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  • #130,981
  • Apr 27, 2021 9:40am Apr 27, 2021 9:40am
Quoting corongumet
Now, i have any research using COT but i use commercial data changing, this month still valid but i want to see this week non commercial data changing, or commercial it can work, entry point i use EW counting, so lets see how it can work. I want to watch the price probability testing 1.2109 (its key i watch on M5) if break 1.2116x i got false count and recounting. Key level to changing my big scenarios at 1.2245 if the price close above that in my mind its long setup on retracement. Key level for me if break 1.2116 i want to watch 1.2150 and last...

Wow
but I think for now we have to break 209 firsts
  • #130,982
  • Apr 27, 2021 9:40am Apr 27, 2021 9:40am
Quoting mtako
{quote} Well done Nikosk0! Great day for bears and bulls! Ignore if its my PC, but cant see your charts clearly
nah it aint your pc, it is just a screenshot of a screenshot.

cleaner here
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...6#post13512936
offering my system to copy trade. check my link
  • #130,983
  • Apr 27, 2021 9:42am Apr 27, 2021 9:42am
Quoting decklinz
{quote} Wow but I think for now we have to break 209 firsts
Lets see.

Quoting decklinz
{quote} Wow but I think for now we have to break 209 firsts
If price break 2055x its go to 1.2032-1.1995 to watch this level. So just trade on your plan

On the commercial data changing its more short. So i try to follow it on my research to know weekly movement.
  • #130,984
  • Apr 27, 2021 10:05am Apr 27, 2021 10:05am
Ata, How you doing sir. Hope all is well on your side of the world.

What are you seeing on your system regarding current situation?
"Your Habits Will Determine Your Future"
  • #130,985
  • Apr 27, 2021 10:13am Apr 27, 2021 10:13am
Looking at monthly chart. Seems like 50% retraction, 1.2167, of May 2014 bear run is being tested again. If 1.2167 resistance holds, I expect the Q1 2021 bear run to return in full force for the remainder of 2021.
  • #130,986
  • Apr 27, 2021 10:14am Apr 27, 2021 10:14am
We are getting glued to ~1.2080 (MA51 on H1), thus it's becoming pretty useless to discuss levels, he he.
Anyway, bears are having more fun now.
  • #130,987
  • Apr 27, 2021 10:17am Apr 27, 2021 10:17am
Today, unless the closing price could hold above 1.2093. The momentum for down movement would begin for the target 1.2041.
  • #130,988
  • Apr 27, 2021 10:32am Apr 27, 2021 10:32am
Quoting Wavegarrick
{quote} My sell trade was taken out for a small profit today. Eu is certainly being held up by the powers that may be. My cycles mean nada in this market, it is like floating on the dead sea, at least no sharks to attack you. I will sit out until next week. Perhaps 1.2100 could be the next target? Have a great weekend Guys, Cheers. {image}
Hi Guys,
A shot in the dark with very subtle bearish hints. I have opened a sell trade with a 25 pip s/loss.
Trade safe
Cheers.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_1110.png Size: 86 KB
Trade to trade another day
  • #130,989
  • Apr 27, 2021 10:40am Apr 27, 2021 10:40am
Quoting Pinch969
Ata, How you doing sir. Hope all is well on your side of the world. What are you seeing on your system regarding current situation?
I keep my intraday bearish bias while price keeps stalling below 1.2088, that's basically it.. Not much to do! Zzzzzz....
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #130,990
  • Apr 27, 2021 10:52am Apr 27, 2021 10:52am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} I keep my intraday bearish bias while price keeps stalling below 1.2088, that's basically it.. Not much to do! Zzzzzz....
I also didn't touch any button on EU today as I held my shorts from last week.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #130,991
  • Apr 27, 2021 11:12am Apr 27, 2021 11:12am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} I also didn't touch any button on EU today as I held my shorts from last week.
Rarely trade Eu, I realize that I am not exciting with him.
  • #130,992
  • Apr 27, 2021 11:31am Apr 27, 2021 11:31am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} I keep my intraday bearish bias while price keeps stalling below 1.2088, that's basically it.. Not much to do! Zzzzzz....
Make sense, Thanks brother..
"Your Habits Will Determine Your Future"
  • #130,993
  • Apr 27, 2021 11:31am Apr 27, 2021 11:31am
its been a while since i posted an update, been busy with school work...in my finals though.

Meanwhile back to business.

The way i see it, we have started the bull run to 1.27900 area, this month's candle is an engulfing candle in progress, once that happens with the help of FOMC tomorrow, dont even think about using the sell button for your good except for quick scalps

for me its a buy the dip scenario...notice that these past few days have been printing bull, bear, bull, bear....its time for bulls and most likely break the pattern with more bull candles.
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #130,994
  • Apr 27, 2021 12:13pm Apr 27, 2021 12:13pm
Quoting Austyno
its been a while since i posted an update, been busy with school work...in my finals though. Meanwhile back to business. The way i see it, we have started the bull run to 1.27900 area, this month's candle is an engulfing candle in progress, once that happens with the help of FOMC tomorrow, dont even think about using the sell button for your good except for quick scalps for me its a buy the dip scenario...notice that these past few days have been printing bull, bear, bull, bear....its time for bulls and most likely break the pattern with more bull...




I mean I'm amazed
With all my strategies of going long to 1.21-23
the price still hasn't crossed 2094

then suddenly I'm seeing "bull run to 1.27900 area"

personally I would love it getting there from tomorrow
I'm not just seeing the possibility yet on either my pc of tv.

but please if you can help us share what your thoughts are and more exactly what brought about those conclusions. I would be delighted.
  • #130,995
  • Apr 27, 2021 12:29pm Apr 27, 2021 12:29pm
Quoting decklinz
{quote} I mean I'm amazed With all my strategies of going long to 1.21-23 the price still hasn't crossed 2094 then suddenly I'm seeing "bull run to 1.27900 area" personally I would love it getting there from tomorrow I'm not just seeing the possibility yet on either my pc of tv. but please if you can help us share what your thoughts are and more exactly what brought about those conclusions. I would be delighted.
this is what i mean.

the most important thing to see is that we are trading outside the falling channel, the next target is the trendline above, once we engulf this month, then the direction will be much clearer and 1.27900 area will be easily achievable
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #130,996
  • Apr 27, 2021 12:36pm Apr 27, 2021 12:36pm
Quoting Austyno
{quote} this is what i mean. the most important thing to see is that we are trading outside the falling channel, the next target is the trendline above, once we engulf this month, then the direction will be much clearer and 1.27900 area will be easily achievable {image}

OH
wow
but do you think all this would happen this week without bears giving a fight.

cause it's day 2 already the month is already ending and bulls haven't completely won the battle.
  • #130,997
  • Apr 27, 2021 12:53pm Apr 27, 2021 12:53pm
Quoting decklinz
{quote} OH wow but do you think all this would happen this week without bears giving a fight. cause it's day 2 already the month is already ending and bulls haven't completely won the battle.
As i said earlier, the most important thing is to engulf last month... lets do that first then we can analyse again
Risk comes from not knowing what to do
  • #130,998
  • Apr 27, 2021 1:37pm Apr 27, 2021 1:37pm
Quoting Austyno
{quote} this is what i mean. the most important thing to see is that we are trading outside the falling channel, the next target is the trendline above, once we engulf this month, then the direction will be much clearer and 1.27900 area will be easily achievable {image}
Exactly man! I also wrote many times that I have 1.28 target. Seems reasonable to me.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #130,999
  • Apr 27, 2021 1:39pm Apr 27, 2021 1:39pm
Quoting Austyno
{quote} As i said earlier, the most important thing is to engulf last month... lets do that first then we can analyse again
However, the monthly engulfing itself is not soo meaningful, check e.g. april 2015.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #131,000
  • Apr 27, 2021 2:05pm Apr 27, 2021 2:05pm
90 stronghold is getting attacked now by late night bulls
Another day, another dollar.
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