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Trading like banks: Risk ON / OFF

  • #361
  • Aug 8, 2021 2:35pm Aug 8, 2021 2:35pm
COT Table
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  • #362
  • Aug 13, 2021 10:16am Aug 13, 2021 10:16am
Quoting helioss
COT Table {image}
according to your COT table how can we expect GBPAUD to be this week. and the 15/8 to 20/8? Currently in H4 it seems to be ranging.
waiting for breakout.
I have subscribed, could you provide your data each FRI... Sorry I ask so direct, because I dont see you share your tool anywhere? Thanks
  • #363
  • Aug 14, 2021 12:19pm Aug 14, 2021 12:19pm
COT Table Updated
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  • #364
  • Aug 14, 2021 12:23pm Aug 14, 2021 12:23pm
Quoting ntk
{quote} according to your COT table how can we expect GBPAUD to be this week. and the 15/8 to 20/8? Currently in H4 it seems to be ranging. waiting for breakout. I have subscribed, could you provide your data each FRI... Sorry I ask so direct, because I dont see you share your tool anywhere? Thanks
About GBOAUD:

- during last weeks smart money are selling AUD & buying GBP, so their sentiment is for GBPAUD LONG

If u see weekly chart, it is BULLISH
  • #365
  • Edited Aug 15, 2021 2:20am Aug 14, 2021 2:20pm | Edited Aug 15, 2021 2:20am
Quoting helioss
{quote} About GBOAUD: - during last weeks smart money are selling AUD & buying GBP, so their sentiment is for GBPAUD LONG If u see weekly chart, it is BULLISH
Thanks for the updated data table
I see GBPAUD =GBPUSD + USDAUD but on the market there is only the inversed AUDUSD for trade, so I would expect the reversed AUDUSD plays a factor. would that not complicate the matter and give different direction for GA next week?
Look at the weekly GBPAUD chart we have had the prior bear weekly candle and for this closing week a bearish body doji with longer upper wick than bottom wick. I think that was because of the inversed market pair, and the COT data of prior week shown GBP strong AUD weak and this closing week also similar tendency.

Is it wrong what I have concluded, and making use of the correlation table friendly user hs posted sometimes on the FF? Pls correct and advise...
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  • #366
  • Edited 3:11am Aug 15, 2021 2:58am | Edited 3:11am
My Currency Strength Indicator Based on COT
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  • #367
  • Edited 4:52am Aug 15, 2021 4:41am | Edited 4:52am
I like this thread and am following closely.

I have a technical question.

During the explanations it is stated During RISK OFF, trader must BUY: GOLD, USDCAD.

GOLD in what currency and

How would all this influence to trade XAUUSD

Thanks for any answers.
  • #368
  • Aug 15, 2021 7:37am Aug 15, 2021 7:37am
Quoting helioss
My Currency Strength Indicator Based on COT {image}
Could you with this tool separate lines for only the pair interested, I m color blind. Would it be similar result when use of CCfP in W1 time frame?
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  • #369
  • Aug 15, 2021 7:53am Aug 15, 2021 7:53am
Quoting tallu
I like this thread and am following closely. I have a technical question. During the explanations it is stated During RISK OFF, trader must BUY: GOLD, USDCAD. GOLD in what currency and How would all this influence to trade XAUUSD Thanks for any answers.
My understanding is Gold is eg XAUUSD so if COT shown long on USD, USD tendency up, Gold would go down
  • #370
  • Aug 15, 2021 8:40am Aug 15, 2021 8:40am
With GU accordingly last week COT, GBP long change 1.9 USD long too but Net change -1.0 so GU is with 0.9 is weak bullish. Would you interpret so too, Helios?
  • #371
  • Aug 15, 2021 9:46am Aug 15, 2021 9:46am
Quoting tallu
I like this thread and am following closely. I have a technical question. During the explanations it is stated During RISK OFF, trader must BUY: GOLD, USDCAD. GOLD in what currency and How would all this influence to trade XAUUSD Thanks for any answers.
During last months GOLD lost correlation with RISK OFF, so i don't use it
  • #372
  • Aug 15, 2021 9:48am Aug 15, 2021 9:48am
Quoting ntk
{quote} Could you with this tool separate lines for only the pair interested, I m color blind. Would it be similar result when use of CCfP in W1 time frame? {image}
It's on Excel, i cann't
  • #373
  • Aug 16, 2021 9:43am Aug 16, 2021 9:43am
Quoting helioss
{quote} About GBOAUD: - during last weeks smart money are selling AUD & buying GBP, so their sentiment is for GBPAUD LONG If u see weekly chart, it is BULLISH
It's going in the right way
  • #374
  • Aug 16, 2021 3:14pm Aug 16, 2021 3:14pm
Quoting helioss
My Currency Strength Indicator Based on COT {image}
Its phony how jpy is in least position while it beät the crap out of every currency.
Without despair & distraught, focus on Patience to FRESH MOTiVES.
  • #375
  • Aug 16, 2021 3:18pm Aug 16, 2021 3:18pm
Quoting helioss
Positions Changing {image}
Are thé positions still same given jpy and chf strength.
Without despair & distraught, focus on Patience to FRESH MOTiVES.
  • #376
  • Aug 17, 2021 1:10pm Aug 17, 2021 1:10pm
Quoting skyf
{quote} Are thé positions still same given jpy and chf strength.
That was 2 weeks ago.....
  • #377
  • Aug 18, 2021 6:50am Aug 18, 2021 6:50am
Quoting helioss
{quote} It's going in the right way
Thnks for keeping an checking eye on GA.

So there is no matter with USDAUD or AUDUSD, it must has been compromised internally in its calcculation. For COT
if the table reported smart money are selling AUD & buying GBP for prev week, we can conclude GA will be strong
  • #378
  • Aug 18, 2021 7:19am Aug 18, 2021 7:19am
Quoting ntk
{quote} Thnks for keeping an checking eye on GA. So there is no matter with USDAUD or AUDUSD, it must has been compromised internally in its calcculation. For COT if the table reported smart money are selling AUD & buying GBP for prev week, we can conclude GA will be strong
Wrong! COT show the mood, they aren't a classic trading indicator. It's possible that on your scenario, GA goes down.....the most important COT thng is to see how they are moving week by week.....a single movement doesn't matter
  • #379
  • Aug 22, 2021 2:51am Aug 22, 2021 2:51am
COT Dashboard Update
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  • #380
  • Aug 22, 2021 2:53am Aug 22, 2021 2:53am
COT Currency Strength
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