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  • #130,941
  • Apr 27, 2021 3:13am Apr 27, 2021 3:13am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} The conclusion from this table is that EU price is currently much more than what big boys are expecting, regardless of market reality.
Much more? The average of the consensus in the last row is pretty much equal to the current level.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #130,942
  • Apr 27, 2021 3:23am Apr 27, 2021 3:23am
Ju all I got a new buy at 20634. Back to the kicking level !
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #130,943
  • Apr 27, 2021 3:23am Apr 27, 2021 3:23am
Quoting nic9man
{quote} Much more? The average of the consensus in the last row is pretty much equal to the current level.
I'm talking about short term prediction. Average of column 1 Month is 1.1876
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #130,944
  • Apr 27, 2021 3:26am Apr 27, 2021 3:26am
Quoting mtako
Ju all I got a new buy at 20634. Back to the kicking level !
I buy at 1.2065, can she go to 1.2090 or 1.2100 level as your opinion?
  • #130,945
  • Apr 27, 2021 3:26am Apr 27, 2021 3:26am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} I'm talking about short term prediction. Average of column 1 Month is 1.1876
Maybe I do not know how to read table information. Not familiar with it.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #130,946
  • Apr 27, 2021 3:37am Apr 27, 2021 3:37am
Quoting wanted
{quote} I buy at 1.2065, can she go to 1.2090 or 1.2100 level as your opinion?
it will touch 1.2052 or lower first, because today is making new low day....
  • #130,947
  • Apr 27, 2021 3:42am Apr 27, 2021 3:42am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} Maybe I do not know how to read table information. Not familiar with it.
My opinion is that I am staying on sidelines for now because it looks like bears are endeavoring to turn 1.2065 into a resistance. In other words, I would not be as quick with buying. But just my opinion. Good luck anyway!
  • #130,948
  • Apr 27, 2021 3:46am Apr 27, 2021 3:46am
Quoting wanted
{quote} I buy at 1.2065, can she go to 1.2090 or 1.2100 level as your opinion?

Hi, need a rejection at these levels here first, then yes. I you need those levels of TP, best wait till it comes down. Right now it is crazy on volatility. Have to get out alreadoy at 1.20600, getting back in with buyu stop @ 1.20659 or at rejection of 30sto50s later on, if it happens.y

Best is to wait for the dust to settle.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #130,949
  • Apr 27, 2021 3:55am Apr 27, 2021 3:55am
Quoting wanted
{quote} I buy at 1.2065, can she go to 1.2090 or 1.2100 level as your opinion?
My next longer term SLs are still below 2030, and I am targeting higher than .21
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #130,950
  • Apr 27, 2021 3:56am Apr 27, 2021 3:56am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} I'm talking about short term prediction. Average of column 1 Month is 1.1876
That's right - but what I meant was that if you take into account the standard deviation of the forecasts, then the average forecast is the current level plus some insignificant noise. My take would be that these broker forecasts look like paths of randomly simulated prices.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #130,951
  • Apr 27, 2021 4:04am Apr 27, 2021 4:04am
buy stop 1.20635 if 2054 not touched first. After that, looking potential setups at return to 50s, if returns. Bears stood up
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #130,952
  • Apr 27, 2021 4:11am Apr 27, 2021 4:11am
I do not recommend LONG euro/usd, if the dollar index is in the growth channel
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: today.jpg Size: 350 KB
Trendlines H1,H4, SMC
  • #130,953
  • Apr 27, 2021 4:37am Apr 27, 2021 4:37am
Quoting mtako
buy stop 1.20635 if 2054 not touched first. After that, looking potential setups at return to 50s, if returns. Bears stood up
SL for this one is 54, moving SL at BE if 74 is reached.

If price comes back down to low soon, we would probably go back down the -2050 rabbit hole !
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #130,954
  • Apr 27, 2021 5:05am Apr 27, 2021 5:05am
Last 30 minutes there were terrible signs for bulls, considering the sudden rise right before...

A close above 69 in the next 30 minutes is needed and if that doesnt happen and we stall, Ill probably have to move SL at BE early.

In my view, Bears have enough momentum that any stagnation, and as long as it stays under 2074, will actually augment the prices probability of pursuing its course...
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #130,955
  • Apr 27, 2021 5:18am Apr 27, 2021 5:18am
Quoting nic9man
I think one of these various falling wedges below will materialize, so probably 1.2057-66 will hold firm, though the lowest version might go down to 1.2050. I expect the market trade in a range until FOMC results are announced tomorrow, probably within the 1.2060-2.2100 zone. After FOMC I expect a month end rallye. {image}
Above 1.2070 the wedge is broken to the upside which probably triggers a move to closely below 1.21.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #130,956
  • Apr 27, 2021 5:32am Apr 27, 2021 5:32am
Quoting nic9man
{quote} Above 1.2070 the wedge is broken to the upside which probably triggers a move to closely below 1.21.
Yes, looks like we are there and going up now.
  • #130,957
  • Apr 27, 2021 5:38am Apr 27, 2021 5:38am
Quoting nic9man
{quote} Above 1.2070 the wedge is broken to the upside which probably triggers a move to closely below 1.21.
Nic ! you often mention wedge and every time it makes me hungry as those are my favourite fries mmmmmmmmmm!


Quoting mtako
Last 30 minutes there were terrible signs for bulls, considering the sudden rise right before... A close above 69 in the next 30 minutes is needed and if that doesnt happen and we stall, Ill probably have to move SL at BE early. In my view, Bears have enough momentum that any stagnation, and as long as it stays under 2074, will actually augment the prices probability of pursuing its course...
Minimum requirement to stay in still has been reached. Now just need touch 74 in less than 45m for SL at BE, than 30 minutes of closes above 77 in less than 3h.

Only then, in my old crunched up book, will Bulls have had disrupted the bears momentum enough as early as possible and increased to chance they will take over (or we just get lost in an aimless 2040-21 range, Deja VU !)

This is my blurred old view for now !
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: download (1).jpg Size: 154 KB
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #130,958
  • Apr 27, 2021 5:58am Apr 27, 2021 5:58am
Buy 1.2084 sl 1.2070 tp 1.2150
  • #130,959
  • Apr 27, 2021 6:00am Apr 27, 2021 6:00am
I think are back with force
we just have to watch how 209 behaves

then we know if we're just "in an aimless 2040-21 range" according to mtako
or
we're really going to 1.2

few more hours and we'll all be certain.
Either way good day to everyone and a good trading day ahead
cause personally I think today is really gonna be a busy day
cause from looks we determine the rest of the week with what happens today.
  • #130,960
  • Apr 27, 2021 6:09am Apr 27, 2021 6:09am
Dollar index is below ema200 in all time frames except monthly!
I think it will do some correction soon.
I expect no more down, new low.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
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