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USD/JPY: consolidation at local highs 09.08.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

USD shows a slight decline against JPY in trading during the morning session, retreating from local highs since July 27, which were updated at the end of last week amid the publication of a strong report on the US labor market for July. In particular, the American economy created 943K new jobs outside the agricultural sector, significantly exceeding market forecasts. It should be noted that this happened against the background of a sharp decline in the unemployment rate by 0.5% to 5.4%. Average Hourly Earnings in July also increased by 4.0% YoY from 3.7% YoY in June, while the forecasts assumed an increase of only 3.8% YoY.

Today, investors do not expect new drivers to appear on the market, and interesting macroeconomic statistics from Japan will appear only on Tuesday, when the July data on the dynamics of bank lending is released. In addition, analysts will pay attention to the Eco Watchers Surveys, which help assess the short-term and ultra-short-term outlook for the Japanese economy.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate flat dynamics. The price range is changing slightly, but remains rather spacious for the current level of activity in the market. MACD indicator is growing preserving a stable buy signal (located above the signal line). The indicator is also trying to consolidate above the zero level. Stochastic retains upward direction, but is located near its highs, which indicates risks of overbought USD in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 110.38, 110.68, 111.00, 111.34.
Support levels: 110.00, 109.57, 109.29, 109.00.





Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 110.38. Take-profit – 111.00. Stop loss – 110.00. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 110.38 as from resistance followed by a breakdown of 110.00 may become a signal for new sales with the target at 109.29. Stop-loss – 110.38.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: E-book

If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/JPY and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

USD/CHF: US dollar ends the week with strong growth 13.08.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Today, during the Asian session, the USD/CHF pair moves ambiguously, consolidating near the level of 0.9230 and the local highs of July 8.

The American currency is still in active demand against the background of the improving macroeconomic background in the United States. In particular, traders are analyzing last week's strong labor market report for July. Analysts believe that strong statistics will allow the US Federal Reserve to start tightening monetary policy somewhat faster than previously expected. However, given the inertia of the American regulator, it should not be ruled out that officials will not rush to take new measures until the next calendar year.

Investors are following US President Joe Biden's proposals to modernize the country's infrastructure worth $3.5T. The bill was approved by the Senate earlier in the week and is now due in the House of Representatives.

Support and resistance

Bollinger bands are actively growing on the daily chart. The price range is widening, letting the "bulls" renew local highs around 0.9300. The MACD indicator is going upwards, maintaining a solid buy signal (the histogram is above the signal line). Stochastic reached its highs and reversed into a horizontal plane, indicating that USD is strongly overbought in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 0.9241, 0.9273, 0.9300.
Support levels: 0.9200, 0.9161, 0.9128, 0.9100.



Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the breakout of 0.9241 with the target at 0.9300. Stop loss – 0.9200. Implementation period: 1–2 days.

Short positions may be opened after the rebound from 0.9241 and the breakdown of 0.9200 with the target at 0.9128. Stop loss – 0.9241.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation on USD/CHF and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CHF and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

USD/CAD: US dollar shows moderate growth 16.08.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CAD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Today during the Asian session, the USD/CAD pair grows moderately, recovering from a slight decline at the end of last week.

On Friday, USD came under significant pressure after the release of disappointing macroeconomic statistics from the US. So, at the end of August, the consumer confidence index, calculated by the University of Michigan, fell from 81.2 to 70.2 points, which was the lowest value since 2011. Analysts fear that low consumer activity could lead to a noticeable slowdown in the recovery of the American economy, which will provide an additional opportunity for the US Federal Reserve to keep the current monetary policy unchanged.

On Monday, the investors are focused on Canadian statistics on the dynamics of wholesale sales and the volume of industrial sales for June. In the USA, the Manufacturing PMI of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for August will be released. Analysts' forecasts regarding American statistics are very negative again.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger Bands reverse into a horizontal plane. The price range remains virtually unchanged and spacious enough for the current level of market activity. The MACD indicator reversed upwards and tries to form a new buy signal (the histogram should be above the signal line). Stochastic shows a similar picture, reversing upwards near the level of 20. The current readings of the indicator do not contradict the development of an upward correction in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.2554, 1.2600, 1.2650, 1.2700.
Support levels: 1.2500, 1.2439, 1.2400, 1.2352.




Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the breakout of 1.2554 with the target at 1.2650. Stop loss – 1.2500. Implementation period: 2–3 days.

Short positions may be opened after the rebound from 1.2554 and the breakdown of 1.2500 with a target at 1.2400. Stop loss – 1.2554.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

Be ready for any market changes through global events using the economic calendar on the NPBFX portal. The calendar contains all the most important events of the world economy and prognoses for them. In order to get free and unlimited access to the economic calendar and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to pass a one-time registration on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/CAD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

“You need to wait for your perfect trade and stick to the strategy”. Introducing an interview with the winner of the May’s Battle of Traders

Women’s trading in May proved its effectiveness again – the victory in the Battle of Traders was taken by a woman – Svetlana Surgai from Kharkiv. She was attracted to financial markets primarily by her interest and also by the opportunity to gain additional income. She mastered Forex trading on her own, improving her medium-term strategy on a demo account. Svetlana honestly admitted that she was dreaming to win a super prize in the Battle - iPhone 12 Pro, but she also considered the 1st place and $1000 accrued on her real trading account an excellent result. Indeed, this is the time when the figures speak for themselves: 22 out of 23 transactions on the account closed by Svetlana were profitable! She mastered to trade with chosen instruments, and actively used monitoring to increase the growth on the trading account. It was an incentive and made the Battle more exciting. Which assets does Svetlana advise to use in the future, why does she not trade cryptocurrencies, and what character traits does she consider to be decisive for be a successful Forex trader? Read the answers to these and other questions in an interesting interview with the winner.



- Svetlana, please tell us how you learned about the Battle of Traders and why you decided to take part in it?

- I found out in the Internet, there was some kind of an ad. I have already participated several times, but now it’s the first time I won. Why I'm participating? Your conditions are excellent, the prize is substantial, the time interval is good – a month. You can win a phone. Everything is fine with you, why not participate.

- What did you feel when you learned that it was your trading account that took the first place? Did you share the news on your victory with someone?

- It was so unexpected! On Friday morning I checked monitoring of the contest and it turned out that I was the first, but it was very unexpected and very pleasant, sure. Honestly, I did not share the news with anyone, because the money were not yet credited to the account. Actually, I don’t have anyone to share with, because I do not spread information on trade with anyone. This field is not interesting to my closest ones, and there are no like-minded people around me, let’s say.

If I win real money on a real account, then of course I will share.

- How long did it take you to register for the Battle of Traders?

- There is very convenient registration form, so it took less than a minute. Nothing complicated, everything is clear. Everything is fine.

- Did you achieve the goals that you set for the Battle?

- I was dreaming, of course, about iPhone. I don't have iPhone. But this is also an excellent result, because I have recently been engaged in trade - in general, for three years. This is the first time there has been such a substantial prize.

- Your trading result in May can be called excellent! The initial deposit of $5000 on your contest account has grown 23 times (up to $117 617)! What is the essence of your trading strategy? Please tell us more details.

- I use mainly the margin zones strategy. It allows you to determine the medium-term trend and reversal, the zone of profitable buys or sells. I am using a medium term strategy. The duration of the Battle – one month – allows me to apply it.

- Your trading portfolio consisted of 4 instruments: silver, two currency pairs (euro/dollar, pound/dollar) and S&P500 index. Why did you choose such instruments for trading?

- Yes, Yes and absolutely Yes. These are volatile instruments, low spreads, and they can be predicted. This is what I can do: I chose the instruments I used before.

- Do you have any experience with cryptocurrencies: bitcoin, ethereum, litecoin?

- No, I don’t have such experience. I still need to figure it out. To be honest, I have no clue about cryptocurrency. But if you can make money on it, of course, it is interesting.

- During the Battle, you made 23 transactions. And only one of them was not with profit, the remaining 22 turned out to be profitable. How did you manage your transactions so accurate? Do you use technical analysis, indicators or do you focus on fundamental analysis?

- I don't use technical analysis. I check reviews on Internet, use the advice of one analyst. I do not use indicators myself. I look through market news, but it does not affect the decision-making.

- What can you say about trading conditions with NPBFX?

- Your trading conditions are excellent! Low spreads, trades are executed in less than a second, good trading terminal. Well, everything is fine with you, I like everything.

- During the Battle, did you refer to the monitoring of all participants' accounts? How useful was it to you?

- Yes of course! I wonder where I am. Of course I monitored. It gives an incentive, adds excitement. How can you not look ?!

- Did you manage to get acquainted with our other services: Analytical portal, promotions and bonuses?

- I looked, but I don't have real money for all this yet, so I am just a window-shopper for now.

- Over the past few months, the global economy has headed for a recovery from the coronavirus crisis. Does Forex market somehow change due to this, in your opinion?

- In principle, it is always changing, it seems to me. With the coronavirus, the global economy collapsed. To be honest, in my practice I do not trace the impact of the coronavirus on trade, I don’t know. But, of course, since the coronavirus has affected the global economy, it probably also affected Forex trading.

- What advice could you give to traders for the next few months: which assets are better to trade, which strategies to use?

- Use the same volatile currencies. This, probably, is clear for every trader. Each has its own, each has its own approach, its own strategy. It is difficult to advise, I think every trader has already developed own strategy.

- $ 1000 is already credited to your real trading account with NPBFX. Are you planning to conduct the same trading on it as on a demo account in the Battle?

- Thank you! No, on a real account, probably, there will be no such excitement, here it is already more careful, of course, more restrained, you need to reduce the risks. The more you risk, the more you can earn, but you can still lose. You can be lucky or not.

- Svetlana, tell us a little about your career: what brought you to Forex - was it accidentally or was it a deliberate choice? How long have you been trading Forex?

- In Ukraine, a few years ago, probably the same three years ago, there was widespread Forex advertising campaign. I heard people make money on it. I was just interested how to earn extra money. Gradually, I somehow started with demo accounts, just to try.

- How did you study? Perhaps you attended courses, webinars or studied trading on your own from books and videos?

- Yes, I studied everything on my own. There is a lot of information on Internet.

- What character traits should a trader have in order to become a professional in Forex and achieve financial success?

- Calmness, of course, perseverance, endurance, the ability to wait for your trade and strictly adhere to the strategy.

- What is your work outside of trading, what do you do?

- I worked in a local government authority, but I quit, I’m looking for a job.

- Please tell me, where are you from, what is the name of the city where you live? Are you a family woman, what are your hobbies?

- Ukraine, Kharkiv. I am 37 years old, I am not married, my hobby is swimming, and, probably, nothing else. Actually, trade is my hobby as well.

- How widespread is Forex trading in Kharkiv, in your opinion? Are there any traders among your acquaintances?

- I have no traders among my acquaintances. It's hard to say how widespread it is in Kharkov. At the same time, there are a lot of advertisements about Forex in Ukraine, yes.

- Svetlana, would you advise your friends and acquaintances to participate in the Battle of Traders? Why?

- Of course I will, yes. I simply do not have such friends who would be interested in this. If I make real money, then, of course, they will be interested.

- What would you like to wish NPBFX and the participants of the next Battle of Traders?

- First, I want to thank your company for an excellent competition. I hope you can continue to work stably on the Forex market! I wish all traders to stay on the market as long as possible, not to lose. And the profit, I hope, will come soon.

- Thank you for participating in the competition and answering the interview questions. And may trading on NPBFX real account be as successful as on your contest account in May!

NZD/USD: NZD remains under pressure 20.08.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on NZD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

NZD is trading ambiguously against USD during today's Asian session, holding at 0.6830. Investors are looking for new drivers for growth, but no significant macroeconomic statistics are expected at the end of this week.

Meanwhile, USD continues to receive support from the minutes of the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, which reflected the willingness of the US Fed to move towards reducing existing incentives, in particular, curtailing the quantitative easing program. So far, the committee members cannot come to a consensus on the timing of the start of monetary tightening, but the trend is quite definite.

In turn, the pressure on NZD positions is exerted by a more active than expected slowdown in the growth of the Chinese economy, as well as the existing risks of the return of quarantine restrictions in several regions of the world. In New Zealand itself, a nationwide quarantine was announced this week in response to just one detected case of infection.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate active decrease. The price range is expanding; however, it fails to catch the surge of the "bearish" sentiment at the moment. MACD is going down preserving a stable sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic, having approached its lows, reversed into a horizontal plane, which signals in favor of the emergence of corrective growth of NZD in the ultra-short term.

To open new trading positions, it is necessary to wait for the signals from technical indicators to be clarified.

Resistance levels: 0.6858, 0.6900, 0.6950, 0.7000.
Support levels: 0.6800, 0.6741, 0.6707.




Trading tips

To open new short positions, one can rely on the breakdown of 0.6800. Take-profit – 0.6707. Stop-loss – 0.6858. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 0.6800 as from support followed by a breakout of 0.6858 may become a signal for new purchases with the target at 0.6950. Stop-loss – 0.6800.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: analytics

You can find more actual analytical reviews on other popular currency pairs, metals and CFDs on the NPBFX online portal. Daily analytics with charts, current market prognoses and trading scenarios in the Feed section are available. Get free and unlimited access to the online portal after registering on the official website of NPBFX Company.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on NZD/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

USD/JPY: macroeconomic statistics did not support JPY 23.08.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

USD has shown moderate gains against JPY during the Asian session, flat in the short term. As a safe-haven asset, investors are interested in USD much more than in JPY, but the growth of the instrument is still not so aggressive.

The statistics on consumer inflation in Japan released on Friday turned out to be ambiguous and did not contribute to an additional strengthening of JPY's position. The National Consumer Price Index fell 0.3% YoY in July after falling 0.5% YoY in June. Analysts had expected growth by 0.6% YoY.

At the beginning of the week, additional pressure on the position of JPY comes from the decline in the Manufacturing PMI from Jibun Bank. In August, the indicator fell from 53 to 52.4 points against the forecast of growth to 53.4 points.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart show weak growth. The price range is narrowing, pointing at the ambiguous nature of trading in the short term. MACD indicator is growing preserving a weak buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic is showing a more confident growth, signaling in favor of the development of the uptrend in the ultra-short term.

Existing long positions should be kept until technical indicators are clarified.

Resistance levels: 110.00, 110.29, 110.68, 111.00.
Support levels: 109.57, 109.34, 109.00, 108.71.





Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 110.00. Take-profit – 110.68. Stop-loss – 109.65. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

The breakdown of 109.57 may serve as a signal to new sales with the target at 109.00. Stop-loss – 109.80.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: glossary

Beginning traders certainly face a lot of specialized concepts and lexicon on FOREX, which are often not fully been understood. Swap, tick, hedge, margin calls are often unfamiliar to beginning traders. But the lack of knowledge of these fundamentals make a competent market vision impossible. So glossary on the NPBFX analytical portal could be an excellent helper in this case, which contains all the main definitions with explanations in a compact and accessible form. All concepts are arranged in alphabetical order, so that you can easily and quickly find and explore a new concept for yourself.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/JPY and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

EUR/USD: EUR quotes are reversing into correction 25.08.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

EUR is decreasing against USD during today's Asian session, correcting after an active increase early in the week, which led to the renewal of local highs of August 17.

EUR continues to receive support from the weak positions of USD, which came under pressure from uncertainty around the further policy of the US Fed. At the moment, investors are awaiting the annual Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium, but it is likely that the Chair of the US Fed, Jerome Powell, will confine himself to updated forecasts and assumptions, especially in light of the latest macroeconomic statistics.

Additional support for EUR yesterday was provided by a very optimistic macroeconomic statistics from Germany. In Q2 2021, GDP grew by 1.6% QoQ, which turned out to be better than the previous estimate by 0.1% QoQ. In annual terms, the growth rates of the largest European economy were also revised upward from +9.6% YoY to +9.8% YoY.

Support and resistance

In the D1 chart, Bollinger Bands are reversing horizontally. The price range is narrowing from above, reflecting the emergence of ambiguous dynamics in the short term. MACD indicator is growing, while preserving a rather stable buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic keeps its upward direction but is rapidly approaching its highs, which reflects the risks of overbought EUR in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.1764, 1.1800, 1.1849, 1.1900.
Support levels: 1.1700, 1.1657, 1.1600.


Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 1.1764. Take-profit – 1.1849. Stop-loss – 1.1715. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

The breakdown of 1.1700 may serve as a signal to new sales with the target at 1.1600. Stop-loss – 1.1750.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: E-book

If you just recently started to be interested in trading on FOREX and would like to deepen your knowledge, an electronic Beginner's Guide to FOREX Trading will be an excellent helper for you here. The book consists of 5 chapters and reflects fundamental concepts of the foreign exchange market to start successful trading. From the main chapters of the E-book you can learn about the concepts and history of FOREX, currencies and trend lines, technical indicators, types of orders, trading on news, psychology of trading, risk management and much more.

You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

USD/JPY: yen falls amid deteriorating COVID-19 situation 27.08.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Due to Japan's introduction of the next emergency regime, the USD/JPY pair corrects, trading around 109.93.

The situation with the spread of the COVID-19 virus in the country is getting more complicated. The authorities record an increase in new cases of the disease every day. Therefore, at a meeting of the expert commission held yesterday, it was decided to introduce an emergency regime in 8 more prefectures. Thus, it already operates in 21 out of 47 districts, which implies significant restrictive measures and a curfew. The country's economy is in stagnation, and activity indicators have not changed for the third month in a row: the core CPI in Tokyo in August remained at 0.0%, while the CPI excluding food and energy increased by 0.1%. If the government continues to impose restrictions, the economy may slow down again, negatively affecting JPY.

USD remains neutral. At the US Federal Reserve Symposium, held in Jackson Hole, the first day ended. The speeches of the heads of the regional Federal Reserve banks were quite predictable for the market. Thus, the head of the bank of Kansas City, Esther George, as expected, recommended starting the curtailment of the asset purchase program as early as possible since the US economy is growing at a significant pace. Investors are awaiting today's speech by the head of the US Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, hoping to receive a detailed answer regarding the next steps of the regulator.

Support and resistance

The asset moves within the global upward channel. Technical indicators are uncertain, preparing for growth: the Alligator indicator’s fast EMAs crossed the signal line upwards, and the AO oscillator histogram approached the transition level.

Support levels: 109.00, 107.45.
Resistance levels: 110.53, 111.63.


Trading tips

After reversal and growth or consolidation above 110.53, buy positions with the target at 111.63 are relevant. Stop loss – 110.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

After decline or consolidation below 109.00, sell positions with the target at 107.45 are relevant. Stop loss – 109.50.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: weekly FOREX forecast

You can learn more about the current situation on USD/JPY and get acquainted with the weekly analytical forecast in the "Video reviews" section on the NPBFX portal. Weekly video reviews contain trends, key levels, trading recommendations for such popular instruments as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD. In order to get free and unlimited access to video forecast and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/JPY and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

GBP/USD: the pound consolidates, waiting for new drivers 30.08.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on GBP/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Today during the Asian session, the GBP/USD pair grows, developing an upward momentum.

Positive dynamics formed at the end of last week when USD began a downward correction due to the speech of the head of the US Federal Reserve Jerome Powell at the annual symposium of the regulator in Jackson Hole. As expected, the official did not go into specifics, although he stressed that the volume of the quantitative easing program might be reduced by the end of the current calendar year. Powell paid a lot of attention to the reasons for high inflation and also explained why, in his opinion, price pressure would begin to subside soon.

On Monday, markets in the UK are closed for a national holiday, so trading activity is expected to be moderate. There are no US key macroeconomic statistics scheduled during the day. It is worth paying attention only to the July Pending Home Sales.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger Bands smoothly reverse horizontally. The price range narrows from below, reflecting the emergence of ambiguous trading dynamics in the short term. MACD grows, maintaining a poor buy signal (the histogram is above the signal line). Stochastic, reached the level of 80, tries to reverse downwards, indicating that GBP may become overbought in the ultra-short term.

It is better to wait for the signals from technical indicators to be clarified.

Resistance levels: 1.3800, 1.3857, 1.3900, 1.3960.
Support levels: 1.3750, 1.3700, 1.3650, 1.3600.





Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the breakout of 1.3800 with the target at 1.3900. Stop loss – 1.3750. Implementation period: 2–3 days.

Short positions may be opened after the rebound from 1.3800 and the breakdown of 1.3750 with the target at 1.3650. Stop loss – 1.3800.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

Be ready for any market changes through global events using the economic calendar on the NPBFX portal. The calendar contains all the most important events of the world economy and prognoses for them. In order to get free and unlimited access to the economic calendar and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to pass a one-time registration on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on GBP/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

GBP/USD: the pound develops a corrective downward trend 01.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on GBP/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Today, during the Asian session, the GBP/USD pair declines, developing unstable corrective dynamics of recent days and testing the level of 1.3730 for a breakdown. Yesterday, GBP grew actively and renewed local highs of August 17 but then the “bullish” dynamics weakened.

Yesterday’s macroeconomic statistics from United Kingdom and the USA were ambiguous, and therefore did not have a noticeable effect on the pair. Thus, British investors were disappointed with the July decrease in consumer lending with a simultaneous decrease in the number of approved mortgage applications from 80.272K for June to 75.2K for July.

On Wednesday, investors are awaiting the release of data on British and US PMI for August. Also, the US will publish a preliminary report on ADP Nonfarm Payrolls.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger bands steadily decline. The price range narrows, reflecting the emergence of ambiguous trading dynamics in the short term. MACD noticeably slows down its growth. However, it maintains a poor buy signal (the histogram is above the signal line). Stochastic has reversed downwards and indicates the prospect of a correctional decline in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.3750, 1.3800, 1.3857, 1.3900.
Support levels: 1.3700, 1.3650, 1.3600, 1.3552.





Trading tips

Short positions may be opened after the breakdown of 1.3700 with the target at 1.3600. Stop loss – 1.3750. Implementation period: 2–3 days.

Long positions may be opened after the breakout of 1.3800 with the target at 1.3900. Stop loss – 1.3750.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: economic calendar

Be ready for any market changes through global events using the economic calendar on the NPBFX portal. The calendar contains all the most important events of the world economy and prognoses for them. In order to get free and unlimited access to the economic calendar and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to pass a one-time registration on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on GBP/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

Brent Crude Oil: OPEC+ decision supports oil quotes 03.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Brent Crude Oil for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Benchmark Brent Crude Oil prices grow, trading around $72.77 a barrel.

Market participants positively assess the efforts of OPEC+ to gradually return the oil production levels to the values of the end of 2019. However, at the moment, this figure is still below even the established quota. August data increased by 290K barrels against 400K, determined by the cartel members at the July meeting. Representatives of the organization noted that this was because some countries were still unable to maintain high energy production levels due to reduced production capacity and technical failures. First of all, they were talking about Nigeria and Angola.

The recent OPEC report also demonstrated commitment to the current agreements, according to which the volume of oil production began to rise smoothly. In Algeria, the figure rose to 0.91M barrels per day, in Iraq – to 2.49M, in Kuwait – to 2.43M, in Libya – to 1.17M, in Saudi Arabia – to 9.40M. In the United Arab Emirates, production rose to 2.72M barrels.

Support and resistance

Globally, the asset moves within the corrective downward channel. Technical indicators keep a buy signal: Indicator Alligator’s EMA fluctuations range actively expands, and the histogram of the AO oscillator grows in the buy zone.

Resistance levels: 75.10, 77.47.
Support levels: 70.72, 66.96.



Trading tips

After global growth or consolidation above the local resistance level of 75.10, buy positions with the target at 77.47 are relevant. Stop loss is 74.00. Implementation period: 7 days or more.

After reversal and decline or consolidation below the local support of 70.72, sell positions with a target at 66.96 are relevant. Stop loss is 72.00.

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USD/CHF: the instrument shows corrective growth 06.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/CHF for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Today during the Asian session, the USD/CHF pair actively grows, retesting the level of 0.9150 a breakout.

A noticeable pressure on USD is exerted by the report on the US labor market for August, published last Friday. US Nonfarm Payrolls were only 235K, while the consolidated market forecast assumed an increase of 750K. At the same time, the corresponding July indicator was revised upwards from 943K to 1,053K.

On Monday, Trading activity is expected to be low as US markets are closed for Labor Day. Nevertheless, investors have enough macroeconomic statistics at their disposal for further analysis. Important data from Switzerland will appear only on Tuesday when the August unemployment rate is released and the dynamics of foreign exchange reserves.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger bands are moving flat. The price range narrows slightly from above, remaining spacious enough for the current level of market activity. The MACD indicator stretches along the zero line, forming ambiguous trading signals. Stochastic shows a similar picture, developing ambiguous dynamics approximately in the center of its working area.

It is better to wait to clarify signals from technical indicators to open new trading positions for the instrument.

Resistance levels: 0.9166, 0.9200, 0.9241, 0.9273.
Support levels: 0.9126, 0.9100, 0.9073, 0.9036.





Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the breakout of 0.9166 with the target at 0.9241. Stop loss – 0.9126. Implementation period: 2-3 days.

Short positions may be opened after the breakdown of 0.9126 with the target at 0.9073. Stop loss – 0.9160.

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GBP/USD: GBP is developing "bearish" momentum 08.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on GBP/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

GBP is slightly declining against USD during today's Asian session, developing a strong "bearish" momentum formed the day before. In addition to a number of technical factors, as well as growing corrective sentiment in favor of USD, GBP/USD was pressured on Tuesday by Boris Johnson's intentions to take an unpopular measure and raise taxes for a number of taxpayers in order to overcome the current health system crisis in the country. Johnson's proposal has already been criticized by his party members, but the COVID-19 epidemic has exposed significant healthcare system problems not only in the UK.

Meanwhile, yesterday's macroeconomic statistics from the UK provided minor support to GBP. Halifax House Prices index in August accelerated from +0.4% to +0.7% MoM. On an annualized basis, however, the indicator slowed down from +7.6% YoY/3m to +7.1% YoY/3m, which turned out to be better than market forecasts at +5.5% YoY/3m.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart show active growth. The price range is narrowing rapidly, reflecting a sharp change of trend in the ultra-short term. MACD reversed downwards having formed a weak sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic shows a more confident and protracted decline and is currently rapidly approaching its lows, indicating the risks of oversold GBP in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.3800, 1.3857, 1.3900, 1.3960.
Support levels: 1.3750, 1.3700, 1.3650, 1.3600.





Trading tips

To open new short positions, one can rely on the breakdown of 1.3750. Take-profit – 1.3650. Stop-loss – 1.3800. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 1.3750 as from support followed by a breakout of 1.3800 may become a signal for new purchases with the target at 1.3900. Stop-loss – 1.3750.

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EUR/USD: EUR develops weak corrective impetus 10.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

EUR shows insignificant growth against USD during today's Asian session, developing a weak corrective impetus formed yesterday. Since the beginning of the week, EUR has been actively declining, like most other currencies paired with USD, waiting for new drivers to appear on the market.

Yesterday, investors were focused on the results of the meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB) on the interest rate, which was expected to clarify the issue of reducing the existing incentives. The key interest rate remained unchanged at zero level, while the deposit rate remained at the level of –0.5%. As for the volume of ECB's pandemic emergency purchase program (PEPP), it has also been kept at the same level of EUR 1.85T. The volume of the quantitative easing program is supposed to remain unchanged at least until March, provided that the existing economic and epidemiological risks remain. As before, the European regulator promised to closely monitor the development of the situation and immediately take measures if necessary.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart show weak growth. The price range is narrowing, reflecting the emergence of ambiguous dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD is declining keeping a weak sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic keeps a downward direction but is already approaching its lows, which indicates the risks of oversold EUR in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.1849, 1.1900, 1.1950, 1.2000.
Support levels: 1.1800, 1.1741, 1.1700, 1.1657.


Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 1.1849. Take-profit – 1.1950. Stop-loss – 1.1800. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

The return of a "bearish" trend with the breakdown of 1.1800 may become a signal for new sales with the target at 1.1741. Stop-loss – 1.1835.

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Use the current recommendations of analysts on EUR/USD and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

AUD/USD: AUD remains under pressure 13.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on AUD/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

AUD is trading near 0.7350 in the Asian session.

Market activity at the beginning of the week remains moderate, as the macroeconomic calendar is almost empty. Traders continue to discuss the prospects for reducing existing incentives from the world's leading financial regulators. It is assumed that this week the European Central Bank (ECB) may announce a reduction in the volume of the quantitative easing program, which will put additional pressure on the US Fed, which is still inclined to take a wait-and-see attitude.

The positive influence on the market sentiment had a telephone conversation between the US and Chinese presidents last Friday. Joe Biden and Xi Jinping spoke in favor of preventing competition from escalating into new trade conflicts, which strengthened the position of the Asia-Pacific region currencies.

Noteworthy statistics from Australia will appear on the market only tomorrow, when the speech of the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Philip Lowe, and the Assistant Governor (Economic) Luci Ellis.

Support and resistance

On the D1 chart, Bollinger Bands are gradually reversing horizontally. The price range is narrowing from below, reflecting the emergence of ambiguous dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD is going down, keeping a fairly stable sell signal (located below the signal line). The indicator is about to test the zero level for a breakdown. Stochastic retains a steady downtrend but is located in close proximity to its lows, which indicates the risks of oversold instrument in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 0.7370, 0.7414, 0.7443, 0.7475.
Support levels: 0.7328, 0.7300, 0.7268, 0.7221.


Trading tips

To open new short positions, one can rely on the breakdown of 0.7328. Take-profit – 0.7268. Stop-loss – 0.7360. Implementation time: 1-2 days.

A rebound from 0.7328 as from support followed by a breakout of 0.7370 may become a signal for new purchases with the target at 0.7443. Stop-loss – 0.7328.

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EUR/USD: EUR consolidates in anticipation of new drivers 15.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on EUR/USD for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

EUR shows insignificant growth against USD during today's Asian session, consolidating near the level of 1.1800. The day before, EUR/USD failed to record positive dynamics, despite the fact that during the day the "bulls" clearly dominated the market.

EUR quotes failed to show growth even against the background of weak data from the US, which significantly reduced expectations of active actions from the US Fed aimed at tightening monetary policy until the end of this year. Consumer Price Index excluding Food and Energy, slowed down in August from +0.3% MoM to +0.1% MoM, which was worse than projected. In annual terms, the index slowed down from +4.3% YoY to +4.0% YoY against a forecast of +4.2% YoY. The inflation rate dropped to the lowest level in the last 6 months, which may signal that prices are going to a certain plateau as economic activity in the country recovers.

Support and resistance

On the D1 chart, Bollinger Bands are gradually reversing horizontally. The price range is narrowing, reflecting the emergence of ambiguous dynamics of trading in the short term. MACD is going down, keeping a fairly stable sell signal (located below the signal line). Stochastic, having rebounded from the level of "20", reversed towards growth, signaling in favor of the development of corrective dynamics in the ultra-short term.

Resistance levels: 1.1850, 1.1900, 1.1950, 1.2000.
Support levels: 1.1800, 1.1769, 1.1741, 1.1700.



Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the rebound from the support level of 1.1800 with the subsequent breakout of 1.1850. Take-profit – 1.1950. Stop-loss – 1.1800. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

The breakdown of 1.1769 may serve as a signal to new sales with the target at 1.1700. Stop-loss – 1.1800.

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Brent Crude Oil: prices are holding near $75 per barrel 17.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Brent Crude Oil for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Brent Crude Oil prices are showing ambiguous dynamics, trading near $75 per barrel.

Yesterday, the instrument moderately declined in response to USD growth and the reduction of risks related to the slow recovery of oil production in the Gulf of Mexico. Utilities were impacted by Hurricane Nicholas, which hit Texas earlier this week.

The quotes were supported this week by the data on the dynamics of oil reserves in American warehouses. So, for the week of September 10, the US Department of Energy reported a sharp decrease in the indicator by 6.422M barrels after a decrease by 1.529M barrels over the previous period. Also, the asset is responding positively to the moderate recovery in demand. International reports show that global energy consumption is approaching 100M barrels per day, the highest since 2019.

Support and resistance

Bollinger bands grow steadily on the daily chart. The price range expands but not as fast as the “bullish” activity develops. MACD grows, maintaining a strong buy signal (the histogram is above the signal line). Stochastic approached its highs, and reversed into a horizontal plane, signaling that the instrument is strongly overbought in the ultra-short term.

A correctional decline may develop in the nearest time intervals.

Resistance levels: 75.63, 77.00, 78.28.
Support levels: 74.00, 73.00, 71.80, 71.00.



Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the breakout of 75.63 with the target at 78.28. Stop loss – 74.00. Implementation period: 1–2 days.

Short positions may be opened after the rebound from 75.63 and the breakdown of 74.00 with the target at 71.80. Stop loss – 75.63.

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Oil price is too high not sustainable for the world

USD/JPY: USD is testing the level of 110.00 again 20.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on USD/JPY for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

USD is trading ambiguously against JPY in Asia, consolidating near strong resistance at 110.00. Last Friday, USD made unsuccessful attempts to test this level, but at that moment it did not have enough "bullish" potential.

Among other things, the stats on the level of consumer confidence put pressure on the positions of USD. Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in September rose from 70.3 to 71 points, which was significantly worse than the forecasts at 72.2 points.

Today, noteworthy publications of macroeconomic statistics are not expected, however, on Wednesday the activity in the market may sharply increase, since the meetings of the Bank of Japan and the US Federal Reserve are scheduled for that day.

Support and resistance

Bollinger Bands in D1 chart demonstrate flat dynamics. The price range is slightly narrowing from above, being spacious enough for the current activity level in the market. MACD indicator is growing preserving a weak buy signal (located above the signal line). Stochastic grows more actively but is rapidly approaching its highs, which reflects risks of the overbought USD in the ultra-short term.

Existing long positions should be kept in the short and/or ultra-short term until the signals from technical indicators clear up.

Resistance levels: 110.00, 110.29, 110.68, 111.00.
Support levels: 109.57, 109.34, 109.00, 108.71.


Trading tips

To open long positions, one can rely on the breakout of 110.00. Take-profit – 110.68. Stop-loss – 109.70. Implementation time: 2-3 days.

The rebound from 110.00 as from resistance, with the subsequent breakdown of 109.57, can become a signal to new sales with target at 109.00. Stop-loss – 109.80.

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You can read a Beginner's guide to FOREX Trading online or download it free of charge from the NPBFX analytical portal in the "Education" section. In order to get unlimited access to the E-book and other useful instruments on the portal, you need to register on the NPBFX website.

If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on USD/JPY and trade efficiently with NPBFX.

Brent Crude Oil: quotes are developing a "bullish" momentum 23.09.2021

Good afternoon, dear forum visitors!

NPBFX offers the latest release of analytics on Brent Crude Oil for a better understanding of the current market situation and more efficient trading.

Current trend

Prices for Brent Crude Oil rose moderately during the morning session on September 22, developing the uncertain "bullish" momentum that had formed yesterday.

Market activity remains subdued, as traders are in no hurry to open new positions ahead of the publication of the long-awaited minutes of the US Federal Reserve meeting. The American regulator is expected to start timing the reduction of the quantitative easing (QE) program and renewed forecasts for economic growth soon.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) report on oil reserves, published on Tuesday, moderately supported the asset. For the week of September 17, stocks in US warehouses fell by 6.108M barrels after falling by 5.437M barrels in the previous period. This reduction was the most significant since July this year.

Support and resistance

On the daily chart, Bollinger bands grow moderately. The price range expands while remaining spacious enough for the current level of market activity. MACD indicator smoothly reverses into an ascending plane, maintaining the previous sell signal (the histogram is below the signal line). Stochastic shows a more confident decline, being approximately in the center of its working area.

To open new trading positions, it is better to wait until the signals from technical indicators are clarified.

Resistance levels: 75.63, 77.00, 78.28, 79.26.
Support levels: 74.00, 73.00, 71.80, 71.00.


Trading tips

Long positions may be opened after the breakout of 75.63 with the target at 78.28. Stop loss 74.50. Implementation period: 2–3 days.

Short positions may be opened after the rebound from 75.63 and the breakdown of 74.00 with the target at 71.80. Stop loss — 75.63.

Use more opportunities of the NPBFX analytical portal: trading signals for commodities

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If you have any questions about trading instruments, you can always ask an analyst in the online chat on the portal and get a free consultation of an experienced specialist.

Use the current recommendations of analysts on Brent Crude Oil and trade efficiently with NPBFX.