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The Swamp

  • #94,561
  • Jan 19, 2022 7:08am Jan 19, 2022 7:08am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I got a personal goal tp at 1366
I tp a long earlier. so I dont need 1366 now.. 1346 will do it,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,562
  • Jan 19, 2022 7:12am Jan 19, 2022 7:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I tp a long earlier. so I dont need 1366 now.. 1346 will do it, {image}
My goal today was met.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,563
  • Jan 19, 2022 7:22am Jan 19, 2022 7:22am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} My goal today was met. {image}
happy for you!!! soon .. can roll on it...lol...
..
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  • #94,564
  • Jan 19, 2022 7:37am Jan 19, 2022 7:37am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} happy for you!!! soon .. can roll on it...lol... .. {image}
Breakfast is on you.. https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...1&d=1642179989
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,565
  • Jan 19, 2022 7:46am Jan 19, 2022 7:46am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} happy for you!!! soon .. can roll on it...lol... .. {image}
new goal.. maybe mid next week.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,566
  • Jan 19, 2022 7:50am Jan 19, 2022 7:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Here now (1332 untouched).. bounce to 1367/69.. then 1398 ... I know i said last week LC points to 147x+// That is still true. But week Average at 1438... So 1477 has 1438 average against it
Since 1332 was not touched.. it may try again. Possible Long 1332.. The same as written here, I got lucky got in earlier on 1333x. Some attraction to 1332 or 1398
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,567
  • Jan 19, 2022 8:00am Jan 19, 2022 8:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Since 1332 was not touched.. it may try again. Possible Long 1332.. The same as written here, I got lucky got in earlier on 1333x. Some attraction to 1332 or 1398 {image}
Add 1/2 pip.. 1332.8 + whatever your spread is.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,568
  • Jan 19, 2022 9:55am Jan 19, 2022 9:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Since 1332 was not touched.. it may try again. Possible Long 1332.. The same as written here, I got lucky got in earlier on 1333x. Some attraction to 1332 or 1398 {image}
trying to get back in long but not sure
still have a long that i could not close had tp on BE but did not reach it.

it will get harder to trade from here.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,569
  • Jan 19, 2022 10:27am Jan 19, 2022 10:27am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} trying to get back in long but not sure still have a long that i could not close had tp on BE but did not reach it. it will get harder to trade from here.
i've open a long and got scared an closed no it goes
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,570
  • Jan 19, 2022 10:43am Jan 19, 2022 10:43am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} LC above 1332 in 5 hs leans to higher. {image}
LC is higher. Odds for 1367/69, 98 and more. Are a little higher. Change that possible 1332 Long to 1335/36. Some support maybe 1331 ish. trip swap day.. maybe a smoother move after rollover. light support at 1345
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,571
  • Jan 19, 2022 10:53am Jan 19, 2022 10:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} LC is higher. Odds for 1367/69, 98 and more. Are a little higher. Change that possible 1332 Long to 1335/36. Some support maybe 1331 ish. trip swap day.. maybe a smoother move after rollover. light support at 1345
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,572
  • Jan 19, 2022 10:56am Jan 19, 2022 10:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} LC is higher. Odds for 1367/69, 98 and more. Are a little higher. Change that possible 1332 Long to 1335/36. Some support maybe 1331 ish. trip swap day.. maybe a smoother move after rollover. light support at 1345
breaking about that levels means Uptrend. i would think until the FED comens we trade lower EUR/USD or in this range.
going into a hawkish FED with eur/usd up is risky h4 downtrend daily weekly downtrend

imho i would be amazed to see eur 1.14 before next week so maybe just a bear flag and we take the lows.

of course i suck in range so i may just talk bs.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,573
  • Jan 19, 2022 11:00am Jan 19, 2022 11:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
despite me looking to short 14xx,, PA has a little flag like formation.. It may end up a bearish flag later. I do see it. I'm not ignoring it. I could be wrong about 1367/99, 98 and 14xx. But I will stick with 1398 for now.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,574
  • Jan 19, 2022 11:14am Jan 19, 2022 11:14am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} breaking about that levels means Uptrend. i would think until the FED comens we trade lower EUR/USD or in this range. going into a hawkish FED with eur/usd up is risky h4 downtrend daily weekly downtrend imho i would be amazed to see eur 1.14 before next week so maybe just a bear flag and we take the lows. of course i suck in range so i may just talk bs.
Pa is in a uptrend already. The year month, week. 12 h, closed above 1208 and 1331. The year close rests at 1367/69. Then later 1447 1492. Pa is between S/R 1331 and 1367 ranging. But giving clues. Last week bulls ran out of gas. They needed 1333 to refill the gas tank. That was done now.

I may be wrong. I bet the big boys have pending shorts all the way to 176x, before the FOMC minutes. I think 1398 is coming tonight.

The beauty of being wrong is, I didnt bet the farm long. I do have some to tp, if I'm right. I can short from a higher place if right.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,575
  • Jan 19, 2022 11:33am Jan 19, 2022 11:33am
At some point the gate at 1367/69 will close. And pa may just not come back to it. At some point the same concerning 1331. Followed by 1208. I dont know if that day was this current drop. I do know for me 1333 was needed to rise. So far since yesterday's close. The 12h closed above 1331. Followed by LC with a higher close above 1332. I know the year, quarter, month, week closes are above 1208 and 1331. I know last week closed above 1367/69. But I do not know the future. All I can do is take the clues that point to a test of 1367/69, and the normal retrace to 1398 or even 17xx. That gate remains open till it stops passing through it and the ones below it. That may require a month close to do it. ATm we dont have a week close below 1367 or the others. That may be coming. I dont know. The week did close below 1447 and 1492. So those may be retested.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,576
  • Jan 19, 2022 12:17pm Jan 19, 2022 12:17pm
Quoting gatorinla
At some point the gate at 1367/69 will close. And pa may just not come back to it. At some point the same concerning 1331. Followed by 1208. I dont know if that day was this current drop. I do know for me 1333 was needed to rise. So far since yesterday's close. The 12h closed above 1331. Followed by LC with a higher close above 1332. I know the year, quarter, month, week closes are above 1208 and 1331. I know last week closed above 1367/69. But I do not know the future. All I can do is take the clues that point to a test of 1367/69, and the normal...
All these gates work both ways. Before FOMC they may keep the bears pened above them. Thats always a possibility. Most are assuming FOMC will bring higher rates. I believe that also. What I dont know is, what's priced in. I dont know the future reaction.

I do know its better to sell a high, than sell a low. Or buy a low, than sell a low. Where those are is hard to spot. 145 pips above 1185 low, and 145 pips below 148x high. 1331/34 is just about in the middle.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,577
  • Jan 19, 2022 1:26pm Jan 19, 2022 1:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} All these gates work both ways. Before FOMC they may keep the bears pened above them. Thats always a possibility. Most are assuming FOMC will bring higher rates. I believe that also. What I dont know is, what's priced in. I dont know the future reaction. I do know its better to sell a high, than sell a low. Or buy a low, than sell a low. Where those are is hard to spot. 145 pips above 1185 low, and 145 pips below 148x high. 1331/34 is just about in the middle.
Read all thanks

FOMC will bring no rate hikes and it's data depending and stock market depending
data getting weaker - stockmarket keeps getting lower

so imho - tapper. 1 month left in February - end tapper. march first interest raise. and then QT end of the year. or they can take QT out of the talk or of year
4 rate hikes gives us above 1%

but that's in no way bullish for eur/usd. that doesn't even talk about rates.

imo 1.12 before 1.15
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,578
  • Jan 19, 2022 1:32pm Jan 19, 2022 1:32pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
1h close above 1345 now.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,579
  • Jan 19, 2022 2:03pm Jan 19, 2022 2:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1h close above 1345 now. {image}
i only need 1.136 just take that stops there and it's enough
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,580
  • Jan 19, 2022 5:06pm Jan 19, 2022 5:06pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} i only need 1.136 just take that stops there and it's enough
It hasn't hit 1367 yet or the higher 1398. Your short plan is still intact. 1335/36 has be some light support. If it dont make 1367 and 1398. I lose on some longs and dont get my 14xx entry. That possible bear flag has broken.. I still have my longs, and do plan. To short a bounce later. I may be wrong.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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