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  • #128,461
  • Mar 11, 2021 4:33am Mar 11, 2021 4:33am
Quoting Endoephemera
{quote} Planning to increase the long below 1.195
I simplified my long 2 short 1 position from yesterday exploiting well this pause in the up move (IMO) going net short for a little while.
Now I'm fully hedged +1 -1 locking +40 PiPs.

Between 1.194 and 1.2 I expect some up and down that I associate to large players reversing short. [many hours probably]
Around 1.1945 I'll buy and around 1.2 I'll drop the longs and go short.

The alternative is that we go down to 1.193 area, that could mean no 1.2, so I'd add to my 1.195 longs, which by then will be underwater, and go net short when back up to 1.195
Practitioner of the cryptic trading arts
  • #128,462
  • Mar 11, 2021 4:58am Mar 11, 2021 4:58am
Quoting mysterio
{quote} This is similar to my plan, I think we have to at least test the low there, then the bottom of this channel around 1.1900, then possibly even the weekly demand around 1.1883-1.1745- not beyond here though. I'll be looking for a long term bull trade if we get there What I can see happening is getting down to 1.19ish then making a quick push down to 1.1850-1.1900 area then close the day inside the channel then switch to bullish. From there we are actually in a huge daily bull flag so it would be the perfect play if it works. Not today I mean...
Happy with this prediction so far.. shame I didn't trade it
  • #128,463
  • Edited 6:10am Mar 11, 2021 5:12am | Edited 6:10am
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ignore the text wave 2 estimate

its my scenario if price break (B)
TF H4
  • #128,464
  • Mar 11, 2021 6:15am Mar 11, 2021 6:15am
Happy Traders,

I currently see 2054 as an area of resistance that is 50 ema on daily. 1.20 may resist some.

17xx area needs to be revisted based on a wave count. I will post them after this daily candle close which is crucial.
  • #128,465
  • Mar 11, 2021 6:31am Mar 11, 2021 6:31am
Hello Traders,

be careful, we will see 100 pips movements through the next 3-4 hours.
  • #128,466
  • Mar 11, 2021 6:54am Mar 11, 2021 6:54am
For those interested and don't have the news up, got this off twitter:

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  • #128,467
  • Edited 7:11am Mar 11, 2021 6:54am | Edited 7:11am
as I said before ......ready to ride wave 5 .... we waiting for ECB Press Conference ....may be wild inflation as problem
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The Average Discount Everything
  • #128,468
  • Mar 11, 2021 6:54am Mar 11, 2021 6:54am
M15 Status Update

I skipped buying 1.1961 since I was expecting deeper lows.. Went long at H1 buy level 1.1948.. Stops must go at least to 1.1938.. Cheers
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #128,469
  • Mar 11, 2021 7:09am Mar 11, 2021 7:09am
Eurusd might still retrace to 1.19100, before one can buy back
  • #128,470
  • Mar 11, 2021 7:13am Mar 11, 2021 7:13am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
M15 Status Update I skipped buying 1.1961 since I was expecting deeper lows.. Went long at H1 buy level 1.1948.. Stops must go at least to 1.1938.. Cheers {image}
Moved stop to break even: 1.1948 (zero risk)
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #128,471
  • Mar 11, 2021 7:21am Mar 11, 2021 7:21am
is this a black day for EUR?
  • #128,472
  • Mar 11, 2021 7:22am Mar 11, 2021 7:22am
EUR / USD will start the journey to 1.17xx anytime.
  • #128,473
  • Mar 11, 2021 7:23am Mar 11, 2021 7:23am
Quoting fx1114
EUR / USD will start the journey to 1.17xx anytime.
It will get interesting when 1.1944 gives way.
  • #128,474
  • Mar 11, 2021 7:33am Mar 11, 2021 7:33am
Risky to take any entries long now as 1935 was resistance broken we could see a correction before any continuation
Follow The Markets Structure - Patience and Discipline
  • #128,475
  • Mar 11, 2021 7:38am Mar 11, 2021 7:38am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
M15 Status Update I skipped buying 1.1961 since I was expecting deeper lows.. Went long at H1 buy level 1.1948.. Stops must go at least to 1.1938.. Cheers {image}
Order got stopped out at break even.. Re-entered long at 1.1944..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #128,476
  • Mar 11, 2021 7:39am Mar 11, 2021 7:39am
too worry .... but she was hiding something that was ready to become a crisis

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The Average Discount Everything
  • #128,477
  • Mar 11, 2021 7:46am Mar 11, 2021 7:46am
Quoting hesron
too worry .... but she was hiding something that was ready to become a crisis {image}
ECB GDP forecasts basically unchanged

-2021 4% vs 3.9% prev
-2022 4.1% vs 4.2% prev
-2023 2.1% vs 2.1% prev


Euro are inflation increased sharply to 0.9% in January and February.

Headline inflation is likely to increase in the coming months.
My observation may be wrong but intent correct. Stay calm!
  • #128,478
  • Mar 11, 2021 7:50am Mar 11, 2021 7:50am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Order got stopped out at break even.. Re-entered long at 1.1944..
Lagarde still blabbering.. taking profit manually here at 1.1956 with +12 pips.. Will look to re-enter long again after 30 minutes or so once she shuts up..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #128,479
  • Mar 11, 2021 7:56am Mar 11, 2021 7:56am
Quoting Endoephemera
{quote} I simplified my long 2 short 1 position from yesterday exploiting well this pause in the up move (IMO) going net short for a little while. Now I'm fully hedged +1 -1 locking +40 PiPs. Between 1.194 and 1.2 I expect some up and down that I associate to large players reversing short. [many hours probably] Around 1.1945 I'll buy and around 1.2 I'll drop the longs and go short. The alternative is that we go down to 1.193 area, that could mean no 1.2, so I'd add to my 1.195 longs, which by then will be underwater, and go net short when back up...
This has been such fun. I have 3 longs and 2 shorts all making money.

The upside is not done, so net long. Reverse short around 1.2
BLaSH and SHaBL happily managing a net long if it breaks below 1.43 about.
Practitioner of the cryptic trading arts
  • #128,480
  • Mar 11, 2021 7:57am Mar 11, 2021 7:57am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Lagarde still blabbering.. taking profit manually here at 1.1956 with +12 pips.. Will look to re-enter long again after 30 minutes or so once she shuts up..
eurusd is continuing its way up my friend.no worries
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