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  • #138,081
  • Aug 17, 2021 5:34am Aug 17, 2021 5:34am
This looks dangerous: a possible failure at the Keltinger band
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR4021.png Size: 81 KB
  • #138,082
  • Aug 17, 2021 5:37am Aug 17, 2021 5:37am
Quoting macdulio
This looks dangerous: a possible failure at the Keltinger band {image}
Dangerous for who, the bear or the bull
  • #138,083
  • Aug 17, 2021 5:39am Aug 17, 2021 5:39am
Quoting izzas
{quote} Dangerous for who, the bear or the bull
you may end up seeing the opposite of this move:

https://forexfore.blog/2021/07/17/keltinger-moat/
  • #138,084
  • Aug 17, 2021 5:42am Aug 17, 2021 5:42am
EURUSD, M30
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #138,085
  • Aug 17, 2021 7:11am Aug 17, 2021 7:11am
Quoting fxsport
{quote} Curious - How do YOU gauge sentiment? Personally - I keep expecting a quick 5-10% drop in equities in the coming 3 weeks. I believe that translates into a risk off trade (seasonal USD trade) Looking to stay short as long as price is under 1.11820.
I don't do fundamentals at all. Am only checking on the ratio of retail buyers and sellers and/or the volumes they have allocated to either buying or selling, if available. Intraday retail traders have the freedom to decide whether to go with the herd or against it. Looks as if quite often, prevalence of retails buyers make bear market makers want their money. This market is always about getting others' assets at the end of the day, isn't it?
  • #138,086
  • Aug 17, 2021 7:45am Aug 17, 2021 7:45am
does FF is down few moments ago when news up ?
  • #138,087
  • Aug 17, 2021 7:50am Aug 17, 2021 7:50am
Quoting Robinhood1
Going down slowly but steady like a snowball. Maybe turning wild like a snowball sorry Algo, can´t win all the time Its called natural law
like a snowball
POSTMASTER
  • #138,088
  • Aug 17, 2021 7:52am Aug 17, 2021 7:52am
Finally I can close my main order from 1.1747 here at 1.1745 with +2 pips... But additionally collected +21 pips from repeatedly scalp-selling with my 2nd order methodology as usual.. I am on side lines now.. I want to be sure if this is not a bear trap.. No rush!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #138,089
  • Aug 17, 2021 7:54am Aug 17, 2021 7:54am
Quoting Endoephemera
{quote} Yeah, all the retails flocking to see what they should do. The answer is nobody has a clue
Shitty monthly retail sales, still USD getting stronger. These news is really just to trigger a volatility clash, with a few exceptions which regard interest rates and money supply.
  • #138,090
  • Aug 17, 2021 7:54am Aug 17, 2021 7:54am
The 11700 +- support could end up in shreds. My 2 cents
POSTMASTER
  • #138,091
  • Aug 17, 2021 7:54am Aug 17, 2021 7:54am
Quoting Robinhood1
{quote} like a snowball
Going against the news, in my opinion, it is a false move, let's see.
  • #138,092
  • Aug 17, 2021 7:55am Aug 17, 2021 7:55am
Still on my outlook today on EURUSD .
Fiber is moving closing to the predicted point which is the next VERIFIED support level @ 1.17245 after breaking the Demarcating Verified support level .

POSSIBLE MARKET MOVES REMAIN THE SAME check previous chart IDEAS
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd 17'08 update 2.png Size: 87 KB
  • #138,093
  • Aug 17, 2021 7:56am Aug 17, 2021 7:56am
Quoting macdulio
{quote} Considering... {image}
Good you considered.. It turns out that it wasn't a wave 4.. So it should go down if bears can keep it below 1.1760 roughly!
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #138,094
  • Aug 17, 2021 7:57am Aug 17, 2021 7:57am
Slightly odd to see that downward move off the back of (you'd think) bad US data. I don't trade solely on fundamentals, but there's obviously a correlation and this particular movement doesn't make sense to me. MM's pushing lower for better buy entry point prior to Powell's speech later, maybe?
A wise man changes his mind, a fool never will
  • #138,095
  • Aug 17, 2021 7:59am Aug 17, 2021 7:59am
Oh, I just see, USD is moving up.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usd.png Size: 77 KB
  • #138,096
  • Aug 17, 2021 7:59am Aug 17, 2021 7:59am
Quoting MrGuy
Slightly odd to see that downward move off the back of (you'd think) bad US data. I don't trade solely on fundamentals, but there's obviously a correlation and this particular movement doesn't make sense to me. MM's pushing lower for better buy entry point prior to Powell's speech later, maybe?
Just be prepared for 1.16xx levels.. but to do that bears first have to break below monthly support: 1.1713
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #138,097
  • Aug 17, 2021 8:04am Aug 17, 2021 8:04am
Quoting yvestrcz
{quote} Shitty monthly retail sales, still USD getting stronger. These news is really just to trigger a volatility clash, with a few exceptions which regard interest rates and money supply.
Shitty monthly retail sales = slowing economy

Slowing economy = slowing world trade/economies = risk off = USD & JPY strength.

UNLESS

Slowing economy = more FED helicopter $$$$.
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #138,098
  • Edited 8:17am Aug 17, 2021 8:06am | Edited 8:17am
Quoting post
Good Morning Traders I don’t think that the jump in EU on Friday to the 1.18 was the start of a more bull rally. I continue to expect EU to feel some pressure coming from a bull dollar sentiment (Tapering) in the short term, more to that EU also seems to be lacking strong bullish drivers.. the ECB’s ultra-dovish stance which is going to start a policy divergence with the Fed, Over all I expect EU to move back to the lower half of the 1.1700(Short Term). Update:...

Good Afternoon Traders

So far bears controlled the move as predicted, we could see a little bounce before FED chair speaks , any indication of driving away from tapering could change the whole scenario or else we could lose the 1.17 in coming days...

Trade safe my friends
Happy Trading
Trades technical moves enforced by fundamentals
  • #138,099
  • Aug 17, 2021 8:06am Aug 17, 2021 8:06am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Good you considered.. It turns out that it wasn't a wave 4.. So it should go down if bears can keep it below 1.1760 roughly!
Did not get my fill. Powell to the rescue...

If dollar gets spinning here, they may end up being blamed. Not that Powell wants another term. Staring into a 50%+ crash.

Keep selling the Keltinger band with stop loss above the 44 SMA.

Had to adjust the trigger level down.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #138,100
  • Aug 17, 2021 8:10am Aug 17, 2021 8:10am
Dang, I thought I set my TP for 1.17300, but it hit @ 1.17350, but I'll take the 40 pips.

Till tomorrow all!
Guy
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