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  • #128,961
  • Mar 19, 2021 7:18am Mar 19, 2021 7:18am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} I do sell based on M15 and H1.. no worries.. but we are at levels where I mainly chase a long order based on DAILY and H4 (i.e. based on a Gartley pattern or M pattern..)
Ok thanks for your answer.
Trends have a higher probability of continuing than not.
  • #128,962
  • Edited 1:04pm Mar 19, 2021 7:31am | Edited 1:04pm
I'm long 1.188

UPDATE. 18:21 Server Time. Out half for 10 PiPs

UPDATE. 18:48 ST. Out second half for 20 PiPs

UPDATE. Those first two up spikes after I exited... Made money on both playing the short side. I am looking to go short but no position right now.

UPDATE. 19:53 ST. Short 1.1906 average

UPDATE. 23:01 ST. Closed at BE to start fresh Monday London session.
Practitioner of the cryptic trading arts
  • #128,963
  • Edited 7:46am Mar 19, 2021 7:34am | Edited 7:46am
Suspect the usd index wants to test 92.50 next week after some pull backs.
==more downside for eurusd like take profit sells 1.1840
the entry could be 1.1925 with sl above 1.20 = 1:1
or just wait around 1.1925 for move to the south
Trends have a higher probability of continuing than not.
  • #128,964
  • Mar 19, 2021 7:41am Mar 19, 2021 7:41am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} If daily support 1.1858/64 area gets violated I can switch to bearish.. Otherwise I still hope for a wave c up towards 1.2010 based on DAILY chart and wave count.. *The downside of my wave count is that if robber banks are secretly already done with the bullish correction by skipping the wave c it will hurt bulls like me.. But I ignore that scenario for now.. {image}
I see, it would makes sense for price to re-test that level before actually going lower. This move could be baiting bears on a Friday before that real drop you anticipate would happen sometime next week. I think if this were really supposed to be the real drop continuation, I feel that we would need to close very bearish today like the weekly close 2 weeks ago, but that doesn't really look like it's happening. I think you're right, we'll see.
  • #128,965
  • Mar 19, 2021 8:01am Mar 19, 2021 8:01am
If we get 1 more leg down, I will try a long attempt around 1.1863 depending on price action + my one of my patterns since I have a horizontal level there and purely based on the feeling that if we get 1 more lower low, that should be the last before actually going up if the direction is truly up.
  • #128,966
  • Mar 19, 2021 8:07am Mar 19, 2021 8:07am
Quoting newbegger
{quote} Hope second time around better for me. Was stopped out on last long for large loss (had 3 positions on) and took almost all my 2021 earnings. Bummer! Support now Resistance at 1.1960. I am long 1 lot only from 1.1922. I will add on dips and any advance over 1.1960. For now playing weak hand until market proves it's bullish. Only then will I put big bet on for now just testing the trade. Stops are below 1.1830 but I don't plan to hold this long if it trades below 1.1900 today. A quick dip below is ok, trading below is not. {image}
The FOMC took my longs out on Wednesday for a small profit at target one then other 2 positions ended stopped out at profit on the trailing stops. Not happy with the small gains after the big losses on my last trade.

Today I see 2 bearish signs. On the daily, we have a dark cloud cover. The trade should fall after the profit taking is over so confidence is high we will close with the dark cloud cover. And one of my favorite pattern is on the 4 hour, an M. M's and W's have been my bread and butter trade for years. No shorts on today as it's Friday. I will be looking for shorts on the Tokyo open on Sunday.

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Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #128,967
  • Mar 19, 2021 8:25am Mar 19, 2021 8:25am
Quoting newbegger
{quote} The FOMC took my longs out on Wednesday for a small profit at target one then other 2 positions ended stopped out at profit on the trailing stops. Not happy with the small gains after the big losses on my last trade. Today I see 2 bearish signs. On the daily, we have a dark cloud cover. The trade should fall after the profit taking is over so confidence is high we will close with the dark cloud cover. And one of my favorite pattern is on the 4 hour, an M. M's and W's have been my bread and butter trade for years. No shorts on today as it's...
Weekly and Monthly are both in bearish mode so all systems go for shorting on Sunday evening. I will build slowly with stops above 1.2000 in my normal swing trade pattern, adding on both ups or downs, first target in the 1.1840 area and second target in the 1.1740 area. If it happens like I hope, it will take time. Patience.
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Ecclesiastes 1:9
  • #128,968
  • Mar 19, 2021 9:04am Mar 19, 2021 9:04am
And the light came on, thanks colleagues for all your contributions and Ata for your advice and sincerely personally you give me security when the market goes against it, it has happened several times and the truth is one of your decisions whether to follow you or not and on my part If I close in losses it will be by my own decision. Always with faith Ata. Greetings colleagues. Good weekend mates
  • #128,969
  • Mar 19, 2021 9:07am Mar 19, 2021 9:07am
Quoting Willord21
And the light came on, thanks colleagues for all your contributions and Ata for your advice and sincerely personally you give me security when the market goes against it, it has happened several times and the truth is one of your decisions whether to follow you or not and on my part If I close in losses it will be by my own decision. Always with faith Ata. Greetings colleagues. Good weekend mates
I wouldn't call it a bull run 100% yet, it's Friday and we are testing the horizontal level and we just broke the high of the recent drop. There's still a chance we'll get a lower low before the market actually moves up on Sunday, but it can break here as well.
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  • #128,970
  • Mar 19, 2021 9:12am Mar 19, 2021 9:12am
Quoting Kyuu
{quote} I wouldn't call it a bull run 100% yet, it's Friday and we are testing the horizontal level and we just broke the high of the recent drop. There's still a chance we'll get a lower low before the market actually moves up on Sunday, but it can break here as well. {image}
I don't expect it to keep going up but maybe it will keep going up but I have already closed my positions, there is no need to grab a lot of pips. Always on the safe side when you are in a positive partner without being very greedy since the market can give us what we deserve. Greetings
  • #128,971
  • Mar 19, 2021 9:15am Mar 19, 2021 9:15am
Make 1.1896 your guide! Cheers
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #128,972
  • Mar 19, 2021 9:24am Mar 19, 2021 9:24am
[quote = Ata-Turkoglu; 13460431] ¡Haz de 1.1896 tu guía! Saludos [/ quote]

Hahahaha, I repeat what I said in another post. Ata when he writes the market moves, Ata do not tempt me to continue operating hahaha, just kidding greetings. But that level looks interesting
  • #128,973
  • Mar 19, 2021 9:36am Mar 19, 2021 9:36am
I keep hoping it will fall below that level but it's probably too much to hope for.
  • #128,974
  • Mar 19, 2021 9:48am Mar 19, 2021 9:48am
Based on my H4 chart for bulls it is still best to keep stops below 1.1881.. But overall the blue curve is what I expect..
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #128,975
  • Mar 19, 2021 9:55am Mar 19, 2021 9:55am
A long time ago (November?) I posted about a level that seemed to be interesting. Don't know why, I found a chart today in one of my zillions of MT4 installations with this line. What is so special about that value?
D1:
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Because today it revisisted in an interesting way:
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  • #128,976
  • Mar 19, 2021 10:50am Mar 19, 2021 10:50am
For me seems a good entry LONG at 1.1835. When i'm looking at this chart on 1H, looks like monday evening or tuesday will be there...
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  • #128,977
  • Mar 19, 2021 12:04pm Mar 19, 2021 12:04pm
Quoting ursinho4711
A long time ago (November?) I posted about a level that seemed to be interesting. Don't know why, I found a chart today in one of my zillions of MT4 installations with this line. What is so special about that value? D1: {image} Because today it revisisted in an interesting way: {image}
nothing

put a random horizontal line and it will get a visit at some point

look at the most recent past on the timeframe you trade.
offering my system to copy trade. check my link
  • #128,978
  • Mar 19, 2021 12:26pm Mar 19, 2021 12:26pm
Quoting nikosk0
{quote} nothing put a random horizontal line and it will get a visit at some point look at the most recent past on the timeframe you trade.
That's what I thought as well. But I played with different timeframes and it seems to have a "meaning". Otherwise I would not ask. If nobody agrees, I wil just keep it as my own magic line ;-)

Have a great weekend all! It was a good, green week for me, I hope also for y'all!
  • #128,979
  • Mar 19, 2021 1:14pm Mar 19, 2021 1:14pm
Those who want long for eurusd will get "La gota fria"

Have a good weekend.

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Trends have a higher probability of continuing than not.
  • #128,980
  • Mar 20, 2021 12:05am Mar 20, 2021 12:05am
H4 Outlook for Monday

Bulls need a breakout and as long as 1.1891 area supports (+ with extra support of 1.1869) the chances for that breakout is high.. That's all we need to know..

Enjoy your weekends folks.. Cheers
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Focus only on what truly matters!
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