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EURUSD only

  • #142,141
  • Nov 15, 2021 8:25am Nov 15, 2021 8:25am
Quoting mtako
{quote} ... New swing setup confirmed sell-stop 1.14435. Never over !
It has got around 2 hours to reach the 20s, then I could tighten that stop. Would be nice !



Quoting mtako
Selling the 15 min low break !
Entry was perfect, very unlike me . Triggered out mainly off the hour long volatility and range dropping after that bigger 7 pips bulls candle (15min)... Anyhow, stopped at BE after a straight 7 pips in profit. Normal TP would have been at 42, foot of range, but alas, missed the boat with that trade.

With that setup, I don't mind not being on this boat
Attached Image
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,142
  • Nov 15, 2021 8:28am Nov 15, 2021 8:28am
A bone-breaking selling pressure has come... and gone?
  • #142,143
  • Nov 15, 2021 8:41am Nov 15, 2021 8:41am
Quoting yvestrcz
A bone-breaking selling pressure has come... and gone?
indeed range heaven description : bone-breaking pressure.. and gone, gone to the other end, and repeat, and the bones are piling !

crazy bottom of a 27hour stubborn as bloody hell ranging phenomenon, again.

Still, destined to look like it will continue to range the second before it really breaks out. Could be anytime, ye!
Attached Image
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,144
  • Nov 15, 2021 8:41am Nov 15, 2021 8:41am
Quoting Traderview
EURUSD on Daily {image}
So basically you expect we fistly visit 1.1386 (so to touch/approach/pierce the lower boundary of the falling wedge), and then up we go to the resistance bands indicated in the graphs?
  • #142,145
  • Nov 15, 2021 8:56am Nov 15, 2021 8:56am
Closings under 1440 now, could become resistance. Another two complete 15m cdls under 1440 and there could be a nice in momentum trade with dynamic stops around 22 SL 30 TP. Let me dream !

I do have a new sell stop 1.14357 but it expires in 20m...
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,146
  • Nov 15, 2021 9:10am Nov 15, 2021 9:10am
New low of the year hit, Happy new Low everyone !!!!!!
Attached Image
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,147
  • Nov 15, 2021 9:32am Nov 15, 2021 9:32am
Quoting mtako
Closings under 1440 now, could become resistance. Another two complete 15m cdls under 1440 and there could be a nice in momentum trade with dynamic stops around 22 SL 30 TP. Let me dream ! I do have a new sell stop 1.14357 but it expires in 20m...

Dynamic SL now at 1440.

Not worth risking it going back that far into the eternal range. If it breaks, it breaks straight.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,148
  • Nov 15, 2021 9:45am Nov 15, 2021 9:45am
Quoting yvestrcz
{quote} So basically you expect we fistly visit 1.1386 (so to touch/approach/pierce the lower boundary of the falling wedge), and then up we go to the resistance bands indicated in the graphs?
1.1386 - 1.1350 is the zone i expect, will provide a support. But if the bears are too strong, then i think momentum will take it to 1.1260 which will push it back above 1.1350 and into the Trendline.

And a one more possible scenario.
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  • #142,149
  • Nov 15, 2021 9:46am Nov 15, 2021 9:46am
Quoting mtako
Closings under 1440 now, could become resistance. Another two complete 15m cdls under 1440 and there could be a nice in momentum trade with dynamic stops around 22 SL 30 TP. Let me dream ! I do have a new sell stop 1.14357 but it expires in 20m...
SL moved at BE. Waiting for 1H close to establish TP. Hope this one survives !

Now I would worry as a bear if return above 1437 after such force and with the same strength today... that could mean a widening of the range and no real break out and continuation...

Let's see !
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,150
  • Nov 15, 2021 9:58am Nov 15, 2021 9:58am
Quoting pipibrasci
{quote} My VIEW (D1 chart): EXY been stalling and i think its due for a slight pull back. But just checked the the inverse chart (USDEUR) and it could happen soon though not sure about in the week. Bounced off 0.236 fib Ret. level and Broke out of bull flag indicating aa strong bullish scenario and still aiming for that fib ext. level 2. SO inversely i think it should reach 1.1450 - 1.1420 before a pull back happens and that could be a strong pull back as the Month of November comes with momentum and volatility.

On the other...
All short term targets reached (1.1450 - 1.1420)
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Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #142,151
  • Nov 15, 2021 10:00am Nov 15, 2021 10:00am
Quoting yvestrcz
Short from 1.1450, SL 1.1465, TP now set to 1.1420. Let's see what happens...
Grit; Knowledge; Right Mindset; All you need to overcome. KIS!
  • #142,152
  • Nov 15, 2021 10:06am Nov 15, 2021 10:06am
Quoting mtako
{quote} It has got around 2 hours to reach the 20s, then I could tighten that stop. Would be nice ! {quote} Entry was perfect, very unlike me . Triggered out mainly off the hour long volatility and range dropping after that bigger 7 pips bulls candle (15min)... Anyhow, stopped at BE after a straight 7 pips in profit. Normal TP would have been at 42, foot of range, but alas, missed the boat with that trade. With that setup, I don't mind not being on this boat {image}

Quoting mtako
{quote} ... New swing setup confirmed sell-stop 1.14435. Never over !
It has got around 2 hours to reach the 20s, then I could tighten that stop. Would be nice !

UPDATE First condition met on my 1h swing trade . And even better, price following through fast enough beyond low = SL at BE. TP open still
Attached Image
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,153
  • Nov 15, 2021 10:15am Nov 15, 2021 10:15am
Quoting pipibrasci
{quote}

Awesome Analysis bro... Keep it up!
  • #142,154
  • Nov 15, 2021 10:16am Nov 15, 2021 10:16am
These bears have been banging the poor bulls like silly, man... but... bulls now starting to resist heavily. Could be the low of the day.
  • #142,155
  • Nov 15, 2021 10:35am Nov 15, 2021 10:35am
Eur took out last weeks level and DXY did NOT
If Daily candle closes with this divergence, then tomorrow is THE BIG LONG on the EURUSD.
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  • #142,156
  • Nov 15, 2021 10:39am Nov 15, 2021 10:39am
Quoting yvestrcz
These bears have been banging the poor bulls like silly, man... but... bulls now starting to resist heavily. Could be the low of the day.
Indeed, and most probably so in my opinion...

And that is precisely why, having the mm to go against the odds, I am accepting one last setup today and at that very same low: Sell stop 1.14158, with at least 23pips dynamic SL


First and probably only moment of truth of the day for me!! A new low after now (just stepped out of my average range levels at last, 15m-30m perspective), gives more possibility for a continuation. How that would take form, if that happens, who knows, especially since eurusd has too rarely seen this power in momentum and out of average moves on the weekly, so better just ride the wave...



Quoting mtako
Closings under 1440 now, could become resistance. Another two complete 15m cdls under 1440 and there could be a nice in momentum trade with dynamic stops around 22 SL 30 TP. Let me dream ! I do have a new sell stop 1.14357 but it expires in 20m...
Momentum Man dictates : small man moves SL to .14314 to lock in a modest 4 pips
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #142,157
  • Nov 15, 2021 10:40am Nov 15, 2021 10:40am
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  • #142,158
  • Nov 15, 2021 10:42am Nov 15, 2021 10:42am
Quoting andvk74
Eur took out last weeks level and DXY did NOT If Daily candle closes with this divergence, then tomorrow is THE BIG LONG on the EURUSD. {image}
Smart analysis, mate. You spotted the lie being told. Other correlated pairs are all up except this devil's pair.
  • #142,159
  • Nov 15, 2021 11:00am Nov 15, 2021 11:00am
You can use it on ANY TF. It does NOT happen all the time on these 2, because there are other instruments that are EXACTLY the same as these 2 just with a different symbol and when you compare them ALL, you can pretty much predict EVERY reversal point.
But even using only these 2, you can spot many reversals on the smaller TF's.
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  • #142,160
  • Nov 15, 2021 11:17am Nov 15, 2021 11:17am
Quoting mtako
{quote} ... Sell stop 1.14158, with at least 23pips dynamic SL First and probably only moment of truth of the day for me!! A new low after now (just stepped out of my average range levels at last, 15m-30m perspective), gives more possibility for a continuation. How that would take form, if that happens, who knows, especially since eurusd has too rarely seen this power in momentum and out of average moves on the weekly, so better just ride the wave... {quote} Momentum Man dictates : small man moves SL to .14314 to lock in a modest 4 pips...

SL moved 1.14219 TP set .1391 My other shorts need the 30m and 1H closes for updates.. So far so good.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
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