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The Swamp

  • #94,541
  • Jan 18, 2022 11:12am Jan 18, 2022 11:12am
Quoting gatorinla
Another thing.. LC today was/is lower than yesterday. So if she does rise. Somewhere before 147x she may retest today's low. Then before Friday run to 147x. Or not. WTF knows?
She's doing it now,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,542
  • Jan 18, 2022 11:37am Jan 18, 2022 11:37am
MY s/l at 1325 hit. I left the pending short 147x 80x.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,543
  • Jan 18, 2022 2:59pm Jan 18, 2022 2:59pm
Quoting gatorinla
MY s/l at 1325 hit. I left the pending short 147x 80x. {image}
my one got hit..another almost
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  • #94,544
  • Jan 18, 2022 3:03pm Jan 18, 2022 3:03pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} my one got hit..another almost {image}
Made right back on those EurUsd trade in less than 10 mins....
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  • #94,545
  • Edited 11:58pm Jan 18, 2022 8:45pm | Edited 11:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} She's doing it now, {image}
all of those J trades where nice all the E trades
and 136 1331 what a week so far..
  • #94,546
  • Jan 19, 2022 1:42am Jan 19, 2022 1:42am
Here we go !!
0.0004

German 10-year bond yield trades in positive territory for the first time since May 2019
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,547
  • Jan 19, 2022 2:52am Jan 19, 2022 2:52am
Microsoft Deal Wipes $20 Billion Off Sony's Market Value in a Day...
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...ctivision-deal
I am who I am
  • #94,548
  • Jan 19, 2022 3:20am Jan 19, 2022 3:20am
Quoting DMA Trader
Here we go !! 0.0004 German 10-year bond yield trades in positive territory for the first time since May 2019
EUR resistance 1.1366 area i am closing there my longs
GU resistance 1.3626 i am closing 1 long there i close one already

i am not shorting those levels yet. there are things i don't like in the market for the dollar but those places are very nice r/r shorts
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,549
  • Jan 19, 2022 4:03am Jan 19, 2022 4:03am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont know if these will hold. But they are after the retrace (ping pong). I would have prefered 1333 to be closer to 1284. But its not. 1331 ish may be ok.. I listed the closer lighter supports.. 1327/29/33// 1331 is the bigger. I can't have a million pip s/l. I took the L because Friday LC closed higher, than the week before. So i anticipate a run toward last weeks high, before Friday. I may be wrong or early. I want to short after the anticipated run up. Possible Double top if it runs up.
Still true. Some R 1367/69.9 should be expected. Some profit may be there and/or 1398. But usually before Friday it would take a shot at 147x+. This is the first 4h close above 1331. Plus a 12h close a min ago. A possible short looks to be coming before Friday's close. That short looks to be 100+ pips higher from this current pa.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,550
  • Jan 19, 2022 4:08am Jan 19, 2022 4:08am
Quoting gatorinla
Another thing.. LC today was/is lower than yesterday. So if she does rise. Somewhere before 147x she may retest today's low. Then before Friday run to 147x. Or not. WTF knows?
She has done what the day close suggested. She has not done what the week closed suggested. She has not made a upper run yet. Last h (a 12h) closed above 1331. Its still Wednesday trip swap. Better chance after close today.

I got a personal goal tp at 1366
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,551
  • Jan 19, 2022 4:15am Jan 19, 2022 4:15am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} I picked up longs at 1.1330. I think tomorrow will be an up day as it has been for a few weeks now.
Got out at 1343. +13 pips in the bag. Not much but can buy coffee and bread
  • #94,552
  • Jan 19, 2022 4:16am Jan 19, 2022 4:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} She has done what the day close suggested. She has not done what the week closed suggested. She has not made a upper run yet. Last h (a 12h) closed above 1331. Its still Wednesday trip swap. Better chance after close today. I got a personal goal tp at 1366
For the past few Wednesdays now it has been acting mad going up.
  • #94,553
  • Jan 19, 2022 4:21am Jan 19, 2022 4:21am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} my one got hit..another almost {image}
I had mine closer to 1333 31. I didnt want stops all the way to 1284. If wrong, I try to get out early. I had mine spread some. In that consolidation there were too many supports. You have to have more a general area. That general area 12xx/1333. That was too much stop for me.

AT the moment, I dont know if i was wrong. I know I cant afford to play all numbers. Chose something, or dont trade. The point is, A bounce to consider shorting later. The point also that after 1333, expect a bounce. That trade was theorised last week. Pa is days beyond 1477 when it was developing. This is the aftermath. Just like now 147x is "tinhat" now. But once there. All this post will be forgotten.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,554
  • Jan 19, 2022 4:39am Jan 19, 2022 4:39am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} For the past few Wednesdays now it has been acting mad going up.
Yeah 1333 was all I was willing to take a chance on the short was. It being above 1331. So I was willing to Long in that area. It dropped to 1314. Beyond my 1325 stop. You just have to let pa do what it does .

Yesterday pa closed below 1331, So that was a caution flag to me also. Now it closed a 12h above 1331, that increased 1367/69 odds.. 1398 (Norm) and even last week's LC indication Have increased. Just because last h closed above 1331. That dont mean its going to 1367,, It means its odds have greatly improved. Then closing above it increases the others.. leapfrog. Bears already got 1333, They put in a few extra thrust to 1314. Then they fell asleep after sex.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,555
  • Jan 19, 2022 5:33am Jan 19, 2022 5:33am
To me closing above 1331 leans bullish, for 1367/69 or more. The *NY day closed below it. The year month week above it. Lc yesterday closed at 1332. The 12h since that *day close above 1331.

ST a possible buy 1331/32-14 may bring 1367 1398.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,556
  • Jan 19, 2022 5:36am Jan 19, 2022 5:36am
Quoting gatorinla
To me closing above 1331 leans bullish, for 1367/69 or more. The *NY day closed below it. The year month week above it. Lc yesterday closed at 1332. The 12h since that *day close above 1331. ST a possible buy 1331/32-14 may bring 1367 1398.
LC above 1332 in 5 hs leans to higher.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,557
  • Jan 19, 2022 6:31am Jan 19, 2022 6:31am
Quoting q_import
{quote} https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...3#post13857583 Playing devils advocate.. Hence the sell positioning I am in though it has not been profitable.... Both levels where taken out leaving no range.. so a new one has to be created today. Which is why I was saying there has to be a buffer or a day where nothing happens so a range can be created to trade With what happened today EU having no range its sat still allowing all the crosses to reenforce the directional bias on the Ecrosses {image}
but you call for a downtrend this week no ? so far i happened.
if we stay below 1.136 i think it can happen

got out of some longs on GU and EU

still have one near 1.136
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,558
  • Jan 19, 2022 6:33am Jan 19, 2022 6:33am
EUR/USD imo
1.133 support
1.136 restance

range between .

but once it breaks 1.133 it goes to other support 1.127 area

i expect to see eur down until FED then up
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,559
  • Jan 19, 2022 7:03am Jan 19, 2022 7:03am
Quoting gatorinla
To me closing above 1331 leans bullish, for 1367/69 or more. The *NY day closed below it. The year month week above it. Lc yesterday closed at 1332. The 12h since that *day close above 1331. ST a possible buy 1331/32-14 may bring 1367 1398.
Here now (1332 untouched).. bounce to 1367/69.. then 1398 ... I know i said last week LC points to 147x+// That is still true. But week Average at 1438... So 1477 has 1438 average against it
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,560
  • Jan 19, 2022 7:05am Jan 19, 2022 7:05am
For now , if bulls can't hold 1323 at M30 close, it may go to 1280 area day range low.. if bears can't hold 1342 at H1 close, it may go to 1387 area day range high...
wait to see what NY brings..
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