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  • #142,921
  • Dec 3, 2021 7:29am Dec 3, 2021 7:29am
I lost on my 2 shares today, -5 -15. Thankfully I got a few scalps also that did almost as good as those did bad.
My way to get my feet wet before the fattest of bulls and bears battle.

I've got two strong opposing Daily divergence trades in the works! A bulls divergence and a bears hidden divergence.
I have symbolic (tiny) orders in play. I will not consider the levels seriously till after the news dust settles.

Second best case scenario for my long-term shorts : a close under 1220s ! Second worst case : a close above 1440s! Prepared for both and in between and for beyond

Being in the end of Q4, my trades are becoming less and less impactful. Still, I am planning also with the thought of next week being my last of the year.

There will opportunities after the news also, so playing it cool as usual

Dancing time Safe news tick dancing everyone!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,922
  • Dec 3, 2021 7:46am Dec 3, 2021 7:46am
To whoever here that follow fundamentals, looking forward to reading your views today.

Just sold the return into the range 1312, SL high of the day
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,923
  • Dec 3, 2021 7:52am Dec 3, 2021 7:52am
Regardless of NFP the unemployment rate declined significantly making a quicker tapering likely. Hence US yields are now rising after having tumbled initially. This brought the dollar back, not sure what follows though...
Another day, another dollar.
  • #142,924
  • Dec 3, 2021 7:54am Dec 3, 2021 7:54am
What the flip? Horrible US data, so thinking it would at least test 1.135. But now back down to 1.129. Makes no sense to me. Was hoping to get out of my long at 1.1341 with a couple pips. Doesn't look promising now for some strange reason.
  • #142,925
  • Dec 3, 2021 8:01am Dec 3, 2021 8:01am
Quoting schaos21
What the flip? Horrible US data, so thinking it would at least test 1.135. But now back down to 1.129. Makes no sense to me. Was hoping to get out of my long at 1.1341 with a couple pips. Doesn't look promising now for some strange reason.
It can still do it now... maybe just taking its time like it sometimes do. Wishing you the best.


My last short (1312) be moved at BE only when/if 1280s are reached.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,926
  • Dec 3, 2021 8:10am Dec 3, 2021 8:10am
Closed my daily long at BE, moved my 1312 short at BE action !
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,927
  • Dec 3, 2021 8:12am Dec 3, 2021 8:12am
Quoting mtako
{quote} It can still do it now... maybe just taking its time like it sometimes do. Wishing you the best. My last short (1312) be moved at BE only when/if 1280s are reached.
Thanks for the well wishes, but not looking good... may just have to bite the bullet and accept the big loss...
  • #142,928
  • Dec 3, 2021 8:23am Dec 3, 2021 8:23am
Quoting schaos21
What the flip? Horrible US data, so thinking it would at least test 1.135. But now back down to 1.129. Makes no sense to me. Was hoping to get out of my long at 1.1341 with a couple pips. Doesn't look promising now for some strange reason.
A very wise man once said: I do nothing.. I touch nothing.. Patience..
LEARN THE ABILITY TO GRAB COINS FROM A HOT FURNACE
  • #142,929
  • Dec 3, 2021 8:25am Dec 3, 2021 8:25am
Quoting schaos21
{quote} Thanks for the well wishes, but not looking good... may just have to bite the bullet and accept the big loss...
Sorry to hear that ! I know you follow your rules so you know you will bounce back. That is all that matters to us, we trade to lose some to win more.

I believe It is just ranging still... Under these conditions I move to BE at other end of range just in case it continues, but I plan both ways because it is too often a coin toss.
Right now, for example, if it reaches 1270s, I have buy stop at 1290.
And a sell stop at 1314 just if 1340s reached before.
Of course, it could just shoot up from here bottom of the range, which I hope for you and all small bulls friends, but with this volatility growing, just as often price get more reaches outside the range.

I might miss the boat, but just as long as I get on it from time to time, I am 100% comfortable with that.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,930
  • Dec 3, 2021 8:30am Dec 3, 2021 8:30am
Thanks all... holding to see what the NY Open brings... Let's see...
  • #142,931
  • Dec 3, 2021 8:35am Dec 3, 2021 8:35am
With uncertainty or lack of planning(the second price moves in a surprising move = lack of planning for me), I scale down or exit.

I personally scaled down my shorts a lot today and yesterday and I don't care if it drops down 50000 pips.

I worked tirelessly on this mindset for years. Was way easier said than done for me!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,932
  • Dec 3, 2021 8:42am Dec 3, 2021 8:42am
Quoting nic9man
Regardless of NFP the unemployment rate declined significantly making a quicker tapering likely. Hence US yields are now rising after having tumbled initially. This brought the dollar back, not sure what follows though...
Always enjoy reading your take nic9man. I have been following fxstreets insights since its creation. Short and sweet.

For today :
"EUR/USD jumped to a daily high of 1.1333 with the initial market reaction to the disappointing November Nonfarm Payrolls data but quickly returned to the 1.1300 area. Rising US Treasury bond yields seem to be helping the dollar stay resilient against its major rivals. "
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,933
  • Dec 3, 2021 8:46am Dec 3, 2021 8:46am
I have a setup confirmed from the 30m, volatility in momentum for bears, a first one in +100 hours ! But I will not take it as I have my share of shorts.. Sell stop 12857 tight SL a pip above high of the day. TP minimum *3
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,934
  • Dec 3, 2021 8:56am Dec 3, 2021 8:56am
Breaking up or

Breaking down?

I think that the "black swan" event is going to occur in December hence my short:

Good luck all
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR_USD_20211203_09.54.png Size: 49 KB
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #142,935
  • Dec 3, 2021 8:57am Dec 3, 2021 8:57am
Our end of week price guessing game starts with new hour (3 minutes later).. Once time begins you have 1 hour and 30 minutes to send or update your guesses.. Results will be based on Tradingview-Oanda servers..

Good luck to all

My EOW guess is: 1.12724
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #142,936
  • Dec 3, 2021 8:59am Dec 3, 2021 8:59am
Quoting mtako
I have a setup confirmed from the 30m, volatility in momentum for bears, a first one in +100 hours ! But I will not take it as I have my share of shorts.. Sell stop 12857 tight SL a pip above high of the day. TP minimum *3
When the 30m at time of entry does not close beyond entry price, I get out, wait, and reset the sell stop, as long as there are no new 30m closes above 1314 this setup keeps its potential. SL is dynamic and moves down at about the speed of the 22MA

Last BIG NEWS in 2 minutes, holding on to our hats!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,937
  • Dec 3, 2021 9:02am Dec 3, 2021 9:02am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Our end of week price guessing game starts with new hour (3 minutes later).. Once time begins you have 1 hour and 30 minutes to send or update your guesses.. Results will be based on Tradingview-Oanda servers.. Good luck to all My EOW guess is: 1.12724
My EOW is 1.12270
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #142,938
  • Dec 3, 2021 9:08am Dec 3, 2021 9:08am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Our end of week price guessing game starts with new hour (3 minutes later).. Once time begins you have 1 hour and 30 minutes to send or update your guesses.. Results will be based on Tradingview-Oanda servers.. Good luck to all My EOW guess is: 1.12724
1.13050
LEARN THE ABILITY TO GRAB COINS FROM A HOT FURNACE
  • #142,939
  • Dec 3, 2021 9:10am Dec 3, 2021 9:10am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Our end of week price guessing game starts with new hour (3 minutes later).. Once time begins you have 1 hour and 30 minutes to send or update your guesses.. Results will be based on Tradingview-Oanda servers.. Good luck to all My EOW guess is: 1.12724
My EOW guess is: 1.12562
  • #142,940
  • Dec 3, 2021 9:11am Dec 3, 2021 9:11am
My guess is 1.13322
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