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  • Post #142,981
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  • Dec 5, 2021 4:20am Dec 5, 2021 4:20am
  •  post
  • Joined Aug 2012 | Status: Fundamental & Technical Analyst | 1,900 Posts
From ING

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Happy Trading
Profit is not profit until you BANK it
 
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  • Post #142,982
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  • Edited at 1:07pm Dec 5, 2021 12:51pm | Edited at 1:07pm
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 2,836 Posts
Quoting post
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From ING {image} Happy Trading
Ignored
Very interesting, thank you for posting mate
The big boys never cease to impress me for a variety of reasons. In some cases, like here, I find that they are so much better and faster (than me!) at factoring in the new, so much so that I feel that voodoo feeeeeeling and confusion, even if it does make sense.

For the time being, I am but an ant, and am still confident that price has factored in enough of what a new variant can probably bring to the table, but "probably" leaves out the possibility I cannot ignore and so I remain extremely cautious. Unless fresh momentum + volatility are present (for me still present for 12h-W trades only), I rather simply put my eggs at the edge of the middle of the basket, and get out in the middle or at an egg-length past it, maximum. Looks like I am already looking forward to Easter !

Enough of my Sunday gibberish.

Sending my warmest, sincerest, best holiday energy to all for the beginning of this new week, first of the month.

May we follow our rules, with discipline of steel, the instinct of a survivor, and the passion of a lover.

P.S no matter what happens, we are coming back to earth. Been dancing to this classic for ages! Little Sunday share, let's dance ! Here is a glass of Bourbon to you, or what might your heart desire !

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  • Post #142,983
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  • Dec 5, 2021 3:56pm Dec 5, 2021 3:56pm
  •  Austyno
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Discipline creates Lifestyle | 1,683 Posts
Key support for this week is at 1.13033.

I will keep buying dips where necessary.

Have a pipful week ahead
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
 
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  • Post #142,984
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  • Dec 6, 2021 1:48am Dec 6, 2021 1:48am
  •  nic9man
  • Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 998 Posts
Quoting Austyno
Disliked
Key support for this week is at 1.13033. I will keep buying dips where necessary. Have a pipful week ahead
Ignored
On which timeframe do you expect this to hold? H4 or daily close?
Another day, another dollar.
 
 
  • Post #142,985
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  • Dec 6, 2021 2:41am Dec 6, 2021 2:41am
  •  Austyno
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Discipline creates Lifestyle | 1,683 Posts
Quoting nic9man
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{quote} On which timeframe do you expect this to hold? H4 or daily close?
Ignored
Daily close
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
 
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  • Post #142,986
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  • Edited at 3:02am Dec 6, 2021 2:50am | Edited at 3:02am
  •  post
  • Joined Aug 2012 | Status: Fundamental & Technical Analyst | 1,900 Posts
Good Morning Dealers

Just a simple equation on EU for short term .. considering the Central banks actions ECB & FED

More good news on OMICRON = Bad news for EU = EU Down (FED will continue with tightening & Central banks policy divergence kicks in)

Trade Safe
Happy Trading
Profit is not profit until you BANK it
 
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  • Post #142,987
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  • Dec 6, 2021 3:24am Dec 6, 2021 3:24am
  •  nic9man
  • Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 998 Posts
Quoting post
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Good Morning Dealers Just a simple equation on EU for short term .. considering the Central banks actions ECB & FED More good news on OMICRON = Bad news for EU = EU Down (FED will continue with tightening & Central banks policy divergence kicks in) Trade Safe Happy Trading
Ignored
Althogh true from the core, there are two flaws to this logic in my opinion. First Omicron is just one factor. Unless we end up in an armaggedon scenario, I would argue that much more important for the FED action is inflation and it will take time to get more information about it. Second this Omicron pricing logic cannot hold forever. At some point the market might have gone ahead of itself and will correct independently of new information.
Another day, another dollar.
 
 
  • Post #142,988
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  • Dec 6, 2021 3:41am Dec 6, 2021 3:41am
  •  sulai45
  • | Joined Jul 2016 | Status: Member | 396 Posts
Good morning everyone, hope you're great. I think, 1.1275 could be a good support for today.
 
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  • Post #142,989
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  • Dec 6, 2021 3:56am Dec 6, 2021 3:56am
  •  post
  • Joined Aug 2012 | Status: Fundamental & Technical Analyst | 1,900 Posts
Quoting nic9man
Disliked
{quote} Althogh true from the core, there are two flaws to this logic in my opinion. First Omicron is just one factor. Unless we end up in an armaggedon scenario, I would argue that much more important for the FED action is inflation and it will take time to get more information about it. Second this Omicron pricing logic cannot hold forever. At some point the market might have gone ahead of itself and will correct independently of new information.
Ignored
thanks mate.. I don't disagree with you ..but.. my thoughts here is for short term... FED will only continue with announced tightening if they see no up coming danger to economy from external factors like Virus / war ..or else they will take some mandatory actions followed by a pause in action which will eventually lead to weaker dollar... on other words at this point we need some sort of clear sky for US economy to stay bid on dollar against high beta currencies like euro

Central Banks ....Delta and other previous Vibs are not considered as extreme danger anymore as vaccine seems to somewhat working on them..only the omicron is still a lot unknown . so good news on that will be considered as short term relief


Trade Safe
Happy Trading
Profit is not profit until you BANK it
 
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  • Post #142,990
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  • Dec 6, 2021 4:15am Dec 6, 2021 4:15am
  •  BigNumbers
  • Joined Jul 2021 | Status: AGAINST ALL ODDS | 800 Posts
Eurusd buy zone and tp zone
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If it was easy... Everyone would do it!
 
 
  • Post #142,991
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  • Dec 6, 2021 4:41am Dec 6, 2021 4:41am
  •  belon
  • Joined Aug 2016 | Status: Member | 557 Posts
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...9#post13804629
=========
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  • Post #142,992
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  • Dec 6, 2021 4:46am Dec 6, 2021 4:46am
  •  yvestrcz
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 791 Posts
Hello everyone! Wish you all a successful trading week! I have not traded as of now, and will have to observe PA, and think about the scenarios as regards the middle term (this month, shall we say?) progression of price. Looking at H4 graph, I cannot exclude the possibility of re-testing 1.1185 levels so as to form a beautiful and solid double bottom (or drop even further).
What are your thoughts on PA for the rest of the year?

p.s.: I can't recall which year it was, but can remember EUR/USD was rallying like crazy on Christmas Eve (Dec 24th for those who do not celebrate nor care about Christmas) back then.
 
3
  • Post #142,993
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  • Dec 6, 2021 5:03am Dec 6, 2021 5:03am
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 2,836 Posts
As I, like many, am still patiently waiting for a move beyond last weeks killer whale of indecision, I cannot help but take some bitesize jabs where it seems appropriate.

Is this last stronger than all up-move signaling the way back to highs of 4H range levels, min 1330s? As it is often the case, mid-way(for now, in my case: 1291-1308) could be a nice place to test the weak and young momentum down. Perhaps if there is enough resistance here, it will simply pursue its course and turtle its way down to new weekly low.

Selling a tick below last 5min cdl with the tightest of stops, two ticks above high of the hour. Also sell stop 12926 with 11pips SL, in case bears actually take advantage of their tiny feet and make it back to the low, where my TP would probably lie. And also would look at returns from above for an entry in the early 1300s.

Who knows? Or 1310s first obstacle, then min 1330s.
 
1
  • Post #142,994
  • Quote
  • Dec 6, 2021 5:18am Dec 6, 2021 5:18am
  •  EllaCen
  • | Joined Oct 2020 | Status: Member | 63 Posts
Quoting yvestrcz
Disliked
Hello everyone! Wish you all a successful trading week! I have not traded as of now, and will have to observe PA, and think about the scenarios as regards the middle term (this month, shall we say?) progression of price. Looking at H4 graph, I cannot exclude the possibility of re-testing 1.1185 levels so as to form a beautiful and solid double bottom (or drop even further). What are your thoughts on PA for the rest of the year? p.s.: I can't recall which year it was, but can remember EUR/USD was rallying like crazy on Christmas Eve (Dec 24th for...
Ignored
Agree with you. could be the first 2 weeks down till 1.1185 then before christmas very quickly up to 1.13xx / 1.14xxx end of year
Change is never easy, but always possible
 
2
  • Post #142,995
  • Quote
  • Dec 6, 2021 5:34am Dec 6, 2021 5:34am
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 2,836 Posts
Quoting yvestrcz
Disliked
Hello everyone! Wish you all a successful trading week! I have not traded as of now, and will have to observe PA, and think about the scenarios as regards the middle term (this month, shall we say?) progression of price. Looking at H4 graph, I cannot exclude the possibility of re-testing 1.1185 levels so as to form a beautiful and solid double bottom (or drop even further). What are your thoughts on PA for the rest of the year? p.s.: I can't recall which year it was, but can remember EUR/USD was rallying like crazy on Christmas Eve (Dec 24th for...
Ignored
Hi Yvestrcz! Yes last year's holiday period was pretty decent, considering that time of the year. Made the still unbeaten high. Perhaps even the high of the decade . But I will never forget 2014, incessant drop starting on New Years Eve !

This holiday season, I believe that, if price has not attacked .1100s by then, it has probably pursued and this correction will be travelling a while in the 14s, which is also my main resistance levels for my shorts, above which it is better to exit and wait for returns from 1500s to consider getting back in, long-term. If they get a clean break past 1360, they have what it takes to be the masters at New years Eve ! But we have seen how stubborn 1300s, so they really need a swift break out of it.
 
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  • Post #142,996
  • Quote
  • Dec 6, 2021 5:35am Dec 6, 2021 5:35am
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 2,836 Posts
-5, and just sold again ! 1.13035
 
2
  • Post #142,997
  • Quote
  • Dec 6, 2021 5:44am Dec 6, 2021 5:44am
  •  Ryd3n
  • Joined Jan 2021 | Status: Member | 160 Posts
The FED will double the taper pace at their next meeting, EURUSD will reach 1.10000 before the end of the month OR early in January.
We cut the winners short and let the losers run.
 
2
  • Post #142,998
  • Quote
  • Dec 6, 2021 5:48am Dec 6, 2021 5:48am
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 2,836 Posts
Quoting mtako
Disliked
-5, and just sold again ! 1.13035
Ignored
I am not messing with a single bears high volatility candle in a sea of bulls ! I know how many are buying the return to the highs !

SL tightened to 8pips. Moved at BE at 12922
 
1
  • Post #142,999
  • Quote
  • Dec 6, 2021 6:10am Dec 6, 2021 6:10am
  •  yvestrcz
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 791 Posts
I've put in a sell limit @ 1.13135, TP 1.1254, SL 1.1335. TP/SL = 59.5/21.5.
 
2
  • Post #143,000
  • Quote
  • Dec 6, 2021 6:15am Dec 6, 2021 6:15am
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 2,836 Posts
Quoting yvestrcz
Disliked
Hello everyone! Wish you all a successful trading week! I have not traded as of now, and will have to observe PA, and think about the scenarios as regards the middle term (this month, shall we say?) progression of price. Looking at H4 graph, I cannot exclude the possibility of re-testing 1.1185 levels so as to form a beautiful and solid double bottom (or drop even further). What are your thoughts on PA for the rest of the year? p.s.: I can't recall which year it was, but can remember EUR/USD was rallying like crazy on Christmas Eve (Dec 24th for...
Ignored
The 4H cdls are whispering in my ear : we will keep our bodies nice and snug between 1280 and 1340 till the fireworks of 2022


bulls holding on to it above 1292 a bit too long for this setup(13035), closed for a very generous +2
 
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