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  • Post #142,821
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  • Nov 30, 2021 5:08am Nov 30, 2021 5:08am
  •  nic9man
  • Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 1,175 Posts
Quoting nic9man
Disliked
And retail positioning just won't normalize, according to these statistics retail investors keep flocking into longs. But at some point they have to win, won't they??? {image}
Ignored
Here is a link to a screenshot where the statistic with retail longs was at 74% on Nov 16 and it just dropped significantly over the course of the last two days. Meaning retail is logging in long profits preparing for shorts or already opening shorts.
Another day, another dollar.
 
 
  • Post #142,822
  • Quote
  • Nov 30, 2021 5:20am Nov 30, 2021 5:20am
  •  nic9man
  • Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 1,175 Posts
I think kind of like this we will move to test 1.1380, i.e. bear trap at this point in my opinion.
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Another day, another dollar.
 
 
  • Post #142,823
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  • Nov 30, 2021 5:55am Nov 30, 2021 5:55am
  •  19monza64
  • Joined Jan 2019 | Status: Member | 650 Posts
EU H4

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I don't predict. I try to react.
 
 
  • Post #142,824
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  • Nov 30, 2021 6:05am Nov 30, 2021 6:05am
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 5,005 Posts
Quoting mtako
Disliked
... Each have their own average set level to be locked in at (hedged). Eurusd positions will be locked in at high + 5 in exactly 2 hours. To be released at first .1331, dynamic level.
Ignored
Was waiting for a minimum bulls wick to get countered, very hard to come by today!
Hedging would start at .1383. De-hedging levels are quite dynamic, but I would share only the average, and it would range between .1338 and above. I hope it does not get there !

Hedging makes no sense for many very successful approaches indeed.
But when you have 100+ positions, each with their own rules and going through a period of uncertainty like now or big news, it makes life much easier than to close all (and everything that comes with them) and reopen with a blank slate. It is sweet to get back in when everything is already in place !

I do not share my floating profits from my shared trades, but I would like to share my floating losses when they are significant, for obvious reasons.

Floating losses now at -+95-+85 -+30

Important to share, like I did in other posts, that the number of pips is not representative of the positions real impact(and that goes both ways !)
The following is just one reason :

Quoting mtako
Disliked
{quote} .... MM. Adapt to change volume according changes in volatility, levels, gains and losses, open positions, strategy dependent factors etc. Now just trading to lose about a fifth of the previous profitable days, or add minimum a fifth. We'll see soon ! Enough rambling, to whomever read this far, hope it wasn't too much of an eyesore and I wish you a wonderful evening. Ok, eat stroll sleep time !
Ignored
As you can see, I have gains thresholds, by and beyond which position sizes are affected in order to protect realized profits.
Every strategy has their own day, multi-days, week, month and quarter gains threshold.

Very important to protect realized profits in some way or another.

Hope at least one person found this useful. Wishing to all the very best with your trades. Cheers !
If I don't mention SL and TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
 
2
  • Post #142,825
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  • Nov 30, 2021 6:06am Nov 30, 2021 6:06am
  •  yvestrcz
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 924 Posts
Quoting yvestrcz
Disliked
{quote} Target 1 reached.
Ignored
Closed the second trade @ 1.1362. Overall, 24.5 + 37 pips earned today, and I call it a day.
 
10
  • Post #142,826
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  • Nov 30, 2021 6:50am Nov 30, 2021 6:50am
  •  macdulio
  • Joined Oct 2013 | Status: Member | 1,079 Posts | Online Now
KiA
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  • Post #142,827
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  • Nov 30, 2021 7:39am Nov 30, 2021 7:39am
  •  nic9man
  • Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 1,175 Posts
Quoting macdulio
Disliked
KiA {image}
Ignored
haha, BAAAM, whatever it means
Another day, another dollar.
 
 
  • Post #142,828
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  • Nov 30, 2021 7:41am Nov 30, 2021 7:41am
  •  nic9man
  • Joined Jun 2020 | Status: Member | 1,175 Posts
Retail longs sinking further, soon below 50%...
Another day, another dollar.
 
 
  • Post #142,829
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  • Nov 30, 2021 8:40am Nov 30, 2021 8:40am
  •  Starcraftmaz
  • | Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Member | 1,841 Posts
The fact that the dip didnt even go into the 1.3300 zone (previous high + uptrend) to me is super bullish. Lately we see euro data has been showing strong eu inflation, and I bet powel will not be to eager to raise rates.

On a personal note, checked my monthly stats, I have 88% winrate with 15k profit over the last 2 months, hoping for a good end of the year
 
3
  • Post #142,830
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  • Nov 30, 2021 10:07am Nov 30, 2021 10:07am
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,541 Posts
H1 Status Update

Bull journey is still in tact.. I am marking 1.13545 as nearest support.. Upcoming potential corrections might target 1.1285 area but speaking generally: bulls seem to be in control for now..
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Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: 13.2%
 
2
  • Post #142,831
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  • Nov 30, 2021 10:36am Nov 30, 2021 10:36am
  •  19monza64
  • Joined Jan 2019 | Status: Member | 650 Posts
EU H1
SELL 1.1361
Next support 1.1332
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I don't predict. I try to react.
 
 
  • Post #142,832
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  • Nov 30, 2021 10:40am Nov 30, 2021 10:40am
  •  19monza64
  • Joined Jan 2019 | Status: Member | 650 Posts
Quoting 19monza64
Disliked
EU H1 SELL 1.1361 Next support 1.1332{image}
Ignored
close + 30 pips
I don't predict. I try to react.
 
 
  • Post #142,833
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  • Nov 30, 2021 10:49am Nov 30, 2021 10:49am
  •  MrGuy
  • | Joined Jan 2021 | Status: Member | 216 Posts
Hawkish J-Pow doing what he does.
A wise man changes his mind, a fool never will
 
 
  • Post #142,834
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  • Nov 30, 2021 10:54am Nov 30, 2021 10:54am
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 5,005 Posts
This spike could've gone either way. My hedge is costly, but not as much as if this spike had gone the other way!

Quoting mtako
Disliked
{quote} ... My own short is dependent on this here being a good'ol 1H double top yet to be confirmed; got in from a 5min countertrend setup. To be confirmed, it can go as high as it can (even .1381, so we could both get our share of the pie ) As long as it shoots back down to below .1305 today, but just as fast and/or steady, and I will be satisfied and call it a dblTop even though it will look nothing like one . My most crucial levels for me is right here(probable middle if goes into ranging mode) and, the level that could...
Ignored

All my previously stated levels to move SL at BE are deactivated. All SL and TPs are open till volatility has ceased to grow.

Hope everyone is well.
If I don't mention SL and TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
 
 
  • Post #142,835
  • Quote
  • Nov 30, 2021 10:56am Nov 30, 2021 10:56am
  •  schaos21
  • | Joined Feb 2011 | Status: Member | 314 Posts
Wow! I didn't see that coming.

Got my butt kicked on the way up and shorted near the top looking to regain back half my losses.

Just closed out with a profit for the day.

I'll say it again, WOW!
 
4
  • Post #142,836
  • Quote
  • Edited 12:13pm Nov 30, 2021 11:55am | Edited 12:13pm
  •  Ata-Turkoglu
  • Joined May 2014 | Status: Full Time Trader | 20,541 Posts
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Disliked
H1 Status Update Bull journey is still in tact.. I am marking 1.13545 as nearest support.. Upcoming potential corrections might target 1.1285 area but speaking generally: bulls seem to be in control for now.. {image}
Ignored
Speak of the devil... 1.1285 area is getting hammered.. I think it is solid enough as long as bulls can keep it above my green line: 1.1240 area! Time will tell..
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Be a seer, not a looker!
Ata's Trend Hunter V2.0 All Time Return: 13.2%
 
7
  • Post #142,837
  • Quote
  • Nov 30, 2021 12:16pm Nov 30, 2021 12:16pm
  •  Endoephemera
  • | Joined May 2014 | Status: Member | 446 Posts
+100% today. One day I'll tell you about it. The last four ops, all in profit, while asleep.
Temperance (restraint in action, thought or feeling) is a virtue.
 
3
  • Post #142,838
  • Quote
  • Nov 30, 2021 12:28pm Nov 30, 2021 12:28pm
  •  Ayax.TSS
  • Joined Apr 2019 | Status: Member | 2,543 Posts
#EURUSD / H4
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  • Post #142,839
  • Quote
  • Nov 30, 2021 12:35pm Nov 30, 2021 12:35pm
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 5,005 Posts
Well done to all above-average patient bears and bulls cashing in and/or protecting their well deserved gains.

Bulls evidently still have the intraday control !
Bears, at minimum, need to follow through beyond .1250 or have extremely strong resistance at 1330s and/or 1380s to counter such power!
Bears will probably have to be even more patient.

Much earlier than thought, Sold here .1306 and, thanks to a much less likely to be triggered counter volatility setup from the 1H. Sell stop 1.12471.
Let's see if bears are serious in making this the end of the correction. Doubt it, but as always, am preparing for the most crazy scenarios, as I shared above and elsewhere. Experience taught me to expect and plan for it all, especially in times like these.

I had to make a hard decision Sunday night and cancelled big long-time plans because of Omicron. That is why I am trading and I am here still sharing.
My sincerest apologies to all who have grown to dislike my shares. I don't blame you. My shares, which could be so easily mistaken for something they are not, have been too often too long and too numerous. Don't worry, I am really done for now.

Making this covid-destroyer-of-health-vacation worth it the best I can in my ingloriously crazy trading way!
If I don't mention SL and TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
 
2
  • Post #142,840
  • Quote
  • Nov 30, 2021 1:13pm Nov 30, 2021 1:13pm
  •  Austyno
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Discipline creates Lifestyle | 1,930 Posts
Ata, are we guessing month's closing price today?
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
 
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