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  • #127,961
  • Mar 4, 2021 9:45am Mar 4, 2021 9:45am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Don't mind me.. Just joking around {image}
hahaha love it
A wise man changes his mind, a fool never will
  • #127,962
  • Mar 4, 2021 9:58am Mar 4, 2021 9:58am
Until Powell speech, seems like bears keep the upper hand while below 1.2045 (stops should be at least at 1.2066 or higher)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #127,963
  • Mar 4, 2021 9:58am Mar 4, 2021 9:58am
Quoting skassacomput
{quote} as you can see is a good support. Let's wait 50minutes for confirmation (if it won't run earlier....) {image}
...... let's see ...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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If you do not know who you are, the Forex is the worst place to find you
  • #127,964
  • Mar 4, 2021 10:01am Mar 4, 2021 10:01am
Finally bulls, took long enough! Should have a decent run here
  • #127,965
  • Mar 4, 2021 10:10am Mar 4, 2021 10:10am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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try to long at here SL 10 pips

its bounce at (b)

will valid if we can break 1.208x
  • #127,966
  • Mar 4, 2021 10:10am Mar 4, 2021 10:10am
Here's my 15 min chart. We just bounced decently hard from an area where 2 of my support lines connected (didn't touch it though)

One of them was from the megaphone we created yesterday which has been respecting it (very dirty though), the other was just the support from this falling wedge. The question is whether or not this will actually break out of 1.2045 and the resistance line. The fact that this happened before the news event makes me think the people who already know which way they want the market to go have accumulated now successfully and will use the news to push the market further in their desired direction.

That or this is just a big bait to get traders long so they can all get stopped when the news comes out. I can't really imagine this going down, my target is 1.21258 but in order for that to happen 1.20779 MUST break. Guess we'll figure out
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #127,967
  • Mar 4, 2021 10:15am Mar 4, 2021 10:15am
Quoting Kyuu
Here's my 15 min chart. We just bounced decently hard from an area where 2 of my support lines connected (didn't touch it though) One of them was from the megaphone we created yesterday which has been respecting it (very dirty though), the other was just the support from this falling wedge. The question is whether or not this will actually break out of 1.2045 and the resistance line. The fact that this happened before the news event makes me think the people who already know which way they want the market to go have accumulated now successfully...
...but on H1 touched very well.
If you do not know who you are, the Forex is the worst place to find you
  • #127,968
  • Mar 4, 2021 10:19am Mar 4, 2021 10:19am
Quoting skassacomput
{quote} ...but on H1 touched very well.
My H1 missed by like a pip or 2, I guess depends on where you draw the lines but I have mine from the bottom of the wicks. Regardless, it looks good enough to me. My target is still 1.21258, actual TP is at 1.2125 where I will short because I don't want to get my entry missed. If that level breaks, then I have no idea how high this can go (possibly 1.21736). That specific price is the level where I expect us to bounce and break the lows , but maybe we're still completely in a down trend. We'll find out
Attached Image
  • #127,969
  • Mar 4, 2021 10:20am Mar 4, 2021 10:20am
Quoting Kyuu
{quote} My H1 missed by like a pip or 2, I guess depends on where you draw the lines but I have mine from the bottom of the wicks. Regardless, it looks good enough to me. My target is still 1.21258, actual TP is at 1.2125 where I will short because I don't want to get my entry missed. If that level breaks, then I have no idea how high this can go. That specific price is the level where I expect us to bounce and break the lows , but maybe we're still completely in a down trend. We'll find out {image}
mmm... very strange..unfortunately depends on your broker...
anyway I think that the right reason for this jump is the Market Profile Virgin of 2 days ago at 1.20248
If you do not know who you are, the Forex is the worst place to find you
  • #127,970
  • Mar 4, 2021 10:21am Mar 4, 2021 10:21am
Quoting Kyuu
Here's my 15 min chart. We just bounced decently hard from an area where 2 of my support lines connected (didn't touch it though) One of them was from the megaphone we created yesterday which has been respecting it (very dirty though), the other was just the support from this falling wedge. The question is whether or not this will actually break out of 1.2045 and the resistance line. The fact that this happened before the news event makes me think the people who already know which way they want the market to go have accumulated now successfully...
Well, the story which market makers spread over the past days is that there is a big risk that Powell will underdeliver and that bond markets could collapse again making the USD spike. Everyone who wanted to hedge against this event has done so by now by shorting Treasuries or buying the USD. IF this was an empty story or if Powell actually delivers something then all the hedgers might be squeezed right away. But not sure what happens if he just talks dovish as mostly expected.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #127,971
  • Mar 4, 2021 10:32am Mar 4, 2021 10:32am
Quoting skassacomput
{quote} ...... let's see ... {image}
edge broken on 30min...if in half an hour it will be confirmed, We will see in "paradise" very soon.
If you do not know who you are, the Forex is the worst place to find you
  • #127,972
  • Mar 4, 2021 10:32am Mar 4, 2021 10:32am
Quoting nic9man
{quote} Well, the story which market makers spread over the past days is that there is a big risk that Powell will underdeliver and that bond markets could collapse again making the USD spike. Everyone who wanted to hedge against this event has done so by now by shorting Treasuries or buying the USD. IF this was an empty story or if Powell actually delivers something then all the hedgers might be squeezed right away. But not sure what happens if he just talks dovish as mostly expected.
Hmm interesting, I'm not much for fundamentals at all but in the unlikely case this actually shatters to the downside, 1.1975-1.19822 is my next buy attempt, till then I'd try to short any pullbacks. I think we're still extremely bearish long term, I was expecting a drop from 1.21258 but we got one at the daily resistance line. If we do manage to go back up, that resistance line we just dropped from and my price actually align, so it's pretty convenient for me if we can get there. (Currently testing the top of the wedge)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #127,973
  • Mar 4, 2021 10:42am Mar 4, 2021 10:42am
Quoting sing2x
{quote} Is this indicator commercial or free ? Thanks
Which are you talking about? pivot points? in the screenshot it's from IG.
They don't provide the source code for their indicators.

But I had a homemade one, which I uploaded here
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...4#post13435044

The prior day high and low are also from IG. But I can't imagine it's all that hard to write one or find one somewhere.
  • #127,974
  • Mar 4, 2021 10:52am Mar 4, 2021 10:52am
It is just stuck consolidating sideways. Any ideas when that may end?
  • #127,975
  • Mar 4, 2021 10:52am Mar 4, 2021 10:52am
Quoting corongumet
{image}try to long at here SL 10 pips its bounce at (b) will valid if we can break 1.208x
SL at BE.
  • #127,976
  • Mar 4, 2021 10:54am Mar 4, 2021 10:54am
Planning to switch to buying dips.. 1.2038 looks good..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #127,977
  • Mar 4, 2021 10:54am Mar 4, 2021 10:54am
Here is yesterdays ADR projections from todays high and low.(green lines)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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MY GRID. Markets are NOT random.
  • #127,978
  • Mar 4, 2021 11:03am Mar 4, 2021 11:03am
Quoting skassacomput
{quote} edge broken on 30min...if in half an hour it will be confirmed, We will see in "paradise" very soon.
not confirmed. So...we can come back again or not...so stay out.
If you do not know who you are, the Forex is the worst place to find you
  • #127,979
  • Mar 4, 2021 11:04am Mar 4, 2021 11:04am
from forexlive:

The Powell event is a Q&A
Powell is speaking with the Wall Street Journal in Q&A with a moderator. The event starts at 1705 GMT (1205 GMT).

https://www.forexlive.com/centralban...lease-20210304

with link to register to watch it

better watch the price action only
Trends have a higher probability of continuing than not.
  • #127,980
  • Mar 4, 2021 11:12am Mar 4, 2021 11:12am
Quoting skassacomput
{quote} not confirmed. So...we can come back again or not...so stay out.
here we are...back again
If you do not know who you are, the Forex is the worst place to find you
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