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  • #141,801
  • Nov 5, 2021 6:12am Nov 5, 2021 6:12am
1.1527 is an issue, however these vampire bears can at least pierce it properly deep, I believe.
  • #141,802
  • Nov 5, 2021 6:17am Nov 5, 2021 6:17am
Quoting fxcontest
Weekly Candle 2020 already broken, where is The Bull ? {image}
Be Careful with Bull position.

IMO and DYOR
Holy Betting Grail strategy
  • #141,803
  • Nov 5, 2021 6:41am Nov 5, 2021 6:41am
Quoting Austyno
For tomorrow which is non-farm, I think we will see 1.16830. Sounds crazy right, stay with me... Notice how price has been on daily, bull, bear, bull, bear, it's time for bulls tomorrow and we are still inside a verified support on daily, so I think bulls will give it their last push before they hand over to bears. Also, I could be wrong, market will decide.
Attached Image

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: bulls.jpg Size: 135 KB
Hey guys it's time to get ready to run to 1.1650 and above....are you with me?
Attached Image
Long at 1.1540
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #141,804
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:09am Nov 5, 2021 7:09am
Quoting SnaveForex
{quote} Hours later we have this with a little bounce off 1540 {image}
Out of this swing short for 85 pips @ 1533 better safe than sorry.

NFP range now 1550 - 1520
Overshoot range 1566 - 1505
  • #141,805
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:10am Nov 5, 2021 7:10am
Quoting corongumet
If short continue, 1.14000 is possible. Looking latest month ATR.
And even 1,13 is possible as well. If you draw a fib from the bottom to the last high of the last bull run on the weekly, then the 61.8% fib is in that area. However things are looking a little extended to the downside. Latest net spec position in the USD as reported by the CFTC is getting extended, traders are very long dollars at the moment. Of course it can get more overextended as traders are buying into the fed hiking rates next summer. see:https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/moves
However all the traders are getting to one side of the boat and when that happens then the boat tends to flip over. We saw that last January where traders were very short dollar going into the year, hence EUR was at its high.

Now we are close to the 50% fib retracement of the last bull trend, itś around the 1,1490 area. If that is broken in a convincing way then 1,14 and 1,13 are coming and the dollar long exposure of traders gets very very extended.

I have a buy at 1,1490 area with a 50 pip stoploss. Lets see what today's numbers will give us.
  • #141,806
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:15am Nov 5, 2021 7:15am
This week we should start now to get our "end of day" price best guess.. (based on tradingview oanda servers)

My "end of day price" guess: 1.1566..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #141,807
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:19am Nov 5, 2021 7:19am
Quoting fxsport
{quote} {image} {image}Hey guys it's time to get ready to run to 1.1650 and above....are you with me? {image}Long at 1.1540
So you are expecting a big miss on NFP this morning? We would need a 200k NFP # to see 1.1650 right? I dont have that much experience, but that is a very unlikely scenario IMO.
  • #141,808
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:22am Nov 5, 2021 7:22am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
This week we should start now to get our "end of day" price best guess.. (based on tradingview oanda servers) My "end of day price" guess: 1.1566..
EOD guess is 1.4938
  • #141,809
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:23am Nov 5, 2021 7:23am
Last time FOMC giving clue of NFP. I think positiv.
  • #141,810
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:34am Nov 5, 2021 7:34am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
This week we should start now to get our "end of day" price best guess.. (based on tradingview oanda servers) My "end of day price" guess: 1.1566..
I'll go slightly lower at 1.1550
A wise man changes his mind, a fool never will
  • #141,811
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:36am Nov 5, 2021 7:36am
Quoting yvestrcz
Good day folks. Today I am betting on the vampire bears attempting to break lower. The slightest touch of 1.1515 would make my day. No matter what, have a great day and profit!
Hooray, I got my desired slightest touch! I call it a day and see you next week again!
  • #141,812
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:37am Nov 5, 2021 7:37am
Quoting SnaveForex
{quote} Out of this swing short for 85 pips @ 1533 better safe than sorry. NFP range now 1550 - 1520 Overshoot range 1566 - 1505
Long this 1520 bottom of range tp 1550 tp2 1590
  • #141,813
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:45am Nov 5, 2021 7:45am
Quoting MarvOli
{quote} So you are expecting a big miss on NFP this morning? We would need a 200k NFP # to see 1.1650 right? I dont have that much experience, but that is a very unlikely scenario IMO.
Nope my position was taken before NFP actually yesterday and yes I'm underwater but I'm tired of the petty back and forth crap.

The US market says - RISK ON. so I'm early to the party but I'm holding this for 1-2 weeks rather than day trading.
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #141,814
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:52am Nov 5, 2021 7:52am
Quoting SnaveForex
{quote} Long this 1520 bottom of range tp 1550 tp2 1590
tp 1550 is valid tp2 may void. I doubt we may go that high but probability is 75%
1590 seems a huge resistance. We wait it out

1527 last daily candle low
  • #141,815
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:56am Nov 5, 2021 7:56am
solid NFP data we have here ~
  • #141,816
  • Nov 5, 2021 8:04am Nov 5, 2021 8:04am
Quoting corongumet
Last time FOMC giving clue of NFP. I think positiv.
Good luck for bull
  • #141,817
  • Nov 5, 2021 8:13am Nov 5, 2021 8:13am
Quoting MarvOli
{quote} EOD guess is 1.4938
Bears running out of steam early. Time to close my short. Maybe 1.15375 EOD.
  • #141,818
  • Nov 5, 2021 8:24am Nov 5, 2021 8:24am
Oh man, I almost forgot about the vote today in the US on the Infrastructure bill. If it passes, printing more money=weaker USD. Higher EURUSD soon, but only fleeting.
  • #141,819
  • Nov 5, 2021 8:31am Nov 5, 2021 8:31am
Shorting higher is better. Let's see how far this will rise still 1550 up until 1590

Quoting SnaveForex
{quote} Long this 1520 bottom of range tp 1550 tp2 1590
Quoting SnaveForex
{quote} tp 1550 is valid tp2 may void. I doubt we may go that high but probability is 75% 1590 seems a huge resistance. We wait it out 1527 last daily candle low
  • #141,820
  • Nov 5, 2021 8:53am Nov 5, 2021 8:53am
Hi Ata, you're still keeping your longs at 1.162xx and 1.166xx ?
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