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EURUSD only

  • #130,681
  • Apr 22, 2021 2:17pm Apr 22, 2021 2:17pm
Quoting mtako
Please bare with me and forgive my ignorance: Why, over the +15years I have been trading daily, when I am already in a trend following trade and the biggest moving news are announced, why does it still go in my direction a good 70+% of the time, which was already pretty much the probability of it pursuing its course anyways?? Like price already had the unexpected results considered.
Not sure if I understood what you meant, but not all news can be priced directly. Some developments affect long term flows which determine the long term currency price. Obviously this forum is the living proof that for day traders fundamentals can be fully ignored.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #130,682
  • Apr 22, 2021 2:54pm Apr 22, 2021 2:54pm
Quoting JBRolim
Here is my graph of Renko , {image}I will still continue with my shorts
,,,
"No pain no gain"
  • #130,683
  • Apr 22, 2021 3:11pm Apr 22, 2021 3:11pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Based on M15, It is up to how well 1.2002 supports... I am inclined to buy dips.. *Based on a quick H1 analysis of current situation we can try buying 1.1993 or better wait for a breakout! {image}
Update on my H1 chart I shared some 8 hours ago.. 1.1993 worked perfectly! Price is now nearing channel median area and GREEN line.. Notice that GREEN line is still flat-ish and it creates choppiness.. Best to continue tomorrow after volume kicks in.. Happy Asian session to those who keep going.. Cheers
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H1-Status-Update.png Size: 21 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #130,684
  • Apr 22, 2021 3:34pm Apr 22, 2021 3:34pm
Thanks Ata, you are the best!
Another day, another dollar.
  • #130,685
  • Apr 22, 2021 6:05pm Apr 22, 2021 6:05pm
Bought already at 2021 ! rock and rolllll !!!

all my previously posted open longs have SLs moved at BE.

Need a quick boost back up above 30 before the end of the hour
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #130,686
  • Apr 22, 2021 7:31pm Apr 22, 2021 7:31pm
times up...

Bears now have a potential pullback here that could shoot it down past 2000 again.


A break above 2026 within the hour is necessary to minimize that possibility.

Have to tighten SL at 20119, and bringing up the SL of my 2003entry to 20120 also.


Need to wait for this bears potentially deadly pullback to fail, before modifying SLs further.
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #130,687
  • Apr 22, 2021 8:38pm Apr 22, 2021 8:38pm
scalp the range before breakout.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #130,688
  • Apr 22, 2021 10:13pm Apr 22, 2021 10:13pm
It is very difficult for bulls at this time, considering the ECB (Lagarde) also wants a weakening of the Euro as needed
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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The Average Discount Everything
  • #130,689
  • Apr 23, 2021 12:08am Apr 23, 2021 12:08am
Quoting mtako
times up... Bears now have a potential pullback here that could shoot it down past 2000 again. A break above 2026 within the hour is necessary to minimize that possibility. Have to tighten SL at 20119, and bringing up the SL of my 2003entry to 20120 also. Need to wait for this bears potentially deadly pullback to fail, before modifying SLs further.

Needed a bulls continuation without any looking back to stay in, and got it.

Moved SL of my 21 to BE

volatility momentum scalp is ripe, new Buy Stop at 20376
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #130,690
  • Apr 23, 2021 12:10am Apr 23, 2021 12:10am
Triggered as I spoke ! SL .20239 to be updated soon
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #130,691
  • Apr 23, 2021 12:15am Apr 23, 2021 12:15am
Waiting for bears now
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #130,692
  • Apr 23, 2021 12:22am Apr 23, 2021 12:22am
Our French friends are performing now, well done!
Another day, another dollar.
  • #130,693
  • Apr 23, 2021 12:33am Apr 23, 2021 12:33am
good morning, I'm just wait 1.20630 for short
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #130,694
  • Apr 23, 2021 12:35am Apr 23, 2021 12:35am
Attached Image
the h4 dxy 1:24 hour to go to complete candle
Trends have a higher probability of continuing than not.
  • #130,695
  • Apr 23, 2021 12:45am Apr 23, 2021 12:45am
Quoting energies
{quote} Last push up before diving {image}
He might be landing on concrete.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #130,696
  • Apr 23, 2021 12:50am Apr 23, 2021 12:50am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Waiting for bears now
Good morning Ata, good morning all ! Offering you some good espresso

I can indeed smell those sneaky bears lurking around, especially if some of them, for now, brings price straight back down to 2032,
where my new SL is.

Will bears step down just enough that, at the very least, lets the bulls pull up this 40 some pip range a little bit ?

2050s, again.

The whole week has been about breaking through or rejecting these levels, although no side has managed to really get away from it yet.

Bulls still have the upper hand with their 3 weeks constant rise.

Perhaps we will know today if it finally pursues its course after these days of intense struggling?


P.S This momentum scalps trailing stop usually would get triggered soon as it would now be at 2050 and I would take no less than 29 pips here.

BUT I am still in it for the long haul as long as bulls controls the month! soooo.. for the 10000s fun time :

Moving SL at BE IF 2057 is reached.

satisfied that all but one longs from around 2000 survived ! Bears, just stand aside for the range to be pulled up just a bit, a tiny bit
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #130,697
  • Apr 23, 2021 12:56am Apr 23, 2021 12:56am
Quoting mtako
{quote} Good morning Ata, good morning all ! Offering you some good espresso I can indeed smell those sneaky bears lurking around, especially if some of them, for now, brings price straight back down to 2032, where my new SL is. Will bears step down just enough that, at the very least, lets the bulls pull up this 40 some pip range a little bit ? 2050s, again. The whole week has been about breaking through or rejecting these levels, although no side has managed to really get away from it yet. Bulls still have the upper hand with their 3...
Thanks.. Can't say no to coffee.. ever

Just sold 1.2055.. It could be a little early but this stays until 1.1940! Good luck to all!

*Initial stops for sellers must go at least 35 pips higher than entry!
** I also learned my bitter lesson how robber banks love to cut off expectations.. In this case waiting for a touch to upper line of channel (1.2066 area) could be useless!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H1-Status-Update.png Size: 23 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #130,698
  • Apr 23, 2021 1:17am Apr 23, 2021 1:17am
trending scalp buy stop at 1.20560 SL 44

Moving my 2021 entry SL at 44 to compensate.

my 37 entry SL now up to 35... close enough to BE to accept new setups like this one here.

a back down move to 35 increases the chances greatly that 2050 is really just the top of the range again ... will know soon !
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #130,699
  • Apr 23, 2021 1:33am Apr 23, 2021 1:33am
Seems it might test 2064 today before the pullback. Until then we watch. Already sold @ 2055 SL 30 pips. And another sell order @ 2046 SL 40 pips. Just incase 205 doesn't resist today. Goodluck guys.
  • #130,700
  • Apr 23, 2021 1:41am Apr 23, 2021 1:41am
shorted 2052. feel strongly it will reject at 2062/5 circa
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