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  • #139,101
  • Sep 3, 2021 1:31am Sep 3, 2021 1:31am
As the sentiment is getting increasingly bearish, I'd expect NFP to spike up into 1.19 and above before falling, as an aggressive way of balancing the sides. In other words, banks making money.

1st target on the low side would be 1.185.
  • #139,102
  • Sep 3, 2021 1:53am Sep 3, 2021 1:53am
my view

If we stay below 1.1875 I can think about short...otherwise long
14.30h news
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #139,103
  • Sep 3, 2021 3:47am Sep 3, 2021 3:47am
Reach at 1.19
  • #139,104
  • Sep 3, 2021 4:22am Sep 3, 2021 4:22am
Quoting Fahiz
Reach at 1.19
Anything can happen. We are close to there to say the least. Considering the broadening zig-zag on M5, market is now temporarily indifferent, and I would not be surprised to see it go up further, substantially. At least the last time I saw this the market went up afterwards... but again, anything can happen.
  • #139,105
  • Sep 3, 2021 5:00am Sep 3, 2021 5:00am
Morning all, hope you're great. Bears seem alright so far, they have already passed today's opening pivot, 1H.
  • #139,106
  • Sep 3, 2021 6:11am Sep 3, 2021 6:11am
Flight is waiting for Passengers

Then it will decide to take North 1.1898 - 1.1906 or South 1.1847 - 1.1837


I think that 10 Traders should give a Logic Of Trend Up

and Exactly the Opposite of that

1 Trader should give a Logic of Trend Down

A Healthy Discussion Both Technically and Fundamentally
  • #139,107
  • Sep 3, 2021 6:39am Sep 3, 2021 6:39am
Hi,
have been busy and could not share my entry. I have taken the short at 1,18795 with a sl of 6 pips. Targets are the blue lines.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_20210903_133428.jpg Size: 249 KB

I will hold it until NFP... a little bit gambling...

Best
Chriss
  • #139,108
  • Sep 3, 2021 6:56am Sep 3, 2021 6:56am
Quoting lucky1359
Flight is waiting for Passengers Then it will decide to take North 1.1898 - 1.1906 or South 1.1847 - 1.1837 I think that 10 Traders should give a Logic Of Trend Up and Exactly the Opposite of that 1 Trader should give a Logic of Trend Down A Healthy Discussion Both Technically and Fundamentally
No need of logic for a trend, it has been there since the 20 of August, I think the numbers will decide to terminate it or give it an additional push...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: bafa242320dd8215948edd344908fbdf.png Size: 200 KB

My bet is for an additional push, counting also that next week is the ECB meeting which could push it again and more near the 1.20s

My 2 cents,
Good luck to all !
Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication.
  • #139,109
  • Sep 3, 2021 7:01am Sep 3, 2021 7:01am
Quoting lucky1359
Flight is waiting for Passengers Then it will decide to take North 1.1898 - 1.1906 or South 1.1847 - 1.1837 I think that 10 Traders should give a Logic Of Trend Up and Exactly the Opposite of that 1 Trader should give a Logic of Trend Down A Healthy Discussion Both Technically and Fundamentally
What I would like to see happen is this :

Attachment g
However I have my doubts and they continue to grow.

The expected number of 750,000 means what? Well a number greater than that means that the economy is still hot and inflation worries would abound but I find that scenario highly unlikely

If the expected number is hit well what does it mean? Nothing - life as normal. In this case easy money contunes and EU should rise.

If the expected number is much lower then FED taper is OFF until 2022 and the party continues with liftoff to 1.1950ish.

But what do I know...
Attached Image
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #139,110
  • Sep 3, 2021 7:11am Sep 3, 2021 7:11am
With such a selling sentiment... no wonder bulls still have the appetite to wipe out more short trades.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: sentiment.jpg Size: 85 KB
  • #139,111
  • Sep 3, 2021 7:31am Sep 3, 2021 7:31am
A vision without action is merely a dream.
  • #139,112
  • Edited 7:46am Sep 3, 2021 7:32am | Edited 7:46am
whooooosh!

Wow that number is ABYSMAL.
A wise man changes his mind, a fool never will
  • #139,113
  • Sep 3, 2021 7:32am Sep 3, 2021 7:32am
Quoting 0pticFalleN
right right
what I talked about it goes up!!!!
Change is never easy, but always possible
  • #139,114
  • Sep 3, 2021 7:34am Sep 3, 2021 7:34am
Wooooooo !
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #139,115
  • Sep 3, 2021 7:34am Sep 3, 2021 7:34am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 6107ba98341efd6aab807aaaa22ca45d.png Size: 46 KB

wow
Trends have a higher probability of continuing than not.
  • #139,116
  • Sep 3, 2021 7:38am Sep 3, 2021 7:38am
Quoting lucky1359
Flight is waiting for Passengers Then it will decide to take North 1.1898 - 1.1906 or South 1.1847 - 1.1837 I think that 10 Traders should give a Logic Of Trend Up and Exactly the Opposite of that 1 Trader should give a Logic of Trend Down A Healthy Discussion Both Technically and Fundamentally

Precisely to 1.1906
  • #139,117
  • Sep 3, 2021 7:42am Sep 3, 2021 7:42am
Fed focus about unemployment rate. If its down its become tapering. But lets see next 4 hours.
  • #139,118
  • Sep 3, 2021 7:45am Sep 3, 2021 7:45am
Hmmm, let's see how this gets resolved. It might as well be a beautiful shooting start at the closing of both H1 and H4 candles.
  • #139,119
  • Sep 3, 2021 7:46am Sep 3, 2021 7:46am
Short triggered hehe
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #139,120
  • Sep 3, 2021 7:57am Sep 3, 2021 7:57am
Quoting Endoephemera
{quote} What the hell are they doing? The down after the up spike is wrong.
Stop hunting, possibly. Or the fact that unemployment ticked down ever-so-slightly might have dulled the impact of the abysmal NFE number. Then again, heading back up again now so it just looks like we have a new range from 1.1908 > 1.1865.
A wise man changes his mind, a fool never will
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