
Crucial Important moment both for bulls and bears, in my opinion. On the micro level, no new >1167 would be nice down momentum one the 1min.

Quoting mtako
Getting back in if 1150s hold, we are micro ranging probably still. Sell stop 1146.
Quoting Starcraftmaz
{quote} You mean 1.1146 or 1.146?
yes .1146, 1150 did not but 1170s did very well. Its a bit more complicated than that, but these low entries are my potential longer term entries in case my 1160s were stopped out, as potential was still intact, and still is. Also lower in volume than my next higher shorts. When I give no SL at all, probably this is the case. Looks like awful trading sometimes, but look back at the bulk of my trading and one can see a very different picture. Return outweighs drawdown safely, which is always my 1st goal with diversifying with different setups from all timeframes, and mm approaches.

Sold here finally after quite a wait, 1161 SL 8 pips.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,514
  • Jan 31, 2022 5:37am Jan 31, 2022 5:37am
Quoting tauhidur
{quote} hello sir, what did you think 1.1155/ 60 touch and again bunch.
That's what I am currently watching.. If it bounces up we stay long.. If not we can expect a drop back to 1.1140 area.. There we must see how it goes.. Best wishes
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #144,515
  • Jan 31, 2022 5:43am Jan 31, 2022 5:43am
Sold again 1155 8 pips SL
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,516
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:08am Jan 31, 2022 6:08am
Wave 2 down most likely
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  • #144,517
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:10am Jan 31, 2022 6:10am
Quoting mtako
...Weekly Momentum and Volatility dictates, for some of my setups that, only if Fridays high is not breached, or not for more than an 2 hours, to start selling aggressively again under Friday's low... {image}
Its not over yet. But Fridays high 2 times it tested it, lasting just that, 1 Hour minus a minute or 2 each. If bulls cant do more than that, I think we have an early testing of the lows coming up and with strong enough>4H momentum still for a new set of tight SLs trades. Not there yet though, more patience needed for those !

-8, Sell stop 11589 6pips SL 11471 11pipsSL. 1H back in range trade.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,518
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:13am Jan 31, 2022 6:13am
in 40 mins we will get CPI m/m for GErmany, can give impact for EURUSD] and give direction for remaining part of day.

I'm keeping my longs with SL at 1.1134.

Have nice trading day!
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #144,519
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:26am Jan 31, 2022 6:26am
Quoting mtako
..Sold here finally after quite a wait, 1161 SL 8 pips.
SL at BE
new setup from H2 low volatility Fridays big bull's cdl low sneak attack . 11353 SL 17pips. Needs to close below it,. 1h35m to go!
Quoting mtako
{quote}..-8, Sell stop 11589 6pips SL 11471 11pipsSL. 1H back in range trade.
SL already moved at BE. SELL STOP 11471 triggered, sorry for above typing mistake.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,520
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:53am Jan 31, 2022 6:53am
Thats what happens sometimes when you sell at the bottom of the range ! Little riddle, since we didn't know yet that it was the bottom. Intraday bulls not done after all ! Raking up the losses as usual -8 -11 BE BE. Sold again here 11587
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
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