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  • #144,441
  • Jan 28, 2022 5:17am Jan 28, 2022 5:17am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Eeehmmm... Bro, you can't "promise" things in the introduction and main part of your whole comment and then in the very end mentioning that all is "fallible" That final remark sounds like those little info texts quickly flowing below the screen on promising commercials.. Intentionally designed so that audience can't easily follow.. Sorry bro.. please don't mind me and please don't feel offended.. This just made me giggle.. (but trust me I hear you)
I had the same reaction! Nice posts Mitiblotch, you made me smile big with your last words indeed. I like to see that. To me, it shows clearly how you are solid in your views, which I admire the strength, and yet still check in reality from time to time. That in the end, anything can still happen because none of us know it or see it all. Hope to continue to see much of you here!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,442
  • Jan 28, 2022 5:30am Jan 28, 2022 5:30am
Ok, now price could use one less swordfish for a candle ! This is it on the 30min, if it doesnt transform itself into a swordfish, nice engulfing? not in such a mess!, at the right spot 1140 resistance signs? mmm... If low hit of this cdl hit, could be the next domino drop. Or that low could be the low of the day !

Ok, Im giving my 1133 setup just one more 30min from here just because of the looks of this 30min candle.

Now look at price just roll back all the way up for the millionth time . Ah same old same old. Or maybe not...
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,443
  • Jan 28, 2022 5:37am Jan 28, 2022 5:37am
Quoting marcin.kamaj
Hi All, time to little bounce after 2.5 days of nice downtrend move. Is end of week so traders will start to collect their profits on entire USD index, so loooking that EURUSD is over 50% of all USD Index ( in 6 currency basket ), so the move should be the biggest here. So i'm now long from 1.1134 with SL at 1.1104 with open TP ( my first target is at least at 1.1180 ). Have a nice day for All!

If we close currenly 1H candel over 1.1140 then i will incrase my longs.
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #144,444
  • Edited 6:00am Jan 28, 2022 5:44am | Edited 6:00am
1140 resistance held nice... now a return to lows of the century <1125 is needed to put some butter on that brisket ./ But can bears do it this early ? Next low is a mystery. If it wasnt for the news, I would be staying in my near shorts and adding at 1127 with tight 40s and 60s stops.

Quoting mtako
.. giving my 1133 setup just one more 30min from here just because of the looks of this 30min candle...
UPDATE Conditions changed as my 1124 level to be reached was raised a bit, so Im staying in, but tightening the SL back down to 1140. P.S I was kidding earlier, of course the looks of a candle is not part of my rules, a shift in my levels from this last 1H played that role.

Now just waiting for news while scalping.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,445
  • Jan 28, 2022 6:36am Jan 28, 2022 6:36am
Still in the trade from yesterday. I added at 1.1162 and 1.1135 so in at a average price of 1.1175. This is 1/5th of a normal size position for me. Moved the stoploss to 1.1075 to reflect the average price and a 1% stoploss rule.

Market is oversold but can remain so for a while since end of month flows are in play right now.
  • #144,446
  • Jan 28, 2022 6:53am Jan 28, 2022 6:53am
Last 40s man standing ?

Potential I entered for earlier is there still, as long as 40s hold. Although low chance to hold, it is important level for me because as long as not breached, it contains good enough momentum for another straight 60 pips, far from guaranteeing it, at least gives a good risk/reward again, like the last 2 days.

On another note : returns from 1154 resistances interest me, for entry around 1143. Also of course entry 1125, as long as no 1H closes above 1155, as such a break would change the dynamics for me, breaking up bears momentum while showing more bull volatility and would start more selling from above. But as I said before, I will not go on any new adventures before news dust settles, except scalping...

Bears are very glad, full of honey. As this 1140 resistance is very good for higher shorts that have more chances of surviving the possible news wicks.

Personal update on shares. -7 -7. Happily raking up the losses as usual. Scalping 3-4 pips the most fruitful for me today, and for the last 4 hours !
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,447
  • Jan 28, 2022 6:54am Jan 28, 2022 6:54am
All Short SL cluster around 1.11400 & 1.11406 blown away .. next cluster now just above market day opening 1.11418 & 1.11434
Bears now down to retest 1.11245 / 1.11225 area

Quoting John4y
While dacing bears EURUSD is hitting 1.11595, way is open to hit longtime framed support around 1.11161 / 1.09825 {image}
Will be next target
  • #144,448
  • Jan 28, 2022 7:00am Jan 28, 2022 7:00am
Quoting mtako
... So, even though I have a good 1H setup(1st ) with sell stop 1125 TP open dynamic SL 1155, I will not take it. Next : BIg news time !!! Trade safe folks !
SL is even better for this one now, only 20 pips.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,449
  • Jan 28, 2022 7:28am Jan 28, 2022 7:28am
Moment of truth for the day Folks ! Cant look ! The feeling is in the air.

We all know there will be plenty of opportunity after news volatility also. I wish I could travel into your minds, one after the other, looking at all your thoughts and trade plans and everything that comes with it, ahead of this moment

As planned, just closed my <.1215 shorts at 1132. Most of under <1215 I closed yesterday, as shared, but still had a couple, and many are from 1140s scalps turned intraday, from EU. Kept a few in case price would have fallen below .1100 before news. I dont know whats wrong with me, sharing all the non- nitty gritty. I dont think anything, like if it helps or not, Im just being present in the moment, hanging out. Best thing for me these days, if you dont mind. Apologies to folks who find no value in these. So glad ignore option is there for that, no hard feelings.

3.2.1 !
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: pexels-photo-1183434.jpeg Size: 304 KB
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,450
  • Jan 28, 2022 7:39am Jan 28, 2022 7:39am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} There are equal tops around 1.1150 and people are shorting at 1.1130 without the equal tops being taken out, and I wonder what they have learned after all these years of trading. Equal tops are signs. The algos usually come for those places.
So let's fulfil these promises one by one: they have come for the equal tops at 1.1150. Done!
  • #144,451
  • Edited 7:57am Jan 28, 2022 7:46am | Edited 7:57am
Quoting John4y
All Short SL cluster around 1.11400 & 1.11406 blown away .. next cluster now just above market day opening 1.11418 & 1.11434 Bears now down to retest 1.11245 / 1.11225 area {quote} Will be next target
Seems like the Bulls have taken over after the news event and cleared quite some Short SL clusters above today's market opening
Nevertheless, Long SL Clusters in the 1.11245 / 1.11225 area remain an attractive prey for Bears
  • #144,452
  • Jan 28, 2022 7:52am Jan 28, 2022 7:52am
Quoting marcin.kamaj
Hi All, time to little bounce after 2.5 days of nice downtrend move. Is end of week so traders will start to collect their profits on entire USD index, so loooking that EURUSD is over 50% of all USD Index ( in 6 currency basket ), so the move should be the biggest here. So i'm now long from 1.1134 with SL at 1.1104 with open TP ( my first target is at least at 1.1180 ). Have a nice day for All!

Added longs after this took off which was sparked by US data.

Now homework for bulls is close 1h over 1.1150 and free way to zone 1.1190-1.1220 where will be big battle, beacuse from one side bigger stop loss will be fire out, but from 2nd side a lot of traders will sell again.

Hope today observe this zone and then decide what with my longs.

Have a nice day!
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #144,453
  • Jan 28, 2022 8:03am Jan 28, 2022 8:03am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} So let's fulfil these promises one by one: they have come for the equal tops at 1.1150. Done!
Go GO GO !!! But if bulls break 1200, we could be on the road to a proper correction. But lets not get ahead of ourselves. Still a long ways to go and news volatility has only just begun.

Just entered my first short of the day for the long-term 1165
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,454
  • Jan 28, 2022 8:07am Jan 28, 2022 8:07am
Next 15min bear candle's low -2pts is my next entry, dynamic SL starting at high of the day +5.

Then sell stop 11399, then 1125. Each entry forces the last SL at BE, except my first at 1165, that is completely independent. If a miracle occurs
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,455
  • Jan 28, 2022 8:09am Jan 28, 2022 8:09am
Quoting Windstrown
{quote} I on the other hand have a bunch of pending sells, starting 1.1173, 1.1181 1.1206. Not looking for a reversal, just dont want to risk a buy when the low hasnt been printed yet, from where we are atm assuming the further targets for next monday monthly close, for the trend to keep representing the current situation, it cant reverse here. Therefore im looking for pullbacks to load shorts but not reversals and buying against the trend is how i lost money in the past there is no way im going to do the defenition of insanity again ...
First short triggered
  • #144,456
  • Jan 28, 2022 8:12am Jan 28, 2022 8:12am
Sell stop 11522 ! 30 min needs to close below it or im out of that one. Back in range setup.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,457
  • Jan 28, 2022 8:37am Jan 28, 2022 8:37am
If this 1H or the next closes bullish and its high is breached, I see 1220s resistance reach today as probable.

If this 1H or the next closes bearish and the low is properly breached, I see a new low at least.

I see in my crystal ball a lot of probable ranging though

Quoting mtako
Sell stop 11522 ! 30 min needs to close below it or im out of that one. Back in range setup.
Closed right under it, close, beautiful, but lacks strength! So I stay in as planned, but cautiously...
TP is low of range for me now 1129, but could rise, SL same.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,458
  • Jan 28, 2022 8:57am Jan 28, 2022 8:57am
What are your TPs buyers, if I may ask, for those of you who have approximate levels in mind ?
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #144,459
  • Jan 28, 2022 9:00am Jan 28, 2022 9:00am
Quoting mtako
What are your TPs buyers ?
hey, partial 1175 total 1208
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #144,460
  • Jan 28, 2022 9:05am Jan 28, 2022 9:05am
Quoting mtako
What are your TPs buyers, if I may ask, for those of you who have approximate levels in mind ?
Targeting 1.1219. Not sure it can make it today, but I think it's possible.
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