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  • #144,041
  • Jan 18, 2022 12:28am Jan 18, 2022 12:28am
Quoting Endoephemera
{quote} The plunge was unexpected. Having taken out some longs earlier, now, fully hedged and up 16% weekly. Looks like it will keep the down. Doing nothing for now. Edit. I had high hopes for my heavy long yesterday, like +100% hopes . I was prudent enough to TP reducing the long and setting buy [sell] stops. Now I went slightly net short. Let's see. 08:10 ST. I still believe today's down is a tactical expedient and that we'll retest area 1.15. So I'll drop the net short at new low and wait for a fresh reversal point to take it 1.15
Long today is bad idea especially before US open. Wait until the 4hr close of DXY after the US open.
  • #144,042
  • Jan 18, 2022 12:31am Jan 18, 2022 12:31am
4hrs and Daily
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  • #144,043
  • Jan 18, 2022 1:13am Jan 18, 2022 1:13am
FYI: Rising US Treasury yields is weighing on EURUSD..

In the News:
Markets continue to price in a faster pace of Fed policy normalization amid expectations for higher inflation. It notes that 30-day Fed funds futures now imply four rate increases this year, including a 25bps hike as soon as the FOMC's March meeting.
  • #144,044
  • Jan 18, 2022 2:12am Jan 18, 2022 2:12am
On M30 Reach at 1.13600 range after bulls
  • #144,045
  • Edited 2:40am Jan 18, 2022 2:18am | Edited 2:40am
holding my buy positon
tp 1 at 1.16000
  • #144,046
  • Jan 18, 2022 2:26am Jan 18, 2022 2:26am
Quoting ErickJackson
holding my buy positon tp 1 at 1.6000
1.60 or 1.16.. ?
  • #144,047
  • Jan 18, 2022 2:30am Jan 18, 2022 2:30am
Quoting samuel84
{quote} 1.60 or 1.16.. ?
oh yeah 1.16
  • #144,048
  • Jan 18, 2022 2:33am Jan 18, 2022 2:33am
Quoting ErickJackson
holding my buy positon tp 1 at 1.6000
How many years are you going to wait???
  • #144,049
  • Jan 18, 2022 3:34am Jan 18, 2022 3:34am
My trades since Asia.
Short from 1.1421 Tp 1.1387 Done deal (ieverse cup and handle)
Long from 1.1387 1st entry 1.1365 2nd entry (Triple bottom)
waiting for H1 to close above 1.1409 and next 1.1422. 1.1504 is reachable.
TP 60% @ 1.1476 40% @1.1504.
Getting exciting. Valid till NY close
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  • #144,050
  • Jan 18, 2022 4:51am Jan 18, 2022 4:51am
Quick Revisit to Weekly Levels

  1. Based on next week's levels, we should be aware that bears have the right to retest previous lows anytime they want, while candles are still below my GREEN ma line..
  2. My nearest potential retest level sits around 1.1313 (what a lucky number eh? )
  3. Since candles are now above the median line of falling wedge I see every major dip as an opportunity to buy low.. *Getting solid confirmation before buying is key though! Have common sense!
  4. Assuming that bulls won't waste too much time around 1.1300 area, we could anticipate 1.1565 area as their primary target.. But don't forget: this is the weekly chart.. Things can take time!

I hope it helps

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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #144,051
  • Jan 18, 2022 6:07am Jan 18, 2022 6:07am
Quoting marcin.kamaj
Hi to All in new week! At last hour we had 1H bar closed under 100SMA, with EURUSD is fighting from 18 trading hours, so if in this hour we will stay under i think we'll go to tes area 1.1360-70, where we have a lot of supports ( 200SMA on H1, first fibo on retrecement and upper band from bottom formation ). Im still with my shorst, and i will add after close 1h under 1.14. Green pips for all!
Hi All today!

I now closed all my shorts at 1.13852, beacuse i see will be battle with 200SMA on H1, so i will wait for naext trade after this battle.

Main idea is still play shorts, but i will play it in two case:
1. if two consecutive 1H bars will close under 200SMA,
2. or if one 1H bar will close under 200SMA and another one will back to the line and bounce down ( i will lookfor 15min chart).

Green pips for All!
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #144,052
  • Edited 7:48am Jan 18, 2022 7:21am | Edited 7:48am
I think the number for today is 1.1362. Big buy placed here. The bond market sell-off continued and I think was widely unexpected. But there was an airstrike in UAE on some oil, so a little black swan event there. This is a strong point of a possible reversal. However, as we all know, markets can be illogical and scare easily. These bonds need to get bought up, if not it's going to get REALLY bad real fast. Not just for the EURUSD pair, but the entire global market. Time will tell.

Looking for 1.146

Cheers!
  • #144,053
  • Edited 9:35am Jan 18, 2022 8:09am | Edited 9:35am
Considering the data today (strong ZEW, weak ESMI) the fact that this is still falling makes me suspect a drop to at least 1.1355.

There it is. The question now is whether that's the day's low or not. Edit: Nope, down we go.

Gonna mark 1.1340 as the target low for today.
A wise man changes his mind, a fool never will
  • #144,054
  • Jan 18, 2022 8:52am Jan 18, 2022 8:52am
Quoting MrGuy
Considering the data today (strong ZEW, weak ESMI) the fact that this is still falling makes me suspect a drop to at least 1.1355. There it is. The question now is whether that's the day's low or not.
Already hit so next may retest 80
Fundamental provide Volume, Technical shows Direction
  • #144,055
  • Jan 18, 2022 9:08am Jan 18, 2022 9:08am
I took my first trade in like literally 2 months 4 days ago since I had absolutely no idea what the market was doing at the time and went short at 1.1465

Actually finally in winning trade for the first time in a while

I'm thinking this will drop eventually to below 1.12, but will probably make a low + high on its way. Then, I will look to long somewhere below 1.12. Envisioning something like this
Attached Image
  • #144,056
  • Jan 18, 2022 9:55am Jan 18, 2022 9:55am
Finally closed out all my shorts at 1.1348, that started last Wed.

Took a loss on some and gains on others, but ended up net positive.

Will sit back and watch a bit to determine the next move...
  • #144,057
  • Jan 18, 2022 10:30am Jan 18, 2022 10:30am
Long in at 1.1330. This is a scalp just for tonight.
  • #144,058
  • Jan 18, 2022 10:33am Jan 18, 2022 10:33am
Quoting Mitiblotch
Long in at 1.1330. This is a scalp just for tonight.
Joined you at 1.13272
  • #144,059
  • Jan 18, 2022 10:37am Jan 18, 2022 10:37am
Quoting JBRolim
{quote} Yes, I have a sale limit of 1.1388 Tp 50 pip
I had another sale entry 1.14400
Departures ok Tp accepted.
1.1300 for purchase limit
"No pain no gain"
  • #144,060
  • Jan 18, 2022 10:42am Jan 18, 2022 10:42am
Quoting Traderview
4hrs and Daily {image} {image}
Before and After.. Although nobody cared about the cart but still, Hope you guys enjoyed the ride.
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