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  • #137,881
  • Aug 12, 2021 8:52am Aug 12, 2021 8:52am
Quoting mtako
{quote} ... Closed it early here at my new mid-line 1740(Range Heaven having shifted lightly), along with my many longs for a decent profit. Normally I would keep them with TP open and SL brought to BE the second 1750s resistance is hit, then if price comes back down to top of this range - 44 (probably moved a couple pips up by then though), would sell again. This last hour shift down in range does not change anything, but did so under main intraday resistance several times tested and failed....


And a return now above 1732 would give, in my book, +60% chance of it moving another 10 pips up... We would be still stuck under ranging conditions longer than expected if that happens, probably, in my view.

Careful 1732 ! Nice place for short scalp SL.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #137,882
  • Aug 12, 2021 8:54am Aug 12, 2021 8:54am
H1 Status Update

According to anticipated plan, I will try to buy 1.17155 area for a potential handle.. Therefore, I don't expect too much from the bounce once we arrive at support.. Keeping targets limited with 1.1735/40 would be wise because selling the handle could be much more profitable..

AND: before blindly buying this developing dip, I also will get confirmation first because support could easily break and bears could continue lower straight ahead.. Always careful! Time will tell
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #137,883
  • Aug 12, 2021 9:12am Aug 12, 2021 9:12am
Quoting mtako
{quote} And a return now above 1732 would give, in my book, +60% chance of it moving another 10 pips up... We would be still stuck under ranging conditions longer than expected if that happens, probably, in my view. Careful 1732 ! Nice place for short scalp SL.

First moment of truth for me... Bulls need to win this 1732 battle, need to keep it above more than a couple minutes, common !

Meanwhile, bears are not as impressed as me, so it seems...
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #137,884
  • Aug 12, 2021 9:14am Aug 12, 2021 9:14am
Today or tomorrow we are going to visit 1,17534?
  • #137,885
  • Aug 12, 2021 9:21am Aug 12, 2021 9:21am
Quoting bigiivan
Today or tomorrow we are going to visit 1,17534?
I have been asking myself that question so often yesterday and today !

Not as likely now, for me. Of course no one knows, but in my view, if we dont attack the 50s again., more chances of more new lows even this week...


Quoting mtako
{quote} First moment of truth for me... Bulls need to win this 1732 battle, need to keep it above more than a couple minutes, common ! Meanwhile, bears are not as impressed as me, so it seems...
And... bullsss againnnn, lose an important battle. They are adding up nicely !
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #137,886
  • Aug 12, 2021 9:38am Aug 12, 2021 9:38am
If price violates yesterday´s minimum we can see it turn around to at least 11975. Just my 2 cents.
POSTMASTER
  • #137,887
  • Aug 12, 2021 9:44am Aug 12, 2021 9:44am
Finally can safely place SLs at BE for all above 1731 positions

The rest would be moved at BE gradually according to each spec, next being only when/if 1710.



Quoting JBRolim
{quote} They tried to lower the elevator to another 7 feet below ground, (Hell)... "I'm still ALIVE" to the grief of the Ignored Mocker here on the forum. My strategy will be fulfilled. So be patient and believe in the strategy. Waiting to get to my floor to disembark. I wish you all green seeds.
This is not right. Please people stop the mocking. I know what being mocked at is...

And dear JBRolim, If you mean me, I assure you it is a misunderstanding. I am not that kind of person. I have only ever mocked myself in my entire life.

Now back to mocking myself...

I see some of you have enjoyed the show in different ways these last days.. I am happy to have made you laugh and/or mock me. I take full responsibility. We are human after all !

OK Jung!? (see Jung and humor..)

Once we make up our mind about something, or sometimes even just have suspicion(major times of weakness like bulls here),
we so often stop seeing that something entirely;
and often the defense mechanism for this weakness comes out in such a way, mocking, hating.... No harms done, but some people are more fragile than others and we must be careful of how our own projected weaknesses can impact others.

Important thing : keep on laughing, its better for acute trading mindset !

Enough Freud (see Freud and laughter)!


OK, I am done for the day ! Take good care of you all and have a great night of "spikes dreaming" !


PPS :

keeping an eye out for this guy, bears are still not out of the woods !
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If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #137,888
  • Aug 12, 2021 9:54am Aug 12, 2021 9:54am
My EU biases...
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  • #137,889
  • Aug 12, 2021 10:09am Aug 12, 2021 10:09am
Quoting Wavegarrick
{quote} Buy trade added at my daily pivot 1.17336 and will also look to add towards my 50% fib retrace at 1.17296. S/loss 25 pips, Cheers
Bulls are hanging on a thread, nevertheless opened another buy trade 25 Pip s/loss. My 61.8% fib retrace at 1.17240 seems to be holding for now.
Cheers
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Trade to trade another day
  • #137,890
  • Aug 12, 2021 10:15am Aug 12, 2021 10:15am
I expect a sharp downward movement
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #137,891
  • Aug 12, 2021 10:46am Aug 12, 2021 10:46am
without any technical but only using my subconscious the feeling is a sharp drop and afterwoods considerable long
POSTMASTER
  • #137,892
  • Aug 12, 2021 10:53am Aug 12, 2021 10:53am
Quoting josip
I expect a sharp downward movement
In my opinion for price gona be very hard to penetrate thru these support area wich will act as a resistance for sure...
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  • #137,893
  • Aug 12, 2021 11:19am Aug 12, 2021 11:19am
Quoting Wavegarrick
{quote} Bulls are hanging on a thread, nevertheless opened another buy trade 25 Pip s/loss. My 61.8% fib retrace at 1.17240 seems to be holding for now. Cheers {image}
Anyway Folks,
Little positives I take out of my trading so far today. All locked in and price must do what it has to.
Have a great day,
Cheers.
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Trade to trade another day
  • #137,894
  • Aug 12, 2021 11:19am Aug 12, 2021 11:19am
Wave 3 up just started
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  • #137,895
  • Aug 12, 2021 11:30am Aug 12, 2021 11:30am
Quoting Wavegarrick
{quote} Bulls are hanging on a thread, nevertheless opened another buy trade 25 Pip s/loss. My 61.8% fib retrace at 1.17240 seems to be holding for now. Cheers {image}
Thanks for posting your trades realtime !
Trends have a higher probability of continuing than not.
  • #137,896
  • Aug 12, 2021 11:44am Aug 12, 2021 11:44am
Came back for an important update and reminder since I know at least one trader here reads me carefully.


Quoting mtako
{quote} And a return now above 1732 would give, in my book, +60% chance of it moving another 10 pips up... We would be still stuck under ranging conditions longer than expected if that happens, probably, in my view. Careful 1732 ! Nice place for short scalp SL.

I took advantage of this and now it is over... Back to selling BUT only one MAIN position above 1.17338, since above chances grow more and more of it testing 50s...

Remembering we are always under sustained intraday ranging conditions....

But till we have not spent enough time, meaning hours, above 1750s, I focus on selling for swing size trades..

Anyhow, so sold at 1742 as planned after necessary rejection, replacing my earlier 34. Then a sell stop at 1.17338.

Cheers all!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #137,897
  • Aug 12, 2021 11:52am Aug 12, 2021 11:52am
Quoting eurusd-thijs
{quote} Thanks for posting your trades realtime !
Hi Thijs,
My pleasure. It keeps me on my toes and forces me to focus,
Cheers, Bud.
Trade to trade another day
  • #137,898
  • Aug 12, 2021 12:07pm Aug 12, 2021 12:07pm
Quoting bigiivan
Today or tomorrow we are going to visit 1,17534?
Ok, one H4 bar has just finished and other has just started. If this current H4 bar close bullish we will see 1,1800 very soon (I guess tomorrow, but who knows).
If it doesn't MACD divergence on Daily still in play.
Holding my longs.
  • #137,899
  • Aug 12, 2021 12:12pm Aug 12, 2021 12:12pm
sleep well with long positions!
  • #137,900
  • Aug 12, 2021 12:12pm Aug 12, 2021 12:12pm
I am going to sacrifice some pips and potentially miss an opportunity for a good trade, but no interday trade at my end until it breaks out of today's range either direction.
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