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  • Post #143,401
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  • Dec 16, 2021 7:55am Dec 16, 2021 7:55am
  •  ForexGoose
  • Joined Dec 2021 | Status: hungry for pizza & burgers | 675 Posts
Waiting for the ECB press conference to see if 1.137 will be tested. Looks like a line that bulls may not be able to cross.
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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus
 
 
  • Post #143,402
  • Quote
  • Dec 16, 2021 8:01am Dec 16, 2021 8:01am
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 2,939 Posts | Online Now
Quoting marcin.kamaj
Disliked
{quote} I short since here, I think is time to finish this "party from yesterday" and back to fundamental. Only ECB, can change my mind if say smt new, suprise.
Ignored
Hi Marcin, I hope that you are right, and for your trade. I thought is was over but bulls did not show a sign of weakness at major resistance for me, so now I am not sure enough.

Waiting without a position till the dust settles, again But will happily join you soon!
I will not miss a back in range short if it comes back down to 1299, as ranging strategies have been my main bread and butter these days, and even if I know the ranging is coming to an end sooner and sooner. I would also place another sell stop at 1313 for a 4H return in range, but only after this 4hours closes can I do that.

Let's see ! Bulls touched next main resistance already, and pulled back swiftly, but still cutting through it all in one go for the second time(8thDec), like a knife in hot butter ! 2nd time the charm? Or are bears lurking again for the millionth time since June?
If I don't mention SL and TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
 
2
  • Post #143,403
  • Quote
  • Dec 16, 2021 8:04am Dec 16, 2021 8:04am
  •  marcin.kamaj
  • Joined Feb 2020 | Status: Full-Time Trader | 197 Posts
Quoting mtako
Disliked
{quote} Hi Marcin, I hope that you are right, and for your trade. I thought is was over but bulls did not show a sign of weakness at major resistance for me, so now I am not sure enough. Waiting without a position till the dust settles, again But will happily join you soon! I will not miss a back in range short if it comes back down to 1299, as ranging strategies have been my main bread and butter these days, and even if I know the ranging is coming to an end sooner and sooner. I would also place another...
Ignored

Hi mtako,

yes im good, as son as they not destroy 1.1355 then im on position...in other casne..that is only SL..normal life of trader.

But generaly for me EURUSD still is bearish
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
 
1
  • Post #143,404
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  • Dec 16, 2021 8:17am Dec 16, 2021 8:17am
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 2,939 Posts | Online Now
Quoting marcin.kamaj
Disliked
{quote} Hi mtako, yes im good, as son as they not destroy 1.1355 then im on position...in other casne..that is only SL..normal life of trader. But generaly for me EURUSD still is bearish
Ignored
Sounds real good to me. Sounds a lot like my own position of the last weeks also.
For me it is mainly bearish still. And I will remain a bit more bearish in my decision making as long as bulls don't bring it back above 1.145.

These Bulls still have a lot to untangle but are sure doing great I must admit!
If I don't mention SL and TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
 
1
  • Post #143,405
  • Quote
  • Dec 16, 2021 8:23am Dec 16, 2021 8:23am
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 2,939 Posts | Online Now
Quoting mtako
Disliked
{quote} Closed early ! 1303 -14
Ignored
Getting back in, sell stop 13404, large SL, will update...
If I don't mention SL and TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
 
2
  • Post #143,406
  • Quote
  • Dec 16, 2021 9:20am Dec 16, 2021 9:20am
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 2,939 Posts | Online Now
Watching price hover a pip or two above my sellstop sometimes feels like an eternity ...

Bloody buyers didn't want no euros from me again.

Ahhhhh relief, at last ! Wait, you are done right bulls?

If bulls don't spend more than an hour above 1360 on this run, bear will have kept a tad more momentum on the 1D to work with. .
If they do, we might be forced to trade anywhere between 1290 and 1420 for longer than I previously suspected, and it would be opening even more doors for the bulls to have the extra coal for their dream train ride

Best case scenario for my own trembling bear, finishing the day where it started, 1280s.
Worst case for bears, closing the day above 1380 and high is broken tomorrow. If that happens, that could open a dangerous door of daily bull volatility continuance that could lead all the way up to the 1500s. Yes, I know, Mtako is back, getting ahead of himself and rambling again
Am just keeping in mind what I've already been through under similar conditions... The bad, the good, the probable as much as improbable.

Previous sell stops canceled. Fresh batch of setups: 13279, 1313, 1286. With each trigger will bring previous SL at BE.
Also, next 1H bear candle, I will sell the low of it-2, with SL 2pips above high of day.
My 13404 is open to all of bulls' massacre, for now.
Will do my best for updates if needed.

That is all for me, take care and good night everyone !

My shared trades for the day, very good losing day with no rules broken, thanks to which, I manage to adapt to this forever changing monster :
Quoting mtako
Disliked
{quote}... My 89 was triggered, and can stay overnight. If my 82 gets triggered, it will be with a SL a couple pips above high of the day. If my 73 gets triggered (that low of 5min share), highly doubtful, both above will be at BE. Good night everyone, have good dreams of falling or rising prices, whichever your heart desires ...
Ignored
73 didnt get triggered , 82 got stopped out by the high as planned : -17, and my 89 was :
Quoting mtako
Disliked
{quote} Closed early ! 1303 -14
Ignored
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If I don't mention SL and TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
 
3
  • Post #143,407
  • Quote
  • Dec 16, 2021 12:32pm Dec 16, 2021 12:32pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 17,894 Posts
Based on H1, while above 1.1288, all good for bulls.. but staying above 1.1305 is better..
Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter All Time Return: 7.6%
 
3
  • Post #143,408
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  • Dec 16, 2021 12:51pm Dec 16, 2021 12:51pm
  •  marcin.kamaj
  • Joined Feb 2020 | Status: Full-Time Trader | 197 Posts
Sometimes simplest solutions are the best...:

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Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
 
3
  • Post #143,409
  • Quote
  • Edited Dec 17, 2021 12:11am Dec 16, 2021 5:27pm | Edited Dec 17, 2021 12:11am
  •  Austyno
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Discipline creates Lifestyle | 1,684 Posts
We finally have a close above that stubborn resistance.

buy [email protected] 1.13060
sl 50 pips
target @ 1.13996

i also have a sell limit @ 1.13996
sl 50 pips
Target 1.12089.

i still think this week will close bearish.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
 
3
  • Post #143,410
  • Quote
  • Dec 17, 2021 12:38am Dec 17, 2021 12:38am
  •  Austyno
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Discipline creates Lifestyle | 1,684 Posts
Another bearish scenario that could play out is

1.13500 area resists and we drop to 1.12089. That is without taking out yesterday's high. The moment we take out yesterday's high, we will head to 1.13996
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
 
2
  • Post #143,411
  • Quote
  • Dec 17, 2021 1:52am Dec 17, 2021 1:52am
  •  satish37
  • Joined May 2013 | Status: Member | 1,426 Posts
EU: triangle scenario is eliminated , new scenario has come to evidence in my opinion may differ from other but this is the whole game of mind every mind has his own thinking scenario ,
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Neither a Bro Nor a Pro I am I
 
 
  • Post #143,412
  • Quote
  • Dec 17, 2021 2:34am Dec 17, 2021 2:34am
  •  Austyno
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Discipline creates Lifestyle | 1,684 Posts
Quoting Austyno
Disliked
We finally have a close above that stubborn resistance. buy [email protected] 1.13060 sl 50 pips target @ 1.13996 i also have a sell limit @ 1.13996 sl 50 pips Target 1.12089. i still think this week will close bearish.
Ignored
I am going with this scenario, first buy at 1.13241 already active.
Waiting for 2nd buy if we get there
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
 
 
  • Post #143,413
  • Quote
  • Dec 17, 2021 2:39am Dec 17, 2021 2:39am
  •  sulai45
  • | Joined Jul 2016 | Status: Member | 405 Posts
Good morning, hope you're well. If bears will still be going, I would say 1.1312 could be today's support.
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  • Post #143,414
  • Quote
  • Dec 17, 2021 3:29am Dec 17, 2021 3:29am
  •  post
  • Joined Aug 2012 | Status: Fundamental & Technical Analyst | 1,900 Posts
I guess those among us who are waiting for a Santa rally should wait for a daily close above 1360 to set target to 1450-1500 by end of December.
Above 1360 .. . 1385 could act as a temporary barrier..

Trade safe
Happy trading
Profit is not profit until you BANK it
 
1
  • Post #143,415
  • Quote
  • Dec 17, 2021 3:30am Dec 17, 2021 3:30am
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 2,939 Posts | Online Now
Morning everyone. Some volatility, right !?

Bulls even more probably not done, momentum intact from the 30m and they are back on top with volatility...

I am closing my 1313 here -14. Keeping my only remaining short(1322) from the 1H low, for now.


Quoting mtako
Disliked
...Fresh batch of setups: 13279, 1313, 1286. With each trigger will bring previous SL at BE. Also, next 1H bear candle, I will sell the low of it-2, with SL 2pips above high of day. My 13404 is open to all of bulls' massacre, for now. Will do my best for updates if needed. That is all for me, take care and good night everyone ! My shared trades for the day, very good losing day with no rules broken, thanks to which, I manage to adapt to this forever changing monster : {quote} 73 didnt get triggered , 82 got stopped out by the high as planned...
Ignored
If I don't mention SL and TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
 
 
  • Post #143,416
  • Quote
  • Dec 17, 2021 3:44am Dec 17, 2021 3:44am
  •  post
  • Joined Aug 2012 | Status: Fundamental & Technical Analyst | 1,900 Posts
Dear EU Dealers

In absence of major US data watch out for today's EU CPI data at 10 AM London time, green data or at lest matching the expected could land a hand to the bulls. Red data could ignite the short term bear party again...

watch out for German IFO data at 9 am London.

Trade Safe
Happy Trading
Profit is not profit until you BANK it
 
3
  • Post #143,417
  • Quote
  • Dec 17, 2021 4:27am Dec 17, 2021 4:27am
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 2,939 Posts | Online Now
I think the bears are waking up again... once closed, selling the low of this 15min for a first of the day !
If I don't mention SL and TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
 
3
  • Post #143,418
  • Quote
  • Dec 17, 2021 4:37am Dec 17, 2021 4:37am
  •  Forensic
  • | Joined Feb 2020 | Status: Member | 135 Posts
As stated yesterday, price is still in this range with 1.1372 area as resistance and 1.1249 as support. One of two things could happen. Either a retest of support or a break, retest of resistance and bullish continuation. if this doesn't happen today, i expect it happens early next week. Let's see.
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1
  • Post #143,419
  • Quote
  • Dec 17, 2021 5:12am Dec 17, 2021 5:12am
  •  yvestrcz
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 791 Posts
Quoting mtako
Disliked
I think the bears are waking up again... once closed, selling the low of this 15min for a first of the day !
Ignored
Yes mate, they're waking up. Not the Vampire Bears yet, though.
 
1
  • Post #143,420
  • Quote
  • Dec 17, 2021 5:56am Dec 17, 2021 5:56am
  •  marcin.kamaj
  • Joined Feb 2020 | Status: Full-Time Trader | 197 Posts
Time to check again area 1.1250 - 75, and then we will see what next.
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
 
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