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AUD/USD

  • #107,321
  • Dec 15, 2021 2:18pm Dec 15, 2021 2:18pm
closed my long. should have made more, way more. anyway. looking to short now. it will probably come after the 30 min mark. normally a vol spike gives it away.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,322
  • Dec 15, 2021 2:26pm Dec 15, 2021 2:26pm
Quoting MatDerKater
{quote} Perhaps the AUDUSD short is still on, but if someone were to make the case that the Dollar Index was going to pull back to 95 and change, I certainly wouldn't argue with them.... {image} .....heh.....the sound of banked profits as I type.....(makes up for the numbskulled b.s. AUDUSD trade from earlier).
i'm short now. fingers crossed!
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,323
  • Dec 15, 2021 2:36pm Dec 15, 2021 2:36pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} i'm short now. fingers crossed!
au does like to kiss the daily 20ema. good time?
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,324
  • Dec 15, 2021 2:57pm Dec 15, 2021 2:57pm
cd - giving the game plan away. staying short.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,325
  • Dec 15, 2021 2:57pm Dec 15, 2021 2:57pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} au does like to kiss the daily 20ema. good time? {image}
I just see a totally obvious retail liquidity pool right withing touching distance, on the back of some extremely bullish price action......hard to imagine it not at least getting popped imo.
  • #107,326
  • Dec 15, 2021 3:04pm Dec 15, 2021 3:04pm
Quoting MatDerKater
{quote} I just see a totally obvious retail liquidity pool right withing touching distance, on the back of some extremely bullish price action......hard to imagine it not at least getting popped imo.
looks like they got the h1 cross in. this has to drop hard now for it to reject it. doesn't look like it will.

there should be some sort of back test nowish. so will know more shortly.

still short but probably wrong.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,327
  • Dec 15, 2021 3:29pm Dec 15, 2021 3:29pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} looks like they got the h1 cross in. this has to drop hard now for it to reject it. doesn't look like it will. there should be some sort of back test nowish. so will know more shortly. still short but probably wrong.
interesting long setup's on the 4h 50ma. i don't normally look at them but both are strong buy setups. so i'll be looking to get long on any decent retrace.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,328
  • Dec 15, 2021 6:28pm Dec 15, 2021 6:28pm
closed my shorts here for beer money.

aussie employment in a couple of minutes. might trade it.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,329
  • Dec 15, 2021 6:32pm Dec 15, 2021 6:32pm
numbers were good but looks like sellers are in control. so might short it for a quick one.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,330
  • Dec 15, 2021 6:47pm Dec 15, 2021 6:47pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
numbers were good but looks like sellers are in control. so might short it for a quick one.
decided against this and went long instead, only looking for a break of all these highs in dec
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,331
  • Dec 15, 2021 6:57pm Dec 15, 2021 6:57pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} decided against this and went long instead, only looking for a break of all these highs in dec
Really dicey trade location imo. Right up at previous highs, after a great big huge ramp....probably this sucks in shorters and longers and stops em both out before deciding on direction....which in my personal bias, will be a bit more up.....certainly up beyond the recent Dec highs, but a question of how one frames their risk.

I know you do shit with your array of EMAs and you would know best what sort of results you get with that....

....but if someone held a gun to my head and told me that I must trade AUDUSD over the coming Asian and Euro session, I would probably look for shorts and longs, then reverse my RR box by making SL the TP, and TP the SL, and accept an inverted RR, just like all the brokerages do.......(and they seem to do alright).
  • #107,332
  • Dec 15, 2021 6:57pm Dec 15, 2021 6:57pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} decided against this and went long instead, only looking for a break of all these highs in dec
i'm looking for 2.0 fib 71936
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,333
  • Dec 15, 2021 7:00pm Dec 15, 2021 7:00pm
Quoting MatDerKater
{quote} Really dicey trade location imo. Right up at previous highs, after a great big huge ramp....probably this sucks in shorters and longers and stops em both out before deciding on direction....which in my personal bias, will be a bit more up.....certainly up beyond the recent Dec highs, but a question of how one frames their risk. I know you do shit with your array of EMAs and you would know best what sort of results you get with that.... ....but if someone held a gun to my head and told me that I must trade AUDUSD over the coming Asian and...
when you are this close to highs, they will go for the stops. we'll see. i have a tigh stop on this.

edit - i can see ther is a large pool of order above the highs.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,334
  • Dec 15, 2021 7:04pm Dec 15, 2021 7:04pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} i'm looking for 2.0 fib 71936 {image}
note how price retraced down from 1.618 fib to the 1.272 fib. this would be a normal retrace. so looking for 2.0 fib could be expected.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,335
  • Dec 15, 2021 7:34pm Dec 15, 2021 7:34pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} when you are this close to highs, they will go for the stops. we'll see. i have a tigh stop on this. edit - i can see ther is a large pool of order above the highs.
Where do you get to see FX order books?

Do you use CME futures data to get a rough idea of what might be happening in actual FX markets?
  • #107,336
  • Dec 15, 2021 7:36pm Dec 15, 2021 7:36pm
Quoting MatDerKater
{quote} Where do you get to see FX order books? Do you use CME futures data to get a rough idea of what might be happening in actual FX markets?
yes, i'm looking at futs.

Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} yes, i'm looking at futs.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,337
  • Dec 15, 2021 8:49pm Dec 15, 2021 8:49pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
numbers were good but looks like sellers are in control. so might short it for a quick one.
my original thoughts were correct, they sold the news. i'll be back for the uk open.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,338
  • Dec 15, 2021 9:30pm Dec 15, 2021 9:30pm
retrace back to the 20ema. back in long.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #107,339
  • Dec 15, 2021 9:34pm Dec 15, 2021 9:34pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
retrace back to the 20ema. back in long. {image}
Nice we have the same idea! Mine come from fibonacci retracement, and bullish OB on 5m timeframe.
*I typed the wrong pip number....., I thought I typed 0.05
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  • #107,340
  • Dec 15, 2021 9:39pm Dec 15, 2021 9:39pm
Quoting 3xtazzy
{quote} Nice we have the same idea! Mine come from fibonacci retracement. *I typed the wrong pip number..... {image}
yes i notice the fib retracement.... should be good to go now.

fingers crossed.
In tea leaves we trust!
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