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  • #139,001
  • Sep 1, 2021 8:14am Sep 1, 2021 8:14am
Quoting jonasdao
{quote} Edit: I mean: do you really believe, that the USD is still seen more as a safe haven then the EUR?
ABSOLUTELY! Think back to the Greek crisis in 2008? Look at the hassle between the UK and EU over Brexit!

The "main" problem between EU and USA is the number of participants. The USA only has to worry that Democrats and Republicans don't kill each other. The EU has too many countries, each with their own socialists, tori's, conservatives, green party, etc., so a consensus is much more difficult.

Look at the pandemic and how the FED in the USA handled it vs. EUR.

Admittedly I am bias to the USD as a safe haven currency over EU. Back to the regularly scheduled chat.
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #139,002
  • Sep 1, 2021 8:15am Sep 1, 2021 8:15am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Here are my DAILY levels for today (based on tomorrow's levels) and the Cypher I was talking about... {image}
I was counting , and this chart increase my confidence in bull above 1.1922. For bull 1.1922 must be crossed or touched the 1.1924 level for further advance to target 1.2400 Level . For aggressive guys Stop Level can be 1.1724 TP 1.2400 (Only for aggressive) For safe , Buy touch above 1.1922
Neither a Bro Nor a Pro I am I
  • #139,003
  • Sep 1, 2021 8:19am Sep 1, 2021 8:19am
Quoting post
ECB’s Weidmann: ECB Should Not Disregard Risk Of Too Fast Inflation -PEPP Should Be Scaled Back Gradually Before It Ends -Upside Risks To Inflation Outlook Predominate The way ECB members have started to talk after the latest EU area inflation figure released yesterday, an upside pressure in building for EUR/USD Bull Case , though this weeks NFP is the key for any meaningful bull run for EU I guess Trade safe Happy Trading
Yes i noticed that also,

everybody thinking about the FED and forgetting about the ECB.
Trends have a higher probability of continuing than not.
  • #139,004
  • Sep 1, 2021 8:35am Sep 1, 2021 8:35am
Quoting eurusd-thijs
{quote} Yes i noticed that also, everybody thinking about the FED and forgetting about the ECB.
That is so true but for right now it's the USD weakness driving the pair.

If the 10:00 EST PMI is light I believe it will be the green light for the pair to skyrocket upward because basically it would keep the FED from tapering.
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #139,005
  • Sep 1, 2021 8:49am Sep 1, 2021 8:49am
Quoting jonasdao
long @ 1.1823 tight mental SL SL BE as soon as price above 1.1833 TP ~ @ 1.186
closed @ 1.1847
+24 pips

waiting for ISM at the sidelines
When the trumpet sounds, you won't be able to hear the techno anymore.
  • #139,006
  • Sep 1, 2021 8:50am Sep 1, 2021 8:50am
Quoting SiamonSings
{quote} Have the same thought. My DXY1H100 MA is waiting at 92.8. {image}
DXY1H100MA resisted as expected.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screen Shot 2021-09-01 at 6.45.44 AM.png Size: 123 KB


Trying a risky short here. Sell active at 1.18450, TP open. Will accept loss if the current 1H candle closes above 18460

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screen Shot 2021-09-01 at 6.49.11 AM.png Size: 221 KB
  • #139,007
  • Sep 1, 2021 8:52am Sep 1, 2021 8:52am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 6321da632135fd17d61fdcef4f6404ac.png Size: 23 KB


Data Manipulation No Big Difference Between EUR & USD Markit Manufacturing PMI


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: c87cb16d0830ec8a5d9da63167f7acb6.png Size: 25 KB
  • #139,008
  • Sep 1, 2021 9:17am Sep 1, 2021 9:17am
Quoting SiamonSings
{quote} DXY1H100MA resisted as expected. {image} Trying a risky short here. Sell active at 1.18450, TP open. Will accept loss if the current 1H candle closes above 18460 {image}
Closing for +7 pips.
  • #139,009
  • Sep 1, 2021 9:24am Sep 1, 2021 9:24am
Quoting SiamonSings
{quote} Closing for +7 pips.
lets try sell on high again, i believe before NFP eurusd will fall because taking profit moment
  • #139,010
  • Sep 1, 2021 9:25am Sep 1, 2021 9:25am
Starting my 2nd short order (scalper) method here at 1.1846... Main short order waits under draw down.. Same old same old..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #139,011
  • Sep 1, 2021 9:34am Sep 1, 2021 9:34am
Quoting anilamil
{quote} lets try sell on high again, i believe before NFP eurusd will fall because taking profit moment
Sold again @18465. Open SL and TP
  • #139,012
  • Sep 1, 2021 9:44am Sep 1, 2021 9:44am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Starting my 2nd short order (scalper) method here at 1.1846... Main short order waits under draw down.. Same old same old..
what SL and TP ata? i prepare to sell above 1854...
  • #139,013
  • Sep 1, 2021 9:55am Sep 1, 2021 9:55am
1.1867 is my R2 daily
Trends have a higher probability of continuing than not.
  • #139,014
  • Sep 1, 2021 9:55am Sep 1, 2021 9:55am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Meanwhile I am placing a pending sell limit at 1.1837.. Mental stop goes to 1.1867.. *45 more minutes until H4 candle close: remember the spikes folks.. remember the spikes!
Hey! I'm trying to understand why you felt the price could fall from that level. Clearly you were right to make the bet, just that I don't yet see why. If I'm not mistaken the price was still around 1.1825 when you made that call. Thanks in advance!
  • #139,015
  • Sep 1, 2021 10:02am Sep 1, 2021 10:02am
Quoting anilamil
{quote} what SL and TP ata? i prepare to sell above 1854...
My scalpers always have 10 to 15 pips targets.. mental stops should go above 1.1867..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #139,016
  • Sep 1, 2021 10:03am Sep 1, 2021 10:03am
Quoting crackmyback
{quote} Hey! I'm trying to understand why you felt the price could fall from that level. Clearly you were right to make the bet, just that I don't yet see why. If I'm not mistaken the price was still around 1.1825 when you made that call. Thanks in advance!
A potential bearish cypher on DAILY.. It is valid as long as bulls can't touch 1.1880..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #139,017
  • Sep 1, 2021 10:12am Sep 1, 2021 10:12am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} A potential bearish cypher on DAILY.. It is valid as long as bulls can't touch 1.1880..
Thanks! Also, is that also your motivation behind the two shorts that you just placed?
  • #139,018
  • Sep 1, 2021 10:12am Sep 1, 2021 10:12am
Quoting Kyuu
Don't think we'll make it, but got a short entry at 1.1753
Triggered, TP open. This is the turning point for me, either we drop to 1.15-1.165 from here or we keep goin up
  • #139,019
  • Sep 1, 2021 10:25am Sep 1, 2021 10:25am
got 2 sell positions, 1 is scalping following ata , TP 1836, and another one will move SL to BE with TP 1.1415 , because i am waiting friday taking profit day, maybe the butterfly pattern on daily will work.

and USD is on supply demand in H4...so lets make a wish
  • #139,020
  • Sep 1, 2021 10:33am Sep 1, 2021 10:33am
Went short at 1.1850 based on the hourly fib and developing MACD divergence. Only targeting a 38% retracement at the 1.1830ish area so yeah I guess this is a scalping order.
...because you never know - until you do!
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