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  • #143,301
  • Edited 1:45pm Dec 14, 2021 11:34am | Edited 1:45pm
Quoting yvestrcz
G'day folks. I sold it @ 1.12785, TP 1.1248, and then perhaps 1.1190 if bears are that generous.
No, these bears cannot be trusted. Closed after such long 24+ hours with a 9 pip x 2 profit. Huh, that was a ride. I must admit I already started feeling emotional pain up there above 1.1320...
  • #143,302
  • Dec 14, 2021 11:36am Dec 14, 2021 11:36am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
My crucial H1 s/r levels until and during tomorrow's FOMC meetings.. 1.1259 is nearest support.. 1.13165 is nearest resistance.. Worst potential low: 1.1191 area.. Worst potential high: 1.13955 area.. {image}
Save this chart for FOMC everyone !!!. I'm personally rooting for 1.12120.
  • #143,303
  • Dec 14, 2021 12:00pm Dec 14, 2021 12:00pm
Quoting mtako
Another low and 1H will have made a first step to get out of ranging. But in my view, 1220 BO is necessary for anything ranging breaking moves at 2H+, . {quote} Getting ready, sell stop 1256, just in case . Preparing the possible reach and re-entry from orbit : New sell limit : 1308. If 1308 triggered, then selling at 1294, 1276. Each new positions moves previous position's SL at BE. Going out a couple of hours. Can't wait to come back and read you all ! Sell stopssss : if they are well calculated,...
So glad to see so much bears having their honey! Best case scenario worked out for these, after going a bit under with my 1308 and previous days losses.
All one after the other at BE worked out, only 1276 still not, but would be at BE at 1256 hit. Like I mostly did last wednesday. Only difference, for reasons shared in my previous posts, I have not taken usual TPs this time.
Yes I know, probable carousel craziness for the last 10+days still ongoing I don't mind doing this again.
Now adding more soon, with fresh 15min setup sell stop, 12702, 8 pips SL
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #143,304
  • Dec 14, 2021 12:03pm Dec 14, 2021 12:03pm
That was fast ! Sell stop triggered, but we are not still out of the carousel ! Getting closer and closer though, potential for both directions...
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #143,305
  • Dec 14, 2021 12:17pm Dec 14, 2021 12:17pm
I'm ready for FOMC tomorrow and this great setup.
Inserted Video
  • #143,306
  • Dec 14, 2021 12:40pm Dec 14, 2021 12:40pm
Quoting yvestrcz
{quote} No, these bulls cannot be trusted. Closed after such long 24+ hours with a 9 pip x 2 profit. Huh, that was a ride. I must admit I already started feeling emotional pain up there above 1.1320...
That's just the "big boys" sucking up more and more retail longs until the major dump coming up.
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #143,307
  • Dec 14, 2021 12:41pm Dec 14, 2021 12:41pm
And my last before the now probable and most important for my positions 1256, Sell stop 12647, extremely large starting SL, from the 4H, range expansion trade.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #143,308
  • Dec 14, 2021 12:42pm Dec 14, 2021 12:42pm
Quoting nic9man
{quote} So where do you short tomorrow? I still think with a median of two rate hikes in 2022 the USD should be able to decline. It would be too simple if the USD could keep appreciating on known facts about its central bank behaviour.
Long-term (meaning weekly) I agree.

Personally I think that 3 hikes are more likely. Think about it three 0.25% increases = 0.75% just north of where AUD is right now! It's a drop in the bucket but people are so hyperfocused.

With the UK talking about shutdowns and the EU scrambling worrying about Omicron the ONLY thing to turn to is the USD

From CNBC: "The World Health Organization on Tuesday warned the new omicron Covid-19 variant is spreading faster than any previous strain, and it is probably present in every country of the world"

Ok so is the flu. What is the mortality rate? No one even knows what the mortality rate is for Delta and to my knowledge there has been only 1 death from Omnicrom in the UK, none in the USA and people are panicking.

At least that's MY story and I'm sticking to it.
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #143,309
  • Dec 14, 2021 12:43pm Dec 14, 2021 12:43pm
Quoting duve
I'm ready for FOMC tomorrow and this great setup. https://youtu.be/yblTV29sSCU
Yo, did you watch this back before uploading? Can't see your screen at all man...or at least, not the whole screen.
A wise man changes his mind, a fool never will
  • #143,310
  • Dec 14, 2021 1:47pm Dec 14, 2021 1:47pm
Quoting yvestrcz
{quote} No, these bears cannot be trusted. Closed after such long 24+ hours with a 9 pip x 2 profit. Huh, that was a ride. I must admit I already started feeling emotional pain up there above 1.1320...
And as it is the case pretty often, bears will finally take it down to 1.1250, won't they. Never any regrets though.
  • #143,311
  • Dec 14, 2021 2:00pm Dec 14, 2021 2:00pm
Riddle me this, riddle me that.
For Mr.Bull or for Mr.Bear?
From here and for awhile,
No matter your stance,
Or slow, or fast
Hold on to your hat !!!!!
Attached Image
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #143,312
  • Dec 14, 2021 2:06pm Dec 14, 2021 2:06pm
Strong confidence that green will hold for now
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Another day, another dollar.
  • #143,313
  • Dec 14, 2021 2:13pm Dec 14, 2021 2:13pm
Quoting nic9man
Strong confidence that green will hold for now {image}
Too obvious. They will knock it out. Asia or London will do it. Sellers increased to 42% that was the reason for the rise. Now it's back down to 35%. I guess they will hurt those 65% buyers real good tomorrow before any rise. Cruel market.

Sentiment is king.
  • #143,314
  • Dec 14, 2021 2:14pm Dec 14, 2021 2:14pm
Quoting fxsport
{quote} Why do women trust bald men more than normal men? Because bald men have nothing to hide! {image}
Sorry mate, I don't understand. Why are you saying this in relation to my post?
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #143,315
  • Dec 14, 2021 2:15pm Dec 14, 2021 2:15pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Too obvious. They will knock it out. Asia or London will do it. Sellers increased to 42% that was the reason for the rise. Now it's back down to 35%. I guess they will hurt those 65% buyers real good tomorrow before any rise. Cruel market. Sentiment is king.
Normally I would agree for rising supports, but this one is again and again approached by different falling wedges, which gives me confidence that it will hold, tough there might be a major fake breakout after the FED to collect all the stops.

Btw the resistance lines are quite obvious as well, don't you think? So by this logic they should also be knocked.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #143,316
  • Dec 14, 2021 2:23pm Dec 14, 2021 2:23pm
Quoting mtako
{quote} Sorry mate, I don't understand. Why are you saying this in relation to my post?
Round about way of saying what about those without hats?

Too much time on my hands and watching PA is like waiting for paint to dry.

Well this was my thoughts last week

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But after watching price action I've turned to the Darkside
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...because you never know - until you do!
  • #143,317
  • Dec 14, 2021 3:02pm Dec 14, 2021 3:02pm
Quoting fxsport
{quote} Round about way of saying what about those without hats? Too much time on my hands and watching PA is like waiting for paint to dry. Well this was my thoughts last week {image} But after watching price action I've turned to the Darkside {image}
!!!!

Long ranging periods can really

Patience + determination really pays off at the end of these! P.S not saying we are there yet, but certainly getting closer every day, and for both directions' potential.

Today was optimization day for the beginning of next year. Should be done by the weekend, which I will try to cherish more than ever. I hope you all can too!

Update, Finally!
Quoting mtako
Another low and 1H will have made a first step to get out of ranging. But in my view, 1220 BO is necessary for anything ranging breaking moves at 2H+, . {quote} Getting ready, sell stop 1256, just in case . Preparing the possible reach and re-entry from orbit : New sell limit : 1308. If 1308 triggered, then selling at 1294, 1276. Each new positions moves previous position's SL at BE. Going out a couple of hours. Can't wait to come back and read...
Last one to be moved at BE finally gets its own crown : 1276 now at BE. Today was another day like last Wednesday, with potential for many positions to be taken with the risk of one or two. I never hesitate when these rare birds fly by ! But under such a big news week, I don't expect them to survive. It is worth it witht he right approach, as the years have proven; conditions have to be ripe, mm, but not only that, as I have shared more of in old posts.

8h setup, 1st condition met ! Next condition is two lower closes below 1256. So it is very far from being over ! 1st TP is usually RSI <25 on close.
Quoting mtako
...sellstop at 1359, supported my an 8H momentum intrend pullback setup I perhaps talked too much about. That 8H pullback setup reminds me of many crucial aspects of my trading, even if it does not come to fruition. Here a quote, in case anyone is interested in going down that rabbit whole: {quote} When it was 1263, it was missed by a pip, bulls took over at the last minute. When is was 1259, it was missed by a couple points, bull took over at the last minute Now, this important level for me is moved down, now at 1256. This will be my most watch...
Here my first and a more detailed posts about it, in case anyone is interested:
Quoting mtako
In my previous posts, I have focused on bulls threats. When mainly selling, my main focus is on buying, and vice versa. This helps me stay objective. I will try to balance that a little more in my shares. This fresh 8H pullback setup(only to be confirmed under 1275) is starting to have an effect on my long-term shorts planning, and will even more so if we get a decisive 1275 to 1260 BO before any new 1350s reach. Has this pullback reached it's limits? Or will ....
Quoting mtako
{quote}... Level of confirmation for this 8H setup has risen today to 1292, which was just broken through. The confirmation of this setup is a first strong indication for me that the tension has reached a new level, and that the end is near. Possible very important move coming soon : The second 1259(previously1263) is reached, my above 1290 positions will all be at BE again, at last. Not because the down momentum might be strong and steady enough for them to make it to their targets(most<1230), although that could be the case. Noooo,...
I have a lot more to share, especially from a bulls perspective, but I will be kinder to this lovely thread. And here a good month of some of my 8H brainstorming which has influenced my decision making on more than one occasion.

Take good care everyone, and good night, Mtako
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #143,318
  • Dec 14, 2021 3:11pm Dec 14, 2021 3:11pm
Quoting andvk74
I see this as a FALSE breakout {image}
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  • #143,319
  • Dec 14, 2021 4:01pm Dec 14, 2021 4:01pm
Quoting MrGuy
{quote} Yo, did you watch this back before uploading? Can't see your screen at all man...or at least, not the whole screen.
Thanks MrGuy. I made the video and left to run errands. I'm trying to figure out what happened. I'm going to re-make this video. See you on the other side.
  • #143,320
  • Dec 14, 2021 4:16pm Dec 14, 2021 4:16pm
Trying a buy here at 1.12560
Target is 1.13260.

I will sell from there if need be.

Reason being that, we are currently at the lows of a triangle on 4hrs
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
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